Possible Snowstorm Thursday, February 9th

So nice to see our sight lit up! Long time coming! Love all the posts and the humor This is really what its all about Only one thing Any chance of the Arctic front pushing south

Frank_Wx wrote:I can't confirm but a member of the SREFS shows 36 inches of snow for KPOU.

Frankzilla..........

Yes, yes there is all on its own 35.12. LGA has 19 inches as highest.

White plains has a 25 inch plume jeeze, most likely not going to happen but shows the massive potential for this to over achneve at least some.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/

this is white plains choose on the map below for dutchess airport for the 35.12 inch plume

Plume on AVP (Wilkes-Barre/Scranton International) tops at 17.92

jmanley32 wrote:White plains has a 25 inch plume jeeze, most likely not going to happen but shows the massive potential for this to over achneve at least some.

That would work for me......I'm right on the border of white plains

http://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf

Mt.Holly's briefing noted this hasn't updated since 5am

at that time they put 4" with a max potential of 7 so they had a good start

Winter storm watches are up 6 to 10 inches of snow with locally higher amounts

18z NAM is going crazy

Nam para looks great too

18z NAM PARA is going crazy

Rayno thinks eastern New England is the sweet spot. Winter Storm Watches now up for BOS & PROV, and then THIS map. Am I missing something in my excitement for the potential here in NYC metro??

MINCHIA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wowza

WOOHOO! All of Upton put up WSW already 6-10!

Which is better to use Nam or Nam para

skinsfan1177 wrote:Which is better to use Nam or Nam para

NAM PARA has had this event from the beginning. Consistent.

Models are literally dropping 1" QPF in a freaking 6 hour span.

Frank_Wx wrote:Models are literally dropping 1" QPF in a freaking 6 hour span.

I have a feeling we are going to be seeing cantore somewhere and thundersnow going off like crazy. Thats heavy enough to make whiteout conditions without any wind wow.

Frank_Wx wrote:

skinsfan1177 wrote:Which is better to use Nam or Nam para

NAM PARA has had this event from the beginning. Consistent.

Great news thanks Frank I'll take it

Alright! Now I feel a little better...

.WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Winter Storm
Watch...which is in effect from late Wednesday night through
Thursday afternoon.

* Accumulations...Snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches...locally
higher.

* Locations...Long Island...New York City...Northeast New
Jersey...the Lower Hudson Valley of New York...and Southern
Connecticut.

* Hazard types...Heavy snow.

* Timing...Late Wednesday night through Thursday.

* Impacts...Hazardous travel due to snow covered roads and poor
visibilities. Blowing and drifting snow is possible.

* Temperatures...In the 30s.

Amazing GIF. Look how the 500mb energy keeps digging each consecutive run. The more this digs, the better odds are that H5 closes off. I don't think H5 ends up closing off this storm, but if it does, it's an easy Godzilla.

Mount Holly:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
329 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017

NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101>106-080830-
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0003.170209T0300Z-170209T2300Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Trenton,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton,
Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester, Kennett Square, Collegeville,
Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville,
and Doylestown
329 PM EST Tue Feb 7 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Winter
Storm Watch...which is in effect from Wednesday evening through
Thursday afternoon.

* LOCATIONS...Eastern Pennsylvania and central and northern New
Jersey.

* HAZARD TYPES...Heavy snow.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Potential for 6 or more inches.

* TIMING...A wintry mix will overspread the area from the west
Wednesday night. The event will likely begin as snow north of
the I-78 corridor. Elsewhere, rain will change over to snow from
northwest to southeast late Wednesday night into Thursday
morning. Sleet may mix briefly during the transition from rain
to snow. The snow could be heavy at times late Wednesday night
and Thursday morning before tapering off from west to east
during the afternoon Thursday.

* IMPACTS...The heavy snow and poor visibilities at times could
make travel dangerous. Significant impacts to the Thursday
morning rush are likely.

* WINDS...North 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...Upper 30s and lower 40s at the onset, falling
into the lower 30s by early Thursday morning.

* VISIBILITIES...1/2 mile or less at times in heavy snow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

Snowfall and ice accumulation forecast maps in addition to
experimental probabilistic snowfall information for the latest
event are available online at www.weather.gov/phi/winter

Frank- if the system is supposed to be longer in duration than originally anticipated, could someone feasibly see a 1-2"/hr rates for 4-6 hours?

Frank_Wx wrote:Amazing GIF. Look how the 500mb energy keeps digging each consecutive run. The more this digs, the better odds are that H5 closes off. I don't think H5 ends up closing off this storm, but if it does, it's an easy Godzilla.

You can also see how the flow ahead of the trough axis has shifted from west-southwest to south-southwest

Frank_Wx wrote:Models are literally dropping 1" QPF in a freaking 6 hour span.

Frank that MADONNE WORTHY