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February 2022 Obs & Discussions

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SoulSingMG
dsix85
rb924119
hyde345
jmanley32
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 17, 2022 5:10 pm

Hoping this whole wind thing doesn't quite materialize to the extent that some models show. I could do without the downed trees, power lines and no electricity. I just don't see what good that will do anyone.

Give me a good snow storm with calm winds and I'm in heaven.

The consecutive days of snow cover streak ended at 41 days today. Maybe 25% coverage at the end of the day today. Not a bad streak considering the snowfall for the season is still below normal for this point in time with only 25.9 inches here so far.

Hopefully end of February and March will change that.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 5:26 pm

Grselig wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:
Grselig wrote:64 now.   But powerful wind gust just blew some chairs off the deck.  
And we aren't even close to the big winds...58 DEGREES RIGHT NOW.

Yes.  Based on observation only Im a touch concerned
You are basically due west of yonkers, I have not been outside yet but I imagine it must be getting a little windy if you are having some wind already. What are real time observations showing in terms of where the LLJ set's upo and timing, anyone can answer.
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Post by docstox12 Thu Feb 17, 2022 6:40 pm

amugs wrote:For Saturday this is none hell of a squall line!!

February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 FL0wGxzX0AocQk0.jpeg.ed7070acde73a08c59d8ab5769903744

That could easily drop an inch or two of snow.
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Post by amugs Thu Feb 17, 2022 7:22 pm

HRRR says Jan 2019 type squall line
.February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 Fl0sar10


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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 7:35 pm

woah, even more widespread 80-96kt LLJ, if 50-70% does mix down its go be bad news, the squall line that comes through at the end ahead of that is going to plow through. Stay safe everyone, though im sure we will all be asleep, or not.

February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 Nam3km30

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Feb 17, 2022 7:37 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:68* this afternoon..hubby and I took a ride in the convertible and parked for lunch..by the water...I love winter, but wow what a nice little treat today.. you can see the front coming in getting cloudy and winds picking up..

I should have messaged you, we went to Fox Hollow Winery in Holmdel today! Was gorgeous, 67* and not too windy (the buildings blocked most of the gusts!)

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Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:12 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:68* this afternoon..hubby and I took a ride in the convertible and parked for lunch..by the water...I love winter, but wow what a nice little treat today.. you can see the front coming in getting cloudy and winds picking up..

I should have messaged you, we went to Fox Hollow Winery in Holmdel today! Was gorgeous, 67* and not too windy (the buildings blocked most of the gusts!)
We are only 15 min from the winery..next time..can meet up..but a beautiful I love you day today..yes a bit breezy..but definitely did not feel like a February day!
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Post by amugs Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:18 pm

jmanley32 wrote:woah, even more widespread 80-96kt LLJ, if 50-70% does mix down its go be bad news, the squall line that comes through at the end ahead of that is going to plow through.  Stay safe everyone, though im sure we will all be asleep, or not.

February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 Nam3km30


That is a mean LLJ WOW. Keeps increasing each run

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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:22 pm

amugs wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:woah, even more widespread 80-96kt LLJ, if 50-70% does mix down its go be bad news, the squall line that comes through at the end ahead of that is going to plow through.  Stay safe everyone, though im sure we will all be asleep, or not.

February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 Nam3km30


That is a mean LLJ WOW. Keeps increasing each run
Personally I think areawide sees at least some gusts upwards or over 60mph by looks that if verified. I think the HWW being just far eastern is wrong.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 8:26 pm

mugs is there anyway to follow this live like a nowcast to see where it is actually going to set up and how amped it gets b4 precip comes in?? Or is that not possible?
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Post by amugs Thu Feb 17, 2022 9:11 pm

jmanley32 wrote:mugs is there anyway to follow this live like a nowcast to see where it is actually going to set up and how amped it gets b4 precip comes in?? Or is that not possible?

