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Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase'

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Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 Empty Re: Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase'

Post by Irish Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:29 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 Euro50
holy bananas and my mom thinks it may just be rain shes under 35 in CT.  when you say the 1-2 hrs might do it for I95 what amount are you putting at for I-95 when you say that?  How much of a shift west if that 1-2 hrs earlier happens?

If this has consolidated close off say 522 dam around Cape May I95 is getting 12-18".

I think those totals are completely possible with how things have been trending and looking.

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Post by heehaw453 Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:29 pm

lglickman1 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:18Z Euro
I hope it's appreciated how close this truly is and 18Z is better than 12Z.  It's literally 1-2 hour earlier close off would do it for I95.  You will also notice more consolidation on the close off.  This may get 'er done just yet.

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 Euro49

Is there any reason to think that it does close off earlier?  Or there is nothing really pushing to close earlier and it will do what it wants to do?

The slightest improvements in phasing. Meaning earlier or just the slightest underestimating the strength of n/s energy. The angle of the phase, etc. etc. It's doable for sure in a dynamic storm like this at 36 hours out. Not saying it will, but I like seeing better and faster consolidation of the ULL.

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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:30 pm

Can anyone post the Mike Trout Tweet of him pulling the low over NJ? Absolutely tremendous.
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Post by lglickman1 Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:31 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
lglickman1 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:18Z Euro
I hope it's appreciated how close this truly is and 18Z is better than 12Z.  It's literally 1-2 hour earlier close off would do it for I95.  You will also notice more consolidation on the close off.  This may get 'er done just yet.

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 Euro49

Is there any reason to think that it does close off earlier?  Or there is nothing really pushing to close earlier and it will do what it wants to do?

The slightest improvements in phasing.  Meaning earlier or just the slightest underestimating the strength of n/s energy.  The angle of the phase, etc. etc.  It's doable for sure in a dynamic storm like this at 36 hours out.  Not saying it will, but I like seeing better and faster consolidation of the ULL.  

Thanks. Let's hope!

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Post by heehaw453 Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:31 pm

Irish wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 Euro50
holy bananas and my mom thinks it may just be rain shes under 35 in CT.  when you say the 1-2 hrs might do it for I95 what amount are you putting at for I-95 when you say that?  How much of a shift west if that 1-2 hrs earlier happens?

If this has consolidated close off say 522 dam around Cape May I95 is getting 12-18".

I think those totals are completely possible with how things have been trending and looking.

And 36 hours ago Euro was rendering those kinds of solutions frequently.

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Post by hyde345 Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:32 pm

What do people think ratios will be N and W. Im thinking 15:1 in Dutchess county.
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Post by amugs Thu Jan 27, 2022 7:45 pm

Tracking JAN 29th 2022 'The Phase' - Page 31 1752198395_18zeurobetter.gif.29921cab50b97030b14c154177160412
Nice bump west ehh??

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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