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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 3:09 pm

@mikeypizano wrote:I can try and deny this is happening all I want, but its probably gunna be a blizzard... Anyone have a snow total for that GEFS map?
Well the GEFS are comprised on a bunch of outcomes but from the darker green being over the area (which you do not see often) I would have to say roidzilla snow totals, anyone can correct me if I am wrong.
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Post by mikeypizano Wed Mar 08, 2017 3:10 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@mikeypizano wrote:I can try and deny this is happening all I want, but its probably gunna be a blizzard... Anyone have a snow total for that GEFS map?
Well the GEFS are comprised on a bunch of outcomes but from the darker green being over the area (which you do not see often) I would have to say roidzilla snow totals, anyone can correct me if I am wrong.

Well, guess I will be very busy then.. Shocked
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 08, 2017 3:21 pm

WPC - Holy Molly Batman!!!

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 9mhwbg_conus

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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 08, 2017 3:26 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 500mb_geopotential_height_cyclonic_vorticity_CONUS_hr144.thumb.png.a4f59d750192e1d7dcfa0f7ae701ffef
WOW, and wow to th snow map, big diff from the cut west from last night, I like Franks entusiasm as I do everyone elses here with the good knowledge, sounds like we could be in for a epicness storm as frank used the word not me. Of course yes one run but also to frank tuesday is less than a week away.
Other then the clueless Canadian model, The GFS backed off a bit, and the EURO showed huge improvements today. Expect some more waffling with the models until waves 0ne and two are out of the way and they start to converge on a final solution. The big question is what will the solution be? In other words, its pretty unlikely at least in my opinion, that what we see from the EURO today is locked in especially 6 days out. Does it go down the crapper from here or does this storm evolve even stronger? Plenty of  nail biting and sleepless nights await.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 4:04 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@Frank_Wx wrote:Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 500mb_geopotential_height_cyclonic_vorticity_CONUS_hr144.thumb.png.a4f59d750192e1d7dcfa0f7ae701ffef
WOW, and wow to th snow map, big diff from the cut west from last night, I like Franks entusiasm as I do everyone elses here with the good knowledge, sounds like we could be in for a epicness storm as frank used the word not me. Of course yes one run but also to frank tuesday is less than a week away.
Other then the clueless Canadian model, The GFS backed off a bit, and the EURO showed huge improvements today. Expect some more waffling with the models until waves 0ne and two are out of the way and they start to converge on a final solution. The big question is what will the solution be? In other words, its pretty unlikely at least in my opinion, that what we see from the EURO today is locked in especially 6 days out. Does it go down the crapper from here or does this storm evolve even stronger? Plenty of  nail biting and sleepless nights await.
agreed, was saying verbatim, im aware of the bad possibilities as much as i do not want to think of them.
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Post by billg315 Wed Mar 08, 2017 4:26 pm

Not going to lie. Five days off but I'm getting pretty pumped about this Monday night-Tuesday storm. Friday is the appetizer and Tuesday the main course. Every model I look at right now is, to borrow Frank's phraseology, looking sexy.
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Post by devsman Wed Mar 08, 2017 4:28 pm

Not done after Tuesday either. Another one towards the weekend?
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:03 pm

@devsman wrote:Not done after Tuesday either. Another one towards the weekend?
Didn't hear but lets not get greedy, lets go out with a monster tuesday!! But temper excitement at this time, but as the other frank posted in the other thread Lee said we could see a major noreaster Tues, he does not say stuff like that often 5 days out.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:13 pm

Hour 114 of 18 GFS: Looking great thus far. western ridge is even more amped, wave 2 moving out quicker.
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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:15 pm

DGEX is a beaut! Just for fun. I dont look at this model much


Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 F150

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:18 pm

18z DGEX just went bonkers...

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 Img_3412
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:19 pm

@sroc4 wrote:DGEX is a beaut!  Just for fun.  I dont look at this model much


Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 F150

Hahaha, same time Sroc! :-D
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Post by nutleyblizzard Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:21 pm

Wow! GFS digs the trough all the way down to the gulf this run!!! BIG RUN INCOMING!!!
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:21 pm

18z GFS is a crush job... : ) DEGEX is more intense but not toally diff looking thank GFS in pacement, it appears as models are showing we may all get our "B" word warning if this pans out as those isobars are tight! Man I wish it was Sunday or even Monday.
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Post by skinsfan1177 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:23 pm

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 58c08210
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 58c08211
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 58c08310
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 58c08311
Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 58c08312
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:24 pm

Holy crap starts snow at 138 and heavy shortly after looks like go pull out, no it starts a curve toward gulf of maine keeping us snowing still at hr 162 wow!
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:24 pm

Yep, GFS is an all-out blizzard on that run. Gorgeous stuff.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:27 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:Yep, GFS is an all-out blizzard on that run. Gorgeous stuff.
Totals seem under done on GFS if we take out the 4 inches its showing and after tuesday is 12-18 then its only 8-14. That doesnt seem like a lot for a system that strong and that long lasting, still ill take 8-14 but I can see how GFS may try to get more with Euro, does anyone have the actualy euro play by play?
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Post by sroc4 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:29 pm

Soul Im time stamped at 5:15 you are 5:18...I win. Actually we all win!!! LOL cheers

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:32 pm

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 Gfs_as10

Eastern areas do best but this is a great look, just concerned a bit that being in the hot spot 5 days out is not always a good thing which has been said here many times.  GFS is also way weaker at only 998mb. (this run also shows 4-6 verbatim for friday so subtract that out of this.
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:36 pm

@sroc4 wrote:DGEX is a beaut!  Just for fun.  I dont look at this model much


Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 F150

that does look insane, one thing for sure all the models except the cmc...are honking at a major even epic storm possible next week. Frank has 20% 5 days out which is pretty high for that far for him. I think sunday will be wiped off the slate tomorrow and tues better be raised, you hear frank lol jk
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Post by Guest Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:36 pm

Fellas question. I'm excited for a storm on my birthday but.........Skeptical me wants to know isn't it bad to be in the bullseye this far out. 6 days things will change. It's not like we are inside 48 hours!!!!

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:36 pm

@sroc4 wrote:Soul Im time stamped at 5:15 you are 5:18...I win.  Actually we all win!!!  LOL  cheers

Haha! It's cuz I'm trying to post pics from Montréal on my damn phone and it takes forever! :-p

But yes, a win for us all. I'm impressed at how much the GFS likes this storm threat so far!
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Post by jmanley32 Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:37 pm

GFS has another mothrazilla looking event next friday, wow
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Post by amugs Wed Mar 08, 2017 5:46 pm

Okay who wants to cry for this solution? ?

Long Range Thread 13.0 - Page 38 Lol.png.ae8bda8f0366587abdf729a3a0bac6d5

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