2015 August Obs & Discussions

It is Aug 1 - the last month of meteorological summer. Lets talk about it.

Mugs

Here is how July went down temps wise

NYC: +2.3
EWR: +1.6
LGA: +1.8
JFK: +2.6
TTN: +0.8
PHL: +1.1

From the USA site for 90* days to share

Updated
2015:


PHL:  18 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1; Jun: 7; Jul: 10
EWR: 17 (Apr 0 : ; May: 2; Jun 4; Jul: 11
TTN:  12   (Apr: 0 ; May: 2; Jun: 4; Jul: 6
LGA: 9   (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun:3; Jul : 6
ACY: 9   (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 4
TEB: 17  (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun : 5; Jul: 8
NYC:  6  (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 1; Jul: 5
JFK: 4   (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 1; Jul:3
ISP:   3  (Apr: 0 ; May: 0 ; Jun: 0 ; Jul: 3  
New Brunswick: 16 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 11

TEB - Teterboro is ridiculously above average for the area IMO temps wise due to the location of the station on the tarmac. May be the next CP for having them move this.

JFK and LAG - directly on the water like ACY (Atlantic City) keeps temps a degree or two less

July turned out to be warmer than I expected it to be. I don't think August will be as warm from a temp departure standpoint. We'll see! Beautiful day today

Last two days, Frank, magnificent!

Starting to notice the earlier sunsets and later sunrises now.

This month will fly by, before you know it Labor Day, School starts and football season begins!!!

docstox12 wrote:Last two days, Frank, magnificent!

Starting to notice the earlier sunsets and later sunrises now.

This month will fly by, before you know it Labor Day, School starts and football season begins!!!

Doc I know and let's not rush it hahahaha!!!!

81* this morning and humidit at 62% Crystal clear blue skies - know it is the dog days of summer when the cicadas are chirping!

Summer has been magnificent, a few hot days here and there.

Enjoy every minute, Mugsy!!!!

Much cooler week expected compared to last week. Some rain possible Tuesday morning but it won't be more then light showers as a front comes through. Steadier rain possible Thursday into Friday. More details on that tomorrow.

Tomorrow will be the warmest day of the week with temps getting near 90 degrees.



Should be in the 80's the rest of the week with low temps dropping into the 60s

starting Wednesday a significant cool down expected and looks to last awhile. look for temps no higher than low 80's and starting Friday temps could remain in the 70's or cooler if there is rain. cmc and gfs have highs in upper 60's Friday with rain.

Can't complain about the summer here. Even though there were some hot muggy 90 degree days, there were also quite a few 90 degree days with low humidity that felt great.

HRRR for a round of t boomers tonight - things get more interesting whilst I am at the Jersey Shore Thursday to Saturday. Well see but it look sto be may like weather - rainy and temps in the low 70's and possibly high 60's. Last 90* day for a awhile being advertised.

Thunder and lightning and rain in Stillwater nj, the loudest thunder seems to be towards blairstown nj, temp dropping !

Intense t-storms last night!! Lots of lightning and loud thunder. Watching a coastal storm for this Friday. The GFS has it offshore while the CMC has it scraping us. Yesterday the CMC had a direct hit showing a washout. We'll see how this develops today on the models.



It does not look like there is blocking and the flow out west looks quick. This is why I think the GFS is offshore and why I think it could be correct. We'll see...

Mugs posted this in the long range thread. WPC seems to think the coastal will hit us. Trends overnight would suggest otherwise.

This is what came through last night

Got .10" of wetness from this. Congrats to ya'll that got smoked.
Frank pattern has not really changed in a long time, no blocking or minimal and storm on the coast but with the west ti east flow it it a swing and a miss. This zonal flow has been dominate for quite sometime if I am correct - still jet lag brain!

.06 from this mornings 3am Thundershower. Lots of lightening west - northwest

Unbelievable thunderstorm last night in Commack.  Never seen so much lightning in a storm  Flash every 2 seconds.  Winds lifted up my deck table with umbrella.

No rain expected this weekend. The only areas I think could see some showers are from the Jersey Shore and points south, but even for them it is looking dry at this time. Temperatures are expected to range from the low to mid 80's with low humidity. It is going to feel great!!

Temps change so quickly. I was going to head out to do some work tomorrow. I wanted to hold off on it because Monday even Tuesday morning I saw forecast say 78 and raining. Now its going to be 85 and sunny. Better make plans to work outside tomorrow again.

Talk about flip flop of the models. It now looks like we can have a very wet weekend if the 12Z euro is correct. If phases a piece of northern stream energy with the offshore low. it brings a light rain Friday Friday night and a steady soaking rain Saturday Saturday night for most of the area.

So all other models agree and now the euro throws a curve ball.

Holy Guacamole !!!!
August already !!

I was think of taking my boys down to Point Pleasant Friday and Saturday to do a little fishing.
Now the Euro acts up...

What to do ! What to do !?!?

Aside from the Norma K what head boat would you local guys suggest ??? (Skins ? Ryan ?)