Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW

by **jmanley32** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:53 pm

my honey moon spot....hope the wonderful people I met there will be okay.

by **Joe Snow** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:53 pm

From my view it looked like it strengthen as it slams into Jamaica

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:54 pm

Hour 72, Matthew is slightly south / slower than 18z. Made landfall in far eastern Jamaica.

by **SoulSingMG** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:54 pm

Joe Snow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:It initialized about 60mb too high, wont that effect the whole run?

Yes it should no? 998 int 941 act ..........Here we go again I guess on the next run, data timing.

No. Intensity isn't affecting his track players which are the steering currents Frank mentioned above.

by **nutleyblizzard** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:54 pm

Hr 66 the western trough has more negative tilt than 18z.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:55 pm

Also hour 72, ULL is moving out faster than 18z.

by **Frank_Wx** Fri Sep 30, 2016 11:59 pm

Hour 84, 2nd landfall in eastern Cuba. Still south of 18z but slight margins.

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:02 am

Hour 90, the ridge over the Northeast is moving east faster since the ULL was weaker / faster to move out. Overall, I think we'll see something similar or worse (as in impacts) than 18z.

by **Sanchize06** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:02 am

Slightly SE through hr 96, but with the ULL moving out a little faster, the ridge is a little better built compared to 18z, going to be hard for an escape on this run...

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:03 am

P.S. between 84 and 90, Matthew began shifted movement from N to NW

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:05 am

took a cut to the west 96 to 102

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:13 am

Southern Fla will definitely feel the heat from this one........... affraid

by **Sanchize06** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:13 am

Hr 126....getting very close to a landfall in Fla

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:15 am

Believe it or not, the ULL is still in between the WAR and the northeast ridge which is preventing the ridge-bridge. The WAR itself also looks weaker on 00z compared to 18z. But, I do like the trough better on 00z.

by **nutleyblizzard** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:16 am

Sanchize06 wrote:Hr 126....getting very close to a landfall in Fla

He'll get pulled north soon. That western trough is starting to close in.

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:17 am

nutleyblizzard wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Hr 126....getting very close to a landfall in Fla
He'll get pulled north soon. That western trough is starting to close in.

I was go say at this clip he will be up this way by thanksgiving lol crawling.

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:17 am

Pressure keeps dropping 990 at hr 96, 979 at hr 132

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:19 am

And that may be way off since the pressure did not initialize right, intensity could in fact be stronger, by alot too possibly.

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:19 am

Hugs the Florida Coast ...........wow

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:20 am

jmanley32 wrote:And that may be way off since the pressure did not initialize right, intensity could in fact be stronger, by alot too possibly.

Very true Jman

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:20 am

by **Joe Snow** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:21 am

Wow hugging the coast

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:21 am

I( think hi-res paints better picture for the pressure good god 914mb!

HURRICANE MATTHEW - Page 27 00z_gf12

by **Sanchize06** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:22 am

Going NNE at hr 162, through coming, someone is getting hit

by **Snow88** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:24 am

It's coming up the coast

by **jmanley32** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:24 am

FWIW CMC is already headed OTS at 114 hrs. also has a little LP to its NE, ya ok whatever piece model lol

by **Frank_Wx** Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:24 am

Hour 162, isobars are pointing to the northeast, trough is much improved on 00z

by Sponsored content