Re: Long Range Thread 14.0

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Mar 09, 2017 5:26 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:Trough is tighter on the 18z GFS. This should come closer to the coast.

is that bad or good?

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Mar 09, 2017 5:28 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Check the low center positions on the EURO Ensembles.

MADONNE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

OFFICIALLY EXCITED NOW

refuse to say anything to anyone and will not get excited until Sunday!!

I bet you crack by Saturday!

I hope not I am superstitious!!! when it comes to snow..my BF called me a few minutes ago to talk about tom and mentioned Tues..and I just brushed her off by changing back to tom...lol

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Mar 09, 2017 5:30 pm

The storm may be 4 days away but the critical pieces of energy are being within North America by late Saturday or Sunday

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 5:45 pm

Maddone! I think I need a drink!

by **jmanley32** Thu Mar 09, 2017 5:52 pm

Wow holy crap.....we are headed in director of our first possible use of frankzilla will love to see tgat banner lol. The wind is nuts on that run too wow this is just a heavenly run.

by **frank 638** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:09 pm

Wow when was the last time we used frankzilla I think it was last year in Jan

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:10 pm

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:30 pm

mikeypizano wrote:

Nice! I'm stopping off to get some Irish Whisky after work. It's going to be a long week!

by **RJB8525** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:32 pm

Dunnzoo wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:

Nice! I'm stopping off to get some Irish Whisky after work. It's going to be a long week!

you said it, up all night on the site lol

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:35 pm

I will be working tomorrow, so I need to get some sleep tonight...

by **RJB8525** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:46 pm

mikeypizano wrote:I will be working tomorrow, so I need to get some sleep tonight...

no sleep for you! you must track with us

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:49 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:I will be working tomorrow, so I need to get some sleep tonight...

no sleep for you! you must track with us

I probably won't sleep, but I will be out at around 5-6AM blowing snow

by **RJB8525** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:52 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:I will be working tomorrow, so I need to get some sleep tonight...

no sleep for you! you must track with us

I probably won't sleep, but I will be out at around 5-6AM blowing snow

if anything happens LOL

by mwilli5783 Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:54 pm

every time i see the word MADONNEE...i think ure refering to madonna so 4 tuesday's" storm im gonna name it..."holiday"(celebrate)

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 6:54 pm

mwilli5783 wrote:every time i see the word MADONNEE...i think ure refering to madonna so 4 tuesday's" storm im gonna name it..."holiday"(celebrate)

I named it Steve...

by **jmanley32** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:09 pm

TWC will have a actual name for it from their list wherever they are at.

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:11 pm

jmanley32 wrote:TWC will have a actual name for it from their list wherever they are at.

Winterstorm MADDONNE!

by **nutleyblizzard** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:22 pm

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 6 Imagep11

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 6 Imagep10

GEFS Looking great! Stronger low and closer to the coast from the previous run!

by **RJB8525** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:25 pm

mikeypizano wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:TWC will have a actual name for it from their list wherever they are at.

Winterstorm MADDONNE!

by **Grselig** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:27 pm

RJB8525 wrote:
mikeypizano wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:TWC will have a actual name for it from their list wherever they are at.

Winterstorm MADDONNE!

Reggie. I hate Reggie. Should have been Frank

by **amugs** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:27 pm

Okay quickly - Skins hit the nail on teh head here - in all the excitement of what could be a Historic or at best a Biblical Blizzard - the convective feedback issues with all teh latent heat from teh STJ is playing wonky games with teh models and their synoptics with qpf and snow amount maps. The Polar Jet piece is not phased into these LP runs YET and this could cause this to be worse, possible much worse well better for us snow weenies. IF we get a threesome (no Syo not your sex class even though every hs man dreams of one!) teh triple phase. then MOTHER OF LORD IN HEAVEN. If the timing and phase of the PJ could tug or retrograde the storm back and capture it so to speak and stall it or make a loop back - possible yes - happening who knows. Throwing out some aspects of making this even better.

Winds Jman will be freaking the freak - Jersey shore showing 50&60knots and for up here 30/40/50knots for hours.

Beach erosion,coastal flooding moderate to possible major for the duration (20 hours plus) of such a storm

power outages as well

This is all if things fall into place folks - putting out a scenario that we have seen so far on model runs.

When teh SR/ meso models runs get within range Friday night and Saturday then we will see what is what - NAMS maybe leading the way again like last years blizzard.

Again just some thought here on teh set up and possibilities not gospel but these players are on teh table and more.................

by **nutleyblizzard** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:28 pm

by **amugs** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:30 pm

Jet structure - are you kidding me ?? THIS IS TOTALLY UNREAL!

Long Range Thread 14.0 - Page 6 58c1f1702d440

by **jmanley32** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:31 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:

Oy dont show LI peeps that nada!! And thats including today so if these are true its snowing about 6 inches very sharp cutoffs, not good.

by **skinsfan1177** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:32 pm

nutleyblizzard wrote:

These maps are always messed up for the coast

by **mikeypizano** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:34 pm

amugs wrote:Okay quickly - Skins hit the nail on teh head here - in all the excitement of what could be a Historic or at best a Biblical Blizzard - the convective feedback issues with all teh latent heat from teh STJ is playing wonky games with teh models and their synoptics with qpf and snow amount maps. The Polar Jet piece is not phased into these LP runs YET and this could cause this to be worse, possible much worse well better for us snow weenies. IF we get a threesome (no Syo not your sex class even though every hs man dreams of one!) teh triple phase. then MOTHER OF LORD IN HEAVEN. If the timing and phase of the PJ could tug or retrograde the storm back and capture it so to speak and stall it or make a loop back - possible yes - happening who knows. Throwing out some aspects of making this even better.

Winds Jman will be freaking the freak - Jersey shore showing 50&60knots and for up here 30/40/50knots for hours.

Beach erosion,coastal flooding moderate to possible major for the duration (20 hours plus) of such a storm

power outages as well

This is all if things fall into place folks - putting out a scenario that we have seen so far on model runs.

When teh SR/ meso models runs get within range Friday night and Saturday then we will see what is what - NAMS maybe leading the way again like last years blizzard.

Again just some thought here on teh set up and possibilities not gospel but these players are on teh table and more.................

I HATE POWER OUTAGES! I have a pellet stove, so no power, no heat, and it the stove is running when it cuts out, smoke backs up into the house.

by **jmanley32** Thu Mar 09, 2017 7:34 pm

skinsfan1177 wrote:
nutleyblizzard wrote:

These maps are always messed up for the coast

I sure as hell hope so, cuz these include tomorrow then I am basically getting a few inches at most, theres def something wrong there showing such a sharp cutoff and nothing for LI.

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