Re: August 2013 Observation & Discussions Thread

[Frank_Wx]

Some showers, moderate at times, can be expected along the Jersey Shore and southern NJ late tonight into parts of the morning hours tomorrow. But I do not think it will be a washout. Some moisture will try to stream up the coast, but I think the bulk of it remains offshore.

[Quietace]

EURO for tomorrow

[Frank_Wx]

Yea, mainly southern NJ and the Jersey Shore

[Frank_Wx]

Good chance this month ends below normal

[Dunnzoo]

Euro overdid the precip for the shore...most of the rain was west of me only had a little rain tonight..for the next 2 weeks I will be reporting from Seaside Park
:-)

[Frank_Wx]

Have fun!

[Dunnzoo]

Spectacular day at the shore, nice breeze and in the low 80's no clouds in sight.....we will see how tomorrow goes with the increase in heat and humidity....

[Frank_Wx]

VERY boring weather the next two weeks. Humid and warm the next two days, followed by a nice cool down into the 70's over the weekend with less humidity.

[Dunnzoo]

I can take boring until I get back from vaca...last time we were down here we had to evacuate for Irene...

[Frank_Wx]

I can take boring until I get back from vaca...last time we were down here we had to evacuate for Irene...

You must be thrilled then. Lol.  

[Quietace]

The NAM and HRRR want to bring some thunderstorms into the area tomorrow out ahead of the front tomorrow..


The front itself is weak, and carries only isolated thunderstorms along it......very exciting if you ask me......lol

[Quietace]

The CFS has been fantastic the last couple months forecasting. Its been really locked in the last couple weeks of having a just below average September. It's forecasting a weak to moderately +PNA which explains the ridging in the west with the large strong trough situated in the east for parts of the month, thus keeping the Bermuda High off shore. With the MJO going into phase 1 and 2, it seems mostly likely the cool, trough filled boring weather with intermixed average to just above average days will continue....

[Frank_Wx]

Nice, thanks for the update Ryan. CFS has been consistent indeed.

[Dunnzoo]

And no more a/c and money to PSEG!

[Dunnzoo]

Wow looks like northern NJ is getting quite a bit of rain this morning....none down here at the shore yet..reports anyone?

[docstox12]

Wow looks like northern NJ is getting quite a bit of rain this morning....none down here at the shore yet..reports anyone?

Around 7 or 8 AM, there was torrential rain here in Mahwah for a good half hour.Niow, just cloudy and damp.

[Quietace]

Radar estimates are between 1 and 4 inches in north jersey. The hi -res models did a good job with the convection today.

[docstox12]

Radar estimates are between 1 and 4 inches in north jersey. The hi -res models did a good job with the convection today.

That area was south and west of me.They really got pounded good, I saw cells just staying in one place a long time.

[nofoboater]

The storms always seem to get the starch knocked out of them by the time they reach out here, I'll check my gauge tonight but don't believe we received more than 2/10" thus far.

[Quietace]

More intense convection has formed on the southern end of the energy. The convection Has a slow moving vort of energy so all places east of the convection has a chance to pick up a inch plus, as long as the convection keeps the intense DBZ.

[Quietace]

The storms always seem to get the starch knocked out of them by the time they reach out here, I'll check my gauge tonight but don't believe we received more than 2/10" thus far.

That's due To the heavy marine layer in the LI atmosphere. It keeps instability low and the thermodynamics for the convection low also. Thus, not allowing most thunderstorms to retain strength, unless they develops along the sea breeze front during warm days.

[Quietace]

The HRRR has more storms moving in with the front later

[Frank_Wx]

Current radar suggests more storms later this evening, but isolated.

[Dunnzoo]

Wow, what a difference a day makes....a rogue thunderstorm rolled in just over Seaside at about 4:45 this morning and boy are we getting blown around this morning! 70* winds from the NNE@15 gusting @ 24. Got .37" of rain from the severe cell this morning.....

[docstox12]

Absolutely beautiful morning here in NNJ, cool, sunny and light winds.

[amugs]

Wow, what a difference a day makes....a rogue thunderstorm rolled in just over Seaside at about 4:45 this morning and boy are we getting blown around this morning! 70* winds from the NNE@15 gusting @ 24. Got .37" of rain from the severe cell this morning.....

Janet, Just posted on the other board that it his us in Belmar at like 4:30 to about 6AM - crazy but we did not get much rain at all - just a wet ground - kind of like what has happened up North here but just the opposite with you and this summer. Enjoy the rest of your vacation. 

Mugs

[Frank_Wx]

Absolutely beautiful morning here in NNJ, cool, sunny and light winds.

I woke up at 8am to go for a jog before heading to work. It felt fantastic

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