January 7th-8th Wave 2 Snow Event

Can't wait till we get into range for the short range models. When that northern streak up in New England gets ingested into the storm, some potential dynamics may certainly be at play.

Look at this trend on the SREFS

If you remove tomorrow's snow event, the SREF plumes have 7"+ for JFK

Is the srefs a model we can trust ?

It's coming!!!

Frank_Wx wrote:Look at this trend on the SREFS

W@hat is that like hundred miles+? If we can get that one more time godzilla for all even N/W of NYC (will be close anyways) This without ratios too!

track17 wrote:Is the srefs a model we can trust ?

Yes. They are better than the NAM.

RGEM
SREFS
NAM

In that order for short range.

Awesome hope the rgem comes in good for the jersey shore

SREF individual members

MADONNE

Wow and most of those plumes are all on the upper side. What does white plains NY show I am kinda in between both, hoping I am similar plume. Not super important amounts right now just the trend amazing, hopefully this is a steady trend or at least stays put.

Frank_Wx wrote:SREF individual members

Wait, so we were saying ratios would be 15:1 or maybe even 20:1? Does that mean this could be a roid for some if these amounts verified MADONNE is right?

NAM has started.

The 00z NAM is already stronger with the northern stream energy. I circled it to show how slow it is to entering the CONUS. Truthfully, I don't think models will have the best data on it until 00z runs tomorrow.

Frank is the northern energy being strong good or bad ?

nutleyblizzard wrote:Can't wait till we get into range for the short range models. When that northern streak up in New England gets ingested into the storm, some potential dynamics may certainly be at play.

The big kahuna is coming and it is now in N CANADA - when that gets ingested then KABOOM!!IMHO

The 250mb jet streak is stronger over the EC. This could steer the southern s/w further north. Everything else looks the same.

Well, damn.

Damn good or Damn bad?

The 00z NAM is coming in better than 18z.

Frank_Wx wrote:Well, damn.

Jeeze thats one strong jet streak it has to come way north!

Jet streak more NW and stronger over NY State. This should be west of 18z.

00z




18z

Up to hour 36, Nam's typical stopping point. Now we wait 15min for hour 39 lol

Nam is coming in west

frank and everyone i just heard the weather report on WCBS 880 and nothing NADA about a saturday?? how??

one more question if and if if if this as to verify what time would it start and end?

WHAT an improvement 250 jet streak is incredible!