01/22/16 - 01/23/16 Update #2 - Models Not Backing Off

What do the wind gust look like for CMC?

amugs wrote:Dry slotted  there 111-114

That's because of the dual CCB bands

That's pretty sizable dry-slot

CMC Dynamics are so great with a LP tucked into the BM we have done lights out in this set up. Don't freak it is still a great run

Ace is right - subsidence on the CMC. Can't really say it's wrong. At the same token, there's MANY runs to go still. 

Goodnight. Will post EURO in the morning.

What does the city get with the latest CMC?

Beautiful track with cmc and evolution it will be just as great as gfs.

Total CMC snow:

CMC is stringing out the low and not handling the setup right if u ask me. Probably a bit too far NW and I dont see such a large zone of subsidence in a moisture packed storm like this. To sum it up, I think it looks off.

That's not 2 feet

NjWeatherGuy wrote:CMC is stringing out the low and not handling the setup right if u ask me. Probably a bit too far NW and I dont see such a large zone of subsidence in a moisture packed storm like this. To sum it up, I think it looks off.

You could be right with it being too far northwest, but I think the precipitation field as modeled looks very accurate. When you have rapidly intensifying mid-level lows you can get dual CCB bands. I commented on this the other day I believe

Man, DC and BM are really in the jackpot per latest GFS & CMC. This westward "trend" needs to relax.

I get 8 inches well that wasn't a gr8 way to end night. 39 hrs snow 8 inches is flurries. I think the run or thst map had errors.

Well 8 inches would at least be enough to say that this wouldn't be the winter with the least snow.Ill take it

Did the GFS also lower amounts on coast?

That's a mid and upper Hudson Valley very good run Rb

Lee Goldberg says mix along coast.I say 50-75 percent chance that happens

jimv45 wrote:That's a mid and upper Hudson Valley very good run Rb

Jim, the cmc was a good run for us but it looked a little off. The GFS was good too though. The models are holding fast and it looks like we should do well in the HV.

rb924119 wrote:

syosnow94 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:FINALLY OVER lol

RB that map makes no sense for the NY area and Jersey/Li.  over 2" of QPF. mostly or all snow is 24"+

This is why:



But don't worry about that stuff now. Besides, nobody on this board jackpots lol None of us live in Harrisburg haha

By the way if this verifies the snow will be tall enough to ride every attraction at Hershey Park without an adult!!

I'm with Jman. 30+ hours of snow on the Canadian run with just under 2" of QPF. for a total of 8" snow. Doesn't add up. Somethings off

Yea hyde were do but will not get drawn in for a few more days but its been fun to look at,

There is a scroo zone, if you want to call 6-12 inches of snow a scroo zone, to whoever gets caught in between the two CCB bands. It has shown already on several runs. I wouldn't worry if you're under it now because I highly doubt that is a locked position yet, it has moved all over the place on every run, in many models. I would also be annoyed if I lived in Harrisburg Pa right now. I never want to be in the jackpot zone 5 days out. I really doubt the jackpot zone is set in stone.

Think with your head, not over it.

GEFS mean is really something else for the mid-Atlantic, DC. Unreal.

SoulSingMG wrote:GEFS mean is really something else for the mid-Atlantic, DC. Unreal.

2 inches of snow sets the city of DC into panic mode, I've been there and seen it, not a pretty sight. If they ever got 30 they'd be jumping off government buildings, luckily the snow would cushion their falls.

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

SoulSingMG wrote:GEFS mean is really something else for the mid-Atlantic, DC. Unreal.

2 inches of snow sets the city of DC into panic mode, I've been there and seen it, not a pretty sight. If they ever got 30 they'd be jumping off government buildings, luckily the snow would cushion their falls.

And we'll get 22" in the Park and the zookeeper will measure 2".

Paging Dr euro is Dr euro in the house

For what I've been hearing everything's on par comparing it with the 12 Z at our 57