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Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm

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Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm

Post by Math23x7 Fri Jan 16, 2015 10:37 pm

The 0Z RGEM suggests freezing rain Sunday morning before changing over the plain (heavy) rain.

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Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 16, 2015 10:57 pm

Michael that's interesting. Precip would have to move in much earlier than expected though. Will be interesting if RGEM still shows this tomorrow.

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Post by Snow88 Sat Jan 17, 2015 1:06 am

Maybe it's my eyes but the Euro shows rain to snow for the NYC area and the surrounding areas.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 17, 2015 2:51 am

Snow88 wrote:Maybe it's my eyes but the Euro shows rain to snow for the NYC area and the surrounding areas.

Don't toy with me snow. Stuff like that just doesn't happen this winter.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 17, 2015 11:22 am

I can see rain turning to snow in western areas from NJ to NY tomorrow night. Maybe bring a quick coating. Should be interesting to track.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 17, 2015 12:04 pm

Frank per 12z gfs it intensifies a bit faster showing wind gusts to 40 to 50mph in central ct and on east. Do u see this being a issue or is the model exaggerating wind gusts? I like that wxbell added gusts to the gfs. A issue in that area I mean as that's where u am headed. Odd is why is there less rain?
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 17, 2015 12:23 pm

No wind, no snow. Just rain. Around 2 inches. Non event.

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Post by Guest Sat Jan 17, 2015 4:20 pm

I can't believe how cold and dry it is out and it's going to dump rain tomorrow.  It's torture for us snow lovers.  I just came inside and everything is frozen solid.  The ground is like a rock.  If we get heavey rain there's gonna be flooding issues.  If we got the forecast QPF for tomorrow today, with these temps we'd be 24+ EASY!!

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Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Empty Re: Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm

Post by Dtone Sat Jan 17, 2015 5:24 pm

It aint easy getting cold and precip to coincide.

There is a Freezing Rain Advisory till 8am for Manhattan, Staten Island, Bronx (but not Brooklyn and Queens) and nearby suburbs except Long Island
For areas futher N&W untill 11am.
Overnight travel could get interesting?

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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 17, 2015 5:27 pm

Dtone wrote:It aint easy getting cold and precip to coincide.

There is a Freezing Rain Advisory till 8am for Manhattan, Staten Island, Bronx (but not Brooklyn and Queens) and nearby suburbs except Long Island
For areas futher N&W untill 11am.
Overnight travel could get interesting?

Yea, I can see it get ugly in the early morning hours. Low level cold will call for icy conditions until 9am or so. Just be careful.

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Post by Analog96 Sat Jan 17, 2015 6:47 pm

Fortunately, this occurs on a Sunday morning, so there won't be too many people out driving.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 17, 2015 7:42 pm

In ct now freezing rain advisory here too. Models show wind gusts on surface 40 to 50 over here with passage is why I asked frank.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sat Jan 17, 2015 10:25 pm

2+ inches of rain is possible tomorrow. Storm may try to slow down a bit. There may be thunder.

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Post by jmanley32 Sat Jan 17, 2015 10:30 pm

Well that def squashes the clipper then correct if it slows down?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Sat Jan 17, 2015 11:33 pm

Yes we need the storm tomorrow to get out the way
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Sat Jan 17, 2015 11:35 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:2+ inches of rain is possible tomorrow. Storm may try to slow down a bit. There may be thunder.

It just keeps getting funnier by the day.
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Post by docstox12 Sun Jan 18, 2015 5:55 am

Precip not even in South Jersey.Don't see this starting until noon up here.By then, it probably will be above freezing,JMHO.

Would rather skip the FR and just plain rain for this.
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Post by sroc4 Sun Jan 18, 2015 7:15 am

Check out those vertical velocities along the coastal plain and LI.  Def going to see heavy rain with the potential for rumbles of thunder.
Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 <a href=Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Nam_w710" />
Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 <a href=Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Nam_w711" />

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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 18, 2015 8:27 am

treacherous road conditions in west. and rockland counties with multiple car accidents on palisades   and a 9 car pile up on the Bronx river parkway. 31* mod. freezing rain now. outside my house one big sheet of ice.
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Post by algae888 Sun Jan 18, 2015 8:34 am

also accidents on the  cross Bronx which is closed at white plains road exit and i95 is closed at Bruckner interchange north and south bound with a 10 car accident.
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Post by Dtone Sun Jan 18, 2015 8:59 am

I see ppl out the window walking gingerly trying walk on the ice, a couple took a fall.
Freezing rain 31*

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Post by Dtone Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:03 am

Yeah traffic looks horrible esp for sun morn. Every major roadway is at a standstill or closed.
Everything north & west of the LIE into upper Manhattan, the Bronx and north from there is a mess. Safe to assume the freezing rain areas are lined up with that.

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:18 am

Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Inxr1Kphla_h

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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:19 am

Sunday, January 18th Rain Storm - Page 2 Ref_qc.9

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:19 am

Wow lol, the one time it ice's and I am not there to report on it, its fine here in CT although we have a advisory too but I do not see why. Sun even peaking. sroc on that second image you posted that brightest dtrip of white is right over where I am, what does that mean?
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:22 am

Jeeze Frank look how rediculously heave the rain is to the south, It seems 2 inches may even be too little, man oh man if this were snow sigh.
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 18, 2015 9:23 am

It's going to be incredibly heavy from 11am-3 pm

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