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Tropical Storm HENRI: Discussions and Observations

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Post by frank 638 Sun Aug 22, 2021 5:13 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:Wow moving WNW 7mph, NOT GOOD, Epic flooding, possibly record breaking. no likely.
Yes you got that right over 6 inches of rain still pouring no signs of letting up I won’t be surprised if we see 10 to 12 inches of rain.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 5:27 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Wow moving WNW 7mph, NOT GOOD, Epic flooding, possibly record breaking. no likely.
Yes you got that right over 6 inches of rain still pouring no signs of letting up I won’t be surprised if we see 10 to 12 inches of rain.
We are just getting creamed in that yellow band over the area that will not move. I have never seen this much rain. Imagine we got under this band in a snowstorm, we would get 120 inches snow lol, this a snow lovers dream band if it was snow, but we do not see this kind of convection with snow.
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Post by hyde345 Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:00 pm

Northern NJ must be getting crushed right now.
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Post by essexcountypete Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:16 pm

@hyde345 wrote:Northern NJ must be getting crushed right now.

I can confirm that the crushing continues. I've never seen rain like this.
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Post by Grselig Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:32 pm

Heavy rain with winds picking up. Heavy rains all day. Still in orange. Ground is soaking wet.
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Post by brownie Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:43 pm

It’s been pouring here since this morning.  I can’t remember seeing such heavy rain sustained over such a long period.  My immediate neighborhood isn’t showing any ill effects so far, but I live on a mountain.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:57 pm

The flood watch has been extended to tomorrow night......

some guy from ramapo on news said some places in lower hudson vaelly westchester and NYC could see 10-20 inches rain when its over....
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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:59 pm

4.25" here now. Still pouring water ponding on property now.

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:00 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:The flood watch has been extended to tomorrow night......

some guy from ramapo on news said some places in lower hudson vaelly westchester and NYC could see 10-20 inches rain when its over....

Last time this happened Noah was in an ark!!

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:05 pm

This Mega band of yellow is just pivoting over NNJ and LHV. Radar comments of IssaxWx on 33 n Rain bd

Tropical Storm HENRI:  Discussions and Observations - Page 2 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-OKX-N0Q-20210822-2239-24-100.gif.80e16714008f44b705a6ca2f578a0e9e

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Post by Zhukov1945 Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:36 pm


Well we did finally get the hard left hook which many wrote off…just way east and north of where we might have thought

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:38 pm

GFS has heavy rain persisting through the overnight hours. Then the rain gets lighter by morning and should shut off at some point late morning or afternoon tomorrow.

When all is said and done this will be remembered for all the rain and flooding. Pretty sure I saw reports of 10"+ in parts of CT. That is wild!

Very nice work by Ray, Scott, Jman and others for keeping us informed as this unfolded. I happened to be at a wedding in Spring Lake over the weekend and haven't been able to dedicate time to track this one.

Another side note - tropical activity is going to increase as we move into busy season. Conditions in the Atlantic look favorable for development. Looks like we'll have a solid period of tracking in September and October.

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:46 pm

@Zhukov1945 wrote:
Well we did finally get the hard left hook which many wrote off…just way east and north of where we might have thought

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yep, so i'd still give this one to ray honestly.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:47 pm

@amugs wrote:This Mega band of yellow is just pivoting over NNJ and LHV. Radar comments of IssaxWx on 33 n Rain bd

Tropical Storm HENRI:  Discussions and Observations - Page 2 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-OKX-N0Q-20210822-2239-24-100.gif.80e16714008f44b705a6ca2f578a0e9e
And then it moves back east over the same areas that already got hit here. crazy henri and his track, def a bizarre one.
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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:53 pm

Zoo confirmed 5" up here and still raining

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:57 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:GFS has heavy rain persisting through the overnight hours. Then the rain gets lighter by morning and should shut off at some point late morning or afternoon tomorrow.

When all is said and done this will be remembered for all the rain and flooding. Pretty sure I saw reports of 10"+ in parts of CT. That is wild!

Very nice work by Ray, Scott, Jman and others for keeping us informed as this unfolded. I happened to be at a wedding in Spring Lake over the weekend and haven't been able to dedicate time to track this one.

