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BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD

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Post by lglickman1 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:49 pm

Can we assume anything based on current location of banding that the more significant bands will stay east over the island rather than northern NJ or NYC? Or not?

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:52 pm

lglickman1 wrote:Can we assume anything based on current location of banding that the more significant bands will stay east over the island rather than northern NJ or NYC?  Or not?

Nope they will come your way

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Post by HectorO Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:53 pm

Storm not taking the track we all thought as far as hitting NE jersey and nyc the way we thought? If the area doesn't get at least a foot this would be a bigger bust than it was a hype and I would look like a moron for calling out of work.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:53 pm

oldtimer wrote:Frank  What time?

8-10pm

sroc4 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Attention Long Islanders

BLIZZARD JAN 26TH-27TH: OFFICIAL OBSERVATION THREAD - Page 20 Mcd0043

Hell yeah.  I am hoping I surpass the 30" mark.  Was at 29" with Nemo

You will. It's your winter.

lglickman1 wrote:Can we assume anything based on current location of banding that the more significant bands will stay east over the island rather than northern NJ or NYC?  Or not?

I need another 90 minutes and I will know which model is right

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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:54 pm

Once 700 closes off, which I think it may already have done, looking at the Mesoscale-analysis wind barbs, we should start to see a rapid expansion of the precipitation shield from about I-81 eastward

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:54 pm

HectorO wrote:Storm not taking the track we all thought as far as hitting NE  jersey and nyc the way we thought? If the area doesn't get at least a foot this would be a bigger bust than it was a hype and I would look like a moron for calling out of work.

NYC is going to get a foot, as will NE NJ.

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Post by Yschiff Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:55 pm

Foot or foot+?

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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:55 pm

Most spots in NYC have 4 Queens has almost 5 or above now since Lee's reports. NYC seems to be on track with good numbers
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Post by jimv45 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:56 pm

what about southern Dutchess? Keep hearing that its coming but when?

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Post by skinsfan1177 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:57 pm

Coastal nj looking good should see bands moving in soon. Got at least 4 inches already
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Post by bloc1357 Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:57 pm

Sh** is going to get real when these bands come across the island!!

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/ny/west-babylon/okx/?lat=40.70922089&lon=-73.37142181&label=West%20Babylon%2c%20NY

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:57 pm

I'm not answering backyard questions. You can go look at my snow map

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Post by HectorO Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:59 pm

I think during a big storm we should all stay quiet. Storms get jinxed.
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Post by HectorO Mon Jan 26, 2015 6:59 pm

Someone woke up on the wrong side of the snow bank.....
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Post by devsman Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:01 pm

I think we shouldn't make solid set in stone prediction til storm develops. We had the maps, now we have our eyes and radar. Let's see what happens with the heavy bands approaching the island. Then we still have "the blizzard" part.
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Post by Abba701 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:02 pm

Only a foot in NYC?

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:03 pm

Dear Long Island,

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
649 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

CTZ007-008-010>012-NYZ078>081-270145-
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWEST
SUFFOLK-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW
HAVEN-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK-
649 PM EST MON JAN 26 2015

..HEAVY SNOW WILL IMPACT MIDDLESEX...NEW LONDON
SOUTHEASTERN NEW
HAVEN AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 635 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
MULTIPLE BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WORKING NORTHWEST FROM OFF THE OCEAN
TOWARDS SUFFOLK COUNTY AND SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCH(ES) PER HOUR...WINDS GUSTS TO 40
MPH...AND WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE SNOW BANDS.

TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED IN THIS AREA THIS EVENING AS ROAD
CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DETERIORATE AND BECOME DANGEROUS OVER THE
NEXT 2 HOURS.

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

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Post by WeatherBob Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:05 pm

Isn't the surface low much further West than the models say it should?
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Post by oldtimer Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:05 pm

Real Nice Thank you that Frank

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Post by sroc4 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:05 pm

700mb is def closing off.  

http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/700hPa/orthographic=-75.36,35.56,2048



Last edited by sroc4 on Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:07 pm; edited 2 times in total

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by RJB8525 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:06 pm

oldtimer wrote:Real Nice   Thank you that Frank

someone from TWC is doing live reports from the port Jefferson train station throughout the storm. lol just wanted to throw it out to you
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Post by HectorO Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:07 pm

As mentioned. Let's let it develop. See what happens. We all remember in the abc days back when predictions of inches would be far off. But there's plenty of winter left. I just work at a blue collar place and I'm gonna hear sh** tomorrow if it doesn't get going soon LOL.
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:07 pm

H7 is closed off. Step 1 complete.

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Post by algae888 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:08 pm

moderate snow again in mt.vernon as bands are starting to move in from the east. measured 2.5" at 5pm then had a 2hr lull
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Post by Quietace Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:08 pm

Nice spot....H5 should follow soon...
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Post by rb924119 Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:09 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:H7 is closed off. Step 1 complete.

Now we start to see the precipitation field respond

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Jan 26, 2015 7:09 pm

With H7 closed off, we should start seeing bands coming in off the ocean

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