Wind wise not that I know of brother

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 9:44 pm

First batch rain coming in, not really any wind to speak of, watch this not materialize
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 17, 2022 11:23 pm

Think this one was another dudd, there should be some wind gusts by now and it is dead calm, im hearing from eastern CT where the warning is it is rocking. guess it set up over there.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 18, 2022 5:25 am

Wow yep another learning experience. Doubt we even had any gusts to 40mph. Did anyone have any notable winds? If it did get windy here I certainly didn't notice it.
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Post by dsix85 Fri Feb 18, 2022 5:55 am

Jman- just bc it’s not windy in your neighborhood doesn’t mean the rest of the board escaped it. Here in Eastern LI it’s been ripping all night and morning.

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Post by frank 638 Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:04 am

jmanley32 wrote:Wow yep another learning experience. Doubt we even had any gusts to 40mph. Did anyone have any notable winds? If it did get windy here I certainly didn't notice it.
nothing crazy last night into this morning I am pretty sure it’s going to start soon

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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:30 am

Give them credit tgat the squall line was on PT exactly 630 which nam showed but that's it it's done now. The squall line was the last thing it was supposed be intense winds all night. Down south jrsy has a ave tstorm warning. Heh crazy weather.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:32 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:31 am

56 degrees, cloudy and wind ripping.Squall line past a little while ago.Amazingly on my property in the shadier spots, I still have snow, probably 20% of the property.That snow squall tomorrow if it materializes, should be fun.Those produce blizzard like whiteouts with heavy snow for a while.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:33 am

docstox12 wrote:56 degrees, cloudy and wind ripping.Squall line past a little while ago.Amazingly on my property in the shadier spots, I still have snow, probably 20% of the property.That snow squall tomorrow if it materializes, should be fun.Those produce blizzard like whiteouts with heavy snow for a while.
I'm set hoping that happens but not get my hopes up. Seems models are decent at picking up on mesoscale lines.
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Post by amugs Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:51 am

Squall was pretty heavy that came through here. Winds were ripping.

Can you spot the cold front?? Temps drop like a rock when it come through.

February 2022 Obs & Discussions  - Page 9 Fl4cbj10

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Post by Sparky Sparticles Fri Feb 18, 2022 6:53 am

What the heck was THAT that just blew through around 6:20am?? It got really noisy outside, the house started shaking, and the rain was blowing sideways from the west so I couldn't even see across the street.
It ended within 5 minutes, and it immediately got a bit brighter outside.
Did a small tornado blow through Hudson County?
My son was on the light rail train coming home from work at the time and it certainly got *their* attention! Luckily it stopped and was down to a light rain by the time they reached his stop.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Feb 18, 2022 7:04 am

Sparky Sparticles wrote:What the heck was THAT that just blew through around 6:20am?? It got really noisy outside, the house started shaking, and the rain was blowing sideways from the west so I couldn't even see across the street.
It ended within 5 minutes, and it immediately got a bit brighter outside.
Did a small tornado blow through Hudson County?
My son was on the light rail train coming home from work at the time and it certainly got *their* attention! Luckily it stopped and was down to a light rain by the time they reached his stop.

Noticed that too up here in the HV.I am glad your son is safe!!!
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Post by dkodgis Fri Feb 18, 2022 7:30 am

Snow in front all gone. In back, the south side still has snow. 39 here. About 5:15 am an intense wind and rain came through for a few minutes. The rain gauge says just a quarter inch and the stream here is normal. The big story: wind wind wind. Gusts of 49. Steady winds 40. Still some wind. It was an open-window night. Heard the wind. Power stayed on
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:11 am

Was 63* at 6:15 am, now it's down to 46* and falling fast. Some pretty good wind gusts. Went from short sleeves yesterday to a heavy coat dealing with wind chills today!

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Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by Grselig Fri Feb 18, 2022 8:35 am

Temps falling down a cliff. Was 60 at 6:30. Now 45. Thankfully winds were not bad. Worst “damage” was yesterday afternoon when chairs blew off the deck.
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