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May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread

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Post by Snow88 Thu May 08, 2014 10:10 am

0z Euro has 85-90 degrees for the entire area on Tuesday and Wednesday. It is still showing the potential of a big rain event next week.

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Post by amugs Thu May 08, 2014 12:06 pm

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 2 Precip

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Post by ClimateControl Thu May 08, 2014 1:17 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Last day of April brought widespread 3-5 inch rainfall amounts to the area. Crazy stuff!

Weekend looks OK. Some clouds and maybe a shower on Saturday. Temps in the 60's

Next week- WARM

Specifically Wednesday-Saturday with temps getting into the 80's

What happened to those warm temps in the 80s??
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Post by ClimateControl Thu May 08, 2014 1:19 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:
Analog96 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Saturday looks warm. Low to mid 80's
Still think we aren't going to scour out the marine layer fully on Saturday.
Sunday is a different story.
Monday could even make a run for 90, then we cool down.
It's a little early to start talking about this, but could we see our first widespread strong thunderstorm threat late in the day on Monday?

Monday and Tuesday next week there could be some thunderstorms. Not thinking severe at the moment. Saturday due to rain and cloud cover we probably won't get into the 80's, but Sunday-Tuesday next week is a different story. 90's possible!

Are you still thinking 90s for next week? I think NOT!
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Post by HectorO Thu May 08, 2014 1:22 pm

I hate those rollercoaster weeks. We're going from 60s and 50s now to 80s and 90s next week them back to cooler weather. Now I know why so many people are getting sick.
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Post by algae888 Thu May 08, 2014 1:26 pm

55* with drizzle and east wind at 12mph. feels like mid march. warm up will start on sat but more likely to see 80's sun thru tues. not sold on it yet especially near the coast but temps will get well into the 70's.
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Post by Dunnzoo Fri May 09, 2014 7:04 am

Nice little thunderstorms this morning! My daughter is going to Great Adventure today, weather will be better south of here.....

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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 09, 2014 7:25 am

Euro 10 day rainfall is insane for eastern CT and RI 6-8 inches! I think its all dependent an the storm i posted in the tropics section, which BTW both models still show on the 00z, CMC backed off on intensity but has it moving straight all way up the coast after developing over the carribran, but as ace told me CMC likes to blow up these warm core systems way too much, i still say keep an eye on it.
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Post by Quietace Fri May 09, 2014 7:33 am

jmanley32 wrote:Euro 10 day rainfall is insane for eastern CT and RI 6-8 inches!  I think its all dependent an the storm i posted in the tropics section, which BTW both models still show on the 00z, CMC backed off on intensity but has it moving straight all way up the coast after developing over the carribran, but as ace told me CMC likes to blow up these warm core systems way too much, i still say keep an eye on it.
Weak signal on the Euro EPS last night. Will have to watch the models the next few days, storm signal could be lost, or stay.
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 09, 2014 7:42 am

Yeah dunnzoo there was one lightning strike so close and wow the thunder shook the apartment and set all the car alarms off lol. Certainly woke me up!
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 09, 2014 7:45 am

Sorry ace what doe EPS stand for? Yeah the model didnt show anything as clear cut as the CMC showing a well defined low.
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Post by Frank_Wx Fri May 09, 2014 9:53 am

Looking pretty soggy this weekend, besides Sunday, into next week with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front. At least it will be somewhat warm with temps in the 70's, but cloud cover and rain could mitigate that. Not sure NYC gets into the 80's early next week anymore.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri May 09, 2014 9:55 am

We could see some nasty thunderstorms on Wednesday

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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 09, 2014 2:24 pm

Ohh I like t-storms, gimmi a good loud one like the one this morning but it was only one boom, but damn it it cause a impact lol. Question the CMC is still showing a potential cyclone of some sort, even bastardi tweeted that it is model feedback probably, how long does model feedback usually happen for? Its been about two days of runs with this storm showing. Havent seen Euro yet but it was also hinting at some signs of a development.
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Post by Quietace Fri May 09, 2014 2:55 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Sorry ace what doe EPS stand for?  Yeah the model didnt show anything as clear cut as the CMC showing a well defined low.
Euro EPS(Ensemble prediction system)
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Post by Quietace Fri May 09, 2014 3:33 pm

61.2 here
Mid 70s in SW jersey
May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 2 Temper11
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Post by jmanley32 Fri May 09, 2014 7:55 pm

Def didn't get warm like that here, drizzle and just ugly. Looks like tomorrow will be a good day for me to work on my final.

"Why did snoop dog bring an umbrulla to the concert?

Fa drizzle"

LOL ok yeah its corny I know.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat May 10, 2014 1:19 am

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 2 Gfs_T2m_neus_12

Monday looks like temps in the upper 70's to low 80's as heights rise ahead of an approaching cold front. Going to feel really humid as well, with isolated showers and storms.

May 2014 Observations / Discussions Thread  - Page 2 Gfs_T2m_neus_16

Tuesday it looks like the easterly winds off the ocean try to keep NYC Metro area on the cooler side compared to Philly Metro

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Post by docstox12 Sat May 10, 2014 7:10 am

jmanley32 wrote:Def didn't get warm like that here, drizzle and just ugly.  Looks like tomorrow will be a good day for me to work on my final.  

"Why did snoop dog bring an umbrulla to the concert?

Fa drizzle"

LOL ok yeah its corny I know.

J Man, don't quit your day job,LOL!

Awful Spring so far.First cold, now constant clouds and damp.Need a nice dry week , sunny in the 70's to dry things out and lift the spirits up.
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Post by amugs Sat May 10, 2014 9:29 am

Doc,

But my new plantings and grass are doing wonderful now - this time last month we were looking at some snow incoming for our area - my this spring has been awful like you said - then in another week or two after we wring out all the rain we can next week - BAM - summerlike temps and humid!

Mugs - 64* and Cloudy

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Post by Quietace Sat May 10, 2014 9:58 am

Looks like lots of people are making the trip down to the shore this weekend. Pretty busy in town.
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Post by Quietace Sat May 10, 2014 10:00 am

71 degrees with 90 percent humidity. 66.5 at the beach.
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat May 10, 2014 10:53 am

75.8*. 77%. humidity

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Post by algae888 Sat May 10, 2014 1:27 pm

temperature just hit 80 degrees in Central Park first 80 degree day of the year. it feels hot outside and humidity is high a little uncomfortable
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Post by Dunnzoo Sat May 10, 2014 2:02 pm

storms firing to the west already...keep a heads up!

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat May 10, 2014 2:10 pm

Getting a storm right now. Winds in the 40 mph range. 82 degrees.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat May 10, 2014 2:27 pm

Extremely heavy downpour right now

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