Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:17 pm

Abba701 wrote:What does the EURO say?

Abb I am at work. I will try to post the maps to show what I mean later. Euro is kind of on its own, but each run is getting a little closer, and a little closer to turning this thing up. It still may not be a direct hit, but keep in mind this would be a high ration snow so even 0.2-0.3"QPF could be a welcome relief if it were to unfold.

by **oldtimer** Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:21 pm

Thanks Scroc that's encouraging no matter what Very little liquid can give a little fun at this juncture

by **amugs** Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:29 pm

Euro 12z runs
State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Ecmwf_z500a_noram_7(1)

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f60

0z run

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f72

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f75

Corrected a good 50 miles west. Another jog as such in the next runs we see an accumulation with 20-1 ratios.

by **sroc4** Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:44 pm

oldtimer wrote:Thanks Scroc that's encouraging no matter what Very little liquid can give a little fun at this juncture

Thats all Im hoping for Oldtimer. Temper expectations, but remain caustiously optimistic. Again at a 20:1 ratio a mere 0.3" of QPF translates to 6" of the fluffy white gold...just sayin.

by **amugs** Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:48 pm

Scott ELI I can see getting in on the action like Juno but not to that degree. But again who knows. Snow showers etc fir the metro can give us 1-2. A jog 50 more miles west then we start hopping.

by Abba701 Fri Jan 15, 2016 4:11 pm

NWS 3pm update not encouraging

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Jan 15, 2016 4:55 pm

MLK Day will bring some snow flurries or showers early Monday morning. Little to no accumulation. The flow is too fast. The southern energy will slide out to sea.

by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 2:04 am

Frank_Wx wrote:MLK Day will bring some snow flurries or showers early Monday morning. Little to no accumulation. The flow is too fast. The southern energy will slide out to sea.

Surprising based on our track record this winter Rolling Eyes

by **amugs** Sat Jan 16, 2016 11:51 am

For u Sroc, Math and Syo

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 P1_GZ_D5_PN_036_0000

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Jan 16, 2016 11:56 am

amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

Lord I hate these maps in mm! Always looks pretty but it never amounts to much, that's maybe an inch for LI! affraid

by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 12:44 pm

amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

Thanks but no thanks.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 16, 2016 1:04 pm

Whatt?? Are u kidding me with what we have been through so far this winter!?. Jimmy am I going to have to hobble out twitj my girdle from my surgery to the god fir saken Devils Islands and give the malookya and mootzsfitza all in one?? Jelly snap out of it!. Get what u get and u don't get upset , I would kindly take this inch, snow is snow and anything of white gold is a plus.

by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 6:52 pm

[quote="amugs"]Whatt?? Are u kidding me with what we have been through so far this winter!?. Jimmy am I going to have to hobble out twitj my girdle from my surgery to the god fir saken Devils Islands and give the malookya and mootzsfitza all in one?? Jelly snap out of it!. Get what u get and u don't get upset , I would kindly take this inch, snow is snow and anything of white gold is a plus. [/quot

Sorry Dad!! tongue

by **Math23x7** Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:40 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

Thanks but no thanks.

Here in Southern Queens, it would be rain, what else would it be? Razz

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:45 pm

Could we get flurries?

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html#picture

by **amugs** Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:54 pm

RGEM IN THE ZONE ANOTHER NW JOG HERE - SNJ could see a 1-2" from this and snow showers ti light dusting on the nnj coast NENJ

by **amugs** Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:56 pm

All snow is good snow!!

by **aiannone** Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:58 pm

NYC has a snow alert for Monday at 12:01 am lol

by **frank 638** Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:19 pm

aiannone wrote:NYC has a snow alert for Monday at 12:01 am lol

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:20 pm

Holy crap we're desperate, clippers and this excite us, but yes ill gladly accept it.

by **amugs** Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:30 pm

RGEM jogged it nw

10mm = .4 liquid = 4 " white gold

Most if us see a dusting to .25"

by **aiannone** Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:45 pm

What's the timing on that? And maybe a coating and salting event for LI?

by **amugs** Sun Jan 17, 2016 12:10 am

Sunday night ish

by **jmanley32** Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:32 am

Pay attention to Friday it's gonna b our storm I can tell!

by **amugs** Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:19 am

This one is jogging west it is in front of us right now so we take one at a time, stirm, cold then storm, storm ,storm yes three in a row!!!

Hrrr looks good so far even away from the coast I need to edit cause I am on my phone

by **amugs** Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:21 am

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f9

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f10

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f11

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f12

Remember peeps,

ALL SNOW IS GOOD SNOW!!!!

by **Quietace** Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:29 am

amugs wrote:

Remember peeps,

ALL SNOW IS GOOD SNOW!!!!

Looking at current presentation, SE areas will do best with this one. Wet Bulb temps are low once again so once precip starts to fall especially under moderate returns we will be able to cool off via evap cooling.

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