NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

+14
Abba701
billg315
NjWeatherGuy
Snowfall
oldtimer
jake732
amugs
sroc4
algae888
nutleyblizzard
Quietace
jmanley32
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
18 posters

Page 3 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:29 pm

Euro 12z runs
State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Ecmwf_z500a_noram_7(1)
State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f60

0z run
State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f72

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 ECMWF_MSLPThickQPF_ne4_f75
Corrected a good 50 miles west. Another jog as such in the next runs we see an accumulation with 20-1 ratios.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by sroc4 Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:44 pm

@oldtimer wrote:Thanks  Scroc  that's encouraging no matter what  Very little liquid can give a little fun at this juncture

Thats all Im hoping for Oldtimer. Temper expectations, but remain caustiously optimistic. Again at a 20:1 ratio a mere 0.3" of QPF translates to 6" of the fluffy white gold...just sayin.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6973
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Fri Jan 15, 2016 3:48 pm

Scott ELI I can see getting in on the action like Juno but not to that degree. But again who knows. Snow showers etc fir the metro can give us 1-2. A jog 50 more miles west then we start hopping.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Abba701 Fri Jan 15, 2016 4:11 pm

NWS 3pm update not encouraging

Abba701

Posts : 322
Reputation : 0
Join date : 2013-01-14

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Frank_Wx Fri Jan 15, 2016 4:55 pm

MLK Day will bring some snow flurries or showers early Monday morning. Little to no accumulation. The flow is too fast. The southern energy will slide out to sea.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 20070
Reputation : 312
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 29
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 2:04 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:MLK Day will bring some snow flurries or showers early Monday morning. Little to no accumulation. The flow is too fast. The southern energy will slide out to sea.
Surprising based on our track record this winter Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sat Jan 16, 2016 11:51 am

For u Sroc, Math and Syo

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 P1_GZ_D5_PN_036_0000

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Dunnzoo Sat Jan 16, 2016 11:56 am

@amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 P1_GZ_D5_PN_036_0000

Lord I hate these maps in mm! Always looks pretty but it never amounts to much, that's maybe an inch for LI! affraid

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
Dunnzoo
Dunnzoo
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4404
Reputation : 67
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 59
Location : Westwood, NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 12:44 pm

@amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 P1_GZ_D5_PN_036_0000

Thanks but no thanks.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sat Jan 16, 2016 1:04 pm

Whatt?? Are u kidding me with what we have been through so far this winter!?. Jimmy am I going to have to hobble out twitj my girdle from my surgery to the god fir saken Devils Islands and give the malookya and mootzsfitza all in one?? Jelly snap out of it!. Get what u get and u don't get upset , I would kindly take this inch, snow is snow and anything of white gold is a plus.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Guest Sat Jan 16, 2016 6:52 pm

[quote="amugs"]Whatt?? Are u kidding me with what we have been through so far this winter!?. Jimmy am I going to have to hobble out twitj my girdle from my surgery to the god fir saken Devils Islands and give the malookya and mootzsfitza all in one?? Jelly snap out of it!. Get what u get and u don't get upset , I would kindly take this inch, snow is snow and anything of white gold is a plus.  [/quot

Sorry Dad!! tongue tongue tongue

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Math23x7 Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:40 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
@amugs wrote:For u Sroc, Math and Syo

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 P1_GZ_D5_PN_036_0000

Thanks but no thanks.

Here in Southern Queens, it would be rain, what else would it be? Razz

Math23x7
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 2288
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-08

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:45 pm

Could we get flurries?

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html#picture
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:54 pm

RGEM IN THE ZONE ANOTHER NW JOG HERE - SNJ could see a 1-2" from this and snow showers ti light dusting on the nnj coast NENJ

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Image.thumb.png.173583f4f2de32b3115142241ac4227d


Last edited by amugs on Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:58 pm; edited 1 time in total

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:56 pm

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Image.thumb.png.ac5bebbdc7db181026e5f2ece815c3ae

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Image.thumb.png.28087e0a425c2bfdbf820fb151244310

All snow is good snow!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by aiannone Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:58 pm

NYC has a snow alert for Monday at 12:01 am lol
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Lol for what a little snow flurry or dusting of snow what a waste of money whose idea is this pothead mayor

Post by frank 638 Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:19 pm

@aiannone wrote:NYC has a snow alert for Monday at 12:01 am lol

frank 638
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 2366
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 38
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by NjWeatherGuy Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:20 pm

Holy crap we're desperate, clippers and this excite us, but yes ill gladly accept it.
NjWeatherGuy
NjWeatherGuy
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4100
Reputation : 28
Join date : 2013-01-06
Location : Belle Mead, NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:30 pm

RGEM jogged it nw

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Image.thumb.gif.84521718da19b6df93707b31bf2d70a9

10mm = .4 liquid = 4 " white gold

Most if us see a dusting to .25"

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by aiannone Sat Jan 16, 2016 10:45 pm

What's the timing on that? And maybe a coating and salting event for LI?
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4267
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 12:10 am

Sunday night ish

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by jmanley32 Sun Jan 17, 2016 1:32 am

Pay attention to Friday it's gonna b our storm I can tell!
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 18384
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:19 am

This one is jogging west it is in front of us right now so we take one at a time, stirm, cold then storm, storm ,storm yes three in a row!!!

Hrrr looks good so far even away from the coast I need to edit cause I am on my phone

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by amugs Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:21 am

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f9

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f10

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f11

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f12

Remember peeps,

ALL SNOW IS GOOD SNOW!!!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 12434
Reputation : 211
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 51
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Quietace Sun Jan 17, 2016 8:29 am

@amugs wrote:State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f9

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f10

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f11

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 HRRR_PrecipType_ne_f12

Remember peeps,

ALL SNOW IS GOOD SNOW!!!!
Looking at current presentation, SE areas will do best with this one. Wet Bulb temps are low once again so once precip starts to fall especially under moderate returns we will be able to cool off via evap cooling.

_________________
Ryan
Ph.D  Candidate at FSU
M.S. in Meteorology from FSU
B.S. in Meteorology from Plymouth State University
Quietace
Quietace
Meteorologist - Mod
Meteorologist - Mod

Posts : 3615
Reputation : 32
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 24
Location : Tallahassee, FL

Back to top Go down

State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm - Page 3 Empty Re: State of the Union: Winter Edition & MLK Day Possible Storm

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 3 of 4 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum