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July 2022 Observations and Discussions

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Post by amugs Fri Jul 22, 2022 6:05 pm

Nice heavy shower for about 10 minutes and now a steadyish shower. I'll take it.

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Post by dkodgis Sat Jul 23, 2022 10:25 am

I got 10 mins yesterday. Orange and Rockland just emailed to be ready for a severe storm Monday. Incoming?
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Post by brownie Sat Jul 23, 2022 11:50 am

It was dark and very windy here for a while late yesterday afternoon.  The wind toppled several potted trees on my neighbor’s deck.  But surprisingly, not a drop of rain.

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Post by Radz Mon Jul 25, 2022 6:42 am

Storms have passed north and south the last few events, last evening fell apart as it approached, lawns are dead and gardens are failing even with daily waterings, we haven’t seen appreciable rainfall in nearly 6 weeks or more IMB - hope we get something today!
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Post by billg315 Mon Jul 25, 2022 9:40 am

We'll see how today's severe threat pans out as many have fizzled. But the atmosphere is pretty unstable with pretty high CAPEs (2000-3000) projected this afternoon and we do have a significant area of Thunderstorms already affecting central and NE PA. That main area appears likely to head up into the Hudson Valley and maybe clip North Jersey later this morning/midday. I think the bigger threat may be the trailing line, just now starting fire up from Lewistown PA back to Morgantown, WV. That is likely what will develop into the severe "line" that swings through most of the area later this afternoon and into the evening.
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Post by billg315 Mon Jul 25, 2022 9:48 am

Current radar with leading cluster approaching northern areas and trailing line just firing up to our southwest.

July 2022 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 E4f0c610
July 2022 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 D05c3510
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Post by dkodgis Mon Jul 25, 2022 9:53 am

It has been raining since 9:30. It is a light rain, very light. It is overcast, and humid at 92%. As you say, depending on air temp and what comes through will tell the story. 80 degrees right now. Late yesterday afternoon, it spritzed. Let’s hope we all get much needed rain
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Post by sroc4 Mon Jul 25, 2022 10:03 am

July 2022 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Day1otlk_1300

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 0.00      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
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Post by brownie Mon Jul 25, 2022 12:14 pm

We’re having a nice soaking thunderstorm here right now.  Started about 10 minutes ago.  Hope this continues on and off for the rest of the day.

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Post by billg315 Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:31 pm

Radar not looking very robust right now. That round that hit North Jersey and the Hudson Valley this morning might end up being the main attraction. We shall see . . .
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jul 25, 2022 2:49 pm

sroc4 wrote:July 2022 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Day1otlk_1300

SPC kiss of Death! Had a strong cell move to my south and east earlier and then it moved to LI along the LIE. Waiting to see what fires later if anything. After the brief shower we got earlier it feels like the jungle out there now...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
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Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:22 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
sroc4 wrote:July 2022 Observations and Discussions - Page 3 Day1otlk_1300

SPC kiss of Death! Had a strong cell move to my south and east earlier and then it moved to LI along the LIE. Waiting to see what fires later if anything. After the brief shower we got earlier it feels like the jungle out there now...

Same here, Janet, was just going to write SPC KOD.A few showers, now the sun is out.Nothing to speak of on radar.
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Post by billg315 Mon Jul 25, 2022 3:47 pm

It's undeniable that seasons tend to settle into defined patterns. This summer the storms have routinely seemed to split with some going by to our north and others staying to our south. If you look at today's radar, that seems to be happening again. This morning's cluster went mostly north, and the storms firing up now over SE PA and NE MD will likely stay well south. Not to say you might not get some isolated cells through this evening, but this is looking like another event where we have a tough time squeezing out any meaningful rainfall in a lot of places.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:03 pm

billg315 wrote:It's undeniable that seasons tend to settle into defined patterns. This summer the storms have routinely seemed to split with some going by to our north and others staying to our south. If you look at today's radar, that seems to be happening again. This morning's cluster went mostly north, and the storms firing up now over SE PA and NE MD will likely stay well south. Not to say you might not get some isolated cells through this evening, but this is looking like another event where we have a tough time squeezing out any meaningful rainfall in a lot of places.

Agree on the hot and dry pattern, it is well established up here for a while now.
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Post by Radz Mon Jul 25, 2022 6:32 pm

Once again only .03” in the bucket here, another missed opportunity for some beneficial rain. Currently 88* with a heat index of 94* and a dust bowl
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Post by docstox12 Mon Jul 25, 2022 6:57 pm

Funny thing with this extended dry spell NYC reservoirs are still 65 to 85% of capacity.In the 1963 drought, they were under 20%.

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/dep/water/reservoir-levels.page
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Post by Dunnzoo Mon Jul 25, 2022 8:20 pm

Just a trace of rain today, I've given up on the lawn, plants are still struggling with constant watering. Not a good year to buy more shrubs!

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Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Jul 26, 2022 2:00 pm

NOt a drop of rain from any of the storms that have passed thru..I was so excited yesterday when I heard thunder and said great rain coming..and not a drop the other day as well...this is horrible.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Jul 26, 2022 2:02 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:Just a trace of rain today, I've given up on the lawn, plants are still struggling with constant watering. Not a good year to buy more shrubs!

Totally agree with you..I have straw for lawn..hmm wonder if my son wished it this way..this is the year he is taking over the lawn mowing and there is nothing to mow... Razz Razz Sad
and usually when we get back from vacation I fill pots with flowers my she shed window boxes ect..not worth it this year..just keeping my garden and veggies alive...
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Post by docstox12 Tue Jul 26, 2022 3:13 pm

Just got a message from the local water utility that lawn sprinklers should be "limited". I better comply because I have kept my lawn watered and it is the greenest in the neighborhood.Don't want cops knocking on my door,LOL.

Anyhoo, beautiful day, cooler and much less humid, nice breeze and mostly sunny here.
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Post by dkodgis Tue Jul 26, 2022 7:03 pm

A beautiful evening. 41% humidity, wind 9 mph. Tep is 77 going down to 58. Open those windows and sleep well tonight
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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Jul 27, 2022 4:47 am

docstox12 wrote:Funny thing with this extended dry spell NYC reservoirs are still 65 to 85% of capacity.In the 1963 drought, they were under 20%.

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/dep/water/reservoir-levels.page

are they located up by the catskills? that seems to be the sweet spot for any of the rain we get this year..
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Post by docstox12 Wed Jul 27, 2022 6:26 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:
docstox12 wrote:Funny thing with this extended dry spell NYC reservoirs are still 65 to 85% of capacity.In the 1963 drought, they were under 20%.

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/dep/water/reservoir-levels.page

are they located up by the catskills? that seems to be the sweet spot for any of the rain we get this year..

Yes, a few of them are, but the funny thing is the two closest to the City a little North are the fullest.Go figure.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jul 28, 2022 8:09 am

Wow I woke up to lawn and sidewalks all wet.. I thought the sprinkler system exploded(our day for watering)...but no WE GOT RAIN!! have no idea how much..my system is down and new one waiting to be installed..BUT WE GOT RAIN party

it is humid and steamy already...but happy to see the yard all wet!
STAY COOL!
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Post by billg315 Thu Jul 28, 2022 2:26 pm

Yeah we had a heavy thunderstorm at about 1-3 a.m. last night. Thunder woke me up out of a sound sleep and it was pouring rain. First substantial rainfall I've seen in awhile around my place.
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