Long Range Thread 13.0
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
The only difference looks to be that this won't effect so much well inland areas like 1993 did.TheAresian wrote:I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
jmanley32 wrote:I got 21 inches from 12/27/10, where are you at? Most of the area saw at least a foot and a half if not more.mikeypizano wrote:jmanley32 wrote:Okay found a timeline of triple phasers, last one was the boxing day blizzard 2010.
According to my blog entries, we got maybe 2 inches form that one here.
Between Wilkes-Barre and Scranton PA, in the Wyoming Valley not to far from AVP.
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
1993 superstorm I got 20" in Bellerose. 13" followed by 3" of sleet then 4" snow st the end. Epic. Catskills up by my parents 41" also on my bday. I turned 21 that day
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
jmanley32 wrote:The only difference looks to be that this won't effect so much well inland areas like 1993 did.TheAresian wrote:I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
If that's the case, I'm going to the OTI Sanitarium and not coming back out until November.
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
TheAresian wrote:jmanley32 wrote:The only difference looks to be that this won't effect so much well inland areas like 1993 did.TheAresian wrote:I got between 27 and 30 inches in '93. So this storm can definitely be that again.
If that's the case, I'm going to the OTI Sanitarium and not coming back out until November.
Well thats what snow maps show right now, who knows maybe it could blow up to the size 1993 was, at this point lots are on the table including debbie downer math who thinks it may even go ots.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Too many analogs and model hints here to brush this off, and the fact that pro mets are actually mentioning it on air, to me that screams big potential.syosnow94 wrote:1993 superstorm I got 20" in Bellerose. 13" followed by 3" of sleet then 4" snow st the end. Epic. Catskills up by my parents 41" also on my bday. I turned 21 that day
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
I have the list in my desk drawer.are new models coming out soon
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Any thoughts on next Saturday and Sunday? It's my bachelorette party. Really looking for at least OK weather :/
sabamfa- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
sabamfa wrote:Any thoughts on next Saturday and Sunday? It's my bachelorette party. Really looking for at least OK weather :/


Nyi1058- Posts : 86
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
CMC is terrible and GFS also
Not a good start but ways to go
Not a good start but ways to go
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
00z is a non-event this run for next week, well ofshore.....sigh
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Trouble in snow paradise. The deadly 00z suite isn't off to a great start for our "bigger" storm...
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
This far out and hyped up on Twitter and Facebook are always a doom.
Obviously only 2 runs no models can be trusted this year
Obviously only 2 runs no models can be trusted this year
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Frank wanted to see the setup hold for 48 hrs it didn't. this should be in banter I know but stick a fork in it i guess its done...or is it? I am getting really tired of this, HAHAHAHAHA
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Please allow me to channel my inner Bernie: "What do we have here?? The WINDSHIELD wiper!" ;-)
We won't know crap until late Sat/Sunday unfortunately. It's an active flow and a quick one at that. Each system affects the other.
We won't know crap until late Sat/Sunday unfortunately. It's an active flow and a quick one at that. Each system affects the other.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Friday night's 00Z runs should start making sense. For now let's just get through Friday
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Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
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Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
Yes Yes, I actually eluded to this happening and I forgot my own logic, this was bound to hear further NE before coming back NW. Yeah getting Fri system out first is very important. moving where ever sunday system is is also important.SoulSingMG wrote:Please allow me to channel my inner Bernie: "What do we have here?? The WINDSHIELD wiper!" ;-)
We won't know crap until late Sat/Sunday unfortunately. It's an active flow and a quick one at that. Each system affects the other.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
0z Euro for Tuesday. Sloppy phase but still a big snowstorm thanks to the tons of energy. The main low went OTS. Now if that low does phase in with all this energy, this would be a huge snowstorm.

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https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/viewtopic.forum?t=815

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https://www.njstrongweatherforum.com/viewtopic.forum?t=815
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 13.0
You're witnessing the best model run in the history of model runs

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