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Models hinting at pattern change (-NAO) to below normal weather near Halloween

HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:23 am

@Frank_Wx wrote:So the Bahamas get smacked by a major hurricane this Friday. It's possible they get smacked by another hurricane Tuesday. His name is...

Matthew.

HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_24

We have officially entered the Twilight Zone
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Dunnzoo Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:24 am

CMC has him continuing north... any rumblings of problems with the gfs run? This is just crazy!

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:25 am

They're getting slammed at hr 174

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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Snow88 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:25 am

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/00z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f174.png?1364096147

Wow

Maybe the next trough will pick up Matthew and send him up the coast
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Frank_Wx Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:26 am

CMC is interesting! Not buying it but not discounting it either.

HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 CMC_MSLPThickQPF_na_f96

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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:28 am

Hr 36 and Hr 180 basically has the storm in the same spot

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Post by Snow88 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:28 am

http://www.stormvistawxmodels.com/img/gfs/current/00z/GFS_MSLPThickQPF_na_f189.png?1364096147
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:28 am

BTW the CMC has been dead on with this storm since I showed its tack on the 26th, I posted a screen shot a few pages back. Just saying
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:33 am

Headed west toward Florida AGAIN! The Keys may get it............
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:34 am

Looks like it stalls at hr 204 and begins to head NW toward S Fla

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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Vinnydula Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:35 am

This can't be real. Could it...
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by NjWeatherGuy Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:36 am

Is the GFS serious? Into the Gulf if looks like rounding the tip of FL XD
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HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Empty Re: HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn"

Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:36 am

925mb

HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Gfs_pres_wind_watl_35

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:37 am

Looks like another run up the coast coming ........
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:40 am

Unbelievable strength heading north at hr 228, low pressure just formed over the great lakes, could try to pull it north...

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:41 am

Sure enough........When was the last time anyone looked at the GFS with concern and validity at hour 222?
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Post by hyde345 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:45 am

If this verified this would be an absolute disaster for the Bahamas and Florida. He is a still a major hurricane the second time around.
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:46 am

For anyone that still cares, heading NE at hr 240 but trough over great lakes is trying to capture him and pull him north

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Post by Snow88 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:50 am

New England crushed at 264
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Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:51 am

This Board went dead, me thinks everyone is in SHOCK.........
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:51 am

The trough does phase it and takes offshore up the coast and hits Nova Scotia as a sub 940mb

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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 am

Oy was going to go to bed but now I have to see the euro...

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Snowfall winter of 2020-2021  51.1"

Snowfall winter of 2019-2020         8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by pdubz Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 am

ummmmmmm what..... was that
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Post by Sanchize06 Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 am

Well we had a second chance at this storm and we still got nothing haha

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Post by Joe Snow Wed Oct 05, 2016 12:53 am

HURRICANE MATTHEW: Phase 2--"The Turn" - Page 10 Amazed10

My Reaction to the GFS Run
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