Another side note - tropical activity is going to increase as we move into busy season. Conditions in the Atlantic look favorable for development. Looks like we'll have a solid period of tracking in September and October.

As I stated we missed a direct hit but 2nd week of Sept will be our next shot. Then Oct to track but time will tell.

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:02 pm

Holy Wetness Batman!


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Post by jjlane25 Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:15 pm

I’m supposed to drive from Union County NJ to Lake George tomorrow afternoon. Will it be ok to drive around that time?

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Post by amugs Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:22 pm

@jjlane25 wrote:I’m supposed to drive from Union County NJ to Lake George tomorrow afternoon. Will it be ok to drive around that time?
Jane it'll still be raining in the HV region as Henri pivots to pull away. Some heavier bands will be rotating through. May slow you down but not stop you from traveling.

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Post by essexcountypete Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:45 pm

I believe this is the sixth FFW we've gotten in 24 hours...

Flash Flood Warning
NJC003-013-031-NYC005-061-071-087-119-230345-
/O.EXT.KOKX.FF.W.0031.000000T0000Z-210823T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
839 PM EDT Sun Aug 22 2021

The National Weather Service in Upton has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey...
Northern Essex County in northeastern New Jersey...
Passaic County in northeastern New Jersey...
Bronx County in southeastern New York...
New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York...
Southeastern Orange County in southeastern New York...
Rockland County in southeastern New York...
Southern Westchester County in southeastern New York...

* Until 1145 PM EDT.

* At 839 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the
warned area. Between 2 and 5 inches of rain have fallen.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the
warned area. Some rivers and streams within the area are above
their flood stage. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing
flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Yonkers, Paterson, New Rochelle, Passaic, White Plains, Wayne,
Mott Haven, Bloomfield, East Tremont, Hackensack, New City, Port
Chester, Bergenfield, Paramus, West Milford, Ridgewood, Lyndhurst,
Monsey, Rutherford and Nanuet.
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Post by frank 638 Sun Aug 22, 2021 8:49 pm

U got that right since last night my phone is been going off with the flash flood warning

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 9:11 pm

@frank 638 wrote:U got that right since last night my phone is been going off with the flash flood warning
for some reason not all of them came as a EAS alert on my phone. looks like the rain is moving west from nyc now but will head back east overnight. aint that some stuff, you cant make this up!!
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Post by frank 638 Sun Aug 22, 2021 9:22 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:U got that right since last night my phone is been going off with the flash flood warning
for some reason not all of them came as a EAS alert on my phone.  looks like the rain is moving west from nyc now but will head back east overnight. aint that some stuff, you cant make this up!!
also another strange thing Where I am in throggs neck One area looking towards the bridge and queens I noticed it was partly cloudy and for me where I live looking over north west dark clouds and rain I never seen this before esp that last for a long time and still continue to rain not heavy just light .This was one strange storm

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Aug 22, 2021 9:36 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:U got that right since last night my phone is been going off with the flash flood warning
for some reason not all of them came as a EAS alert on my phone.  looks like the rain is moving west from nyc now but will head back east overnight. aint that some stuff, you cant make this up!!
also another strange thing Where I am in throggs neck One area looking towards the bridge and queens I noticed it was partly cloudy and for me where I live looking over north west dark clouds and rain I never seen this before esp that last for a long time and still continue to rain not heavy just light .This was one strange storm
your in throggs neck? my sister in law lives on bradford, do you know where that is?
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Post by essexcountypete Sun Aug 22, 2021 9:41 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:U got that right since last night my phone is been going off with the flash flood warning
for some reason not all of them came as a EAS alert on my phone.  looks like the rain is moving west from nyc now but will head back east overnight. aint that some stuff, you cant make this up!!
also another strange thing Where I am in throggs neck One area looking towards the bridge and queens I noticed it was partly cloudy and for me where I live looking over north west dark clouds and rain I never seen this before esp that last for a long time and still continue to rain not heavy just light .This was one strange storm

I can see what you're talking about on radar. You're right on the edge of the moisture.
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