Long Range Thread 14.0
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Long Range Thread 14.0
how much of that is from fri? If 6 plus like other models tues wpuld b a mothrazilla at best on that run.Snow88 wrote:0z Euro for Tuesday. Sloppy phase but still a big snowstorm thanks to the tons of energy. The main low went OTS. Now if that low does phase in with all this energy, this would be a huge snowstorm.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
jmanley32 wrote:how much of that is from fri? If 6 plus like other models tues wpuld b a mothrazilla at best on that run.Snow88 wrote:0z Euro for Tuesday. Sloppy phase but still a big snowstorm thanks to the tons of energy. The main low went OTS. Now if that low does phase in with all this energy, this would be a huge snowstorm.
Euro with both storms combined is around 15 inches so minus about 2-3 inches from Friday and you will still get around 12 inches. Remember, this wasn't a phase. Imagine a phase.

Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
yeah 06z gfs was a phase looked like but off shore but improvement from 00z. Windshield wiper.Snow88 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:how much of that is from fri? If 6 plus like other models tues wpuld b a mothrazilla at best on that run.Snow88 wrote:0z Euro for Tuesday. Sloppy phase but still a big snowstorm thanks to the tons of energy. The main low went OTS. Now if that low does phase in with all this energy, this would be a huge snowstorm.
Euro with both storms combined is around 15 inches so minus about 2-3 inches from Friday and you will still get around 12 inches. Remember, this wasn't a phase. Imagine a phase.![]()
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
If you go back to a lot of the big storms in the past, you will often see the models show a more offshore track in the mid range; if not lose the storm all together, only to bring it back inside 72 hours. People need to relax. The pattern screams for a large impact storm.jmanley32 wrote:yeah 06z gfs was a phase looked like but off shore but improvement from 00z. Windshield wiper.Snow88 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:how much of that is from fri? If 6 plus like other models tues wpuld b a mothrazilla at best on that run.Snow88 wrote:0z Euro for Tuesday. Sloppy phase but still a big snowstorm thanks to the tons of energy. The main low went OTS. Now if that low does phase in with all this energy, this would be a huge snowstorm.
Euro with both storms combined is around 15 inches so minus about 2-3 inches from Friday and you will still get around 12 inches. Remember, this wasn't a phase. Imagine a phase.![]()
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
2006,2010,2016
Snow88- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Snow88 wrote: The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
JB honking on this one - Joe LOVES the big ones and is rarely wrong with such dynamic storms:
He told his clients this morning for next weeks storm 12-24' from CNJ/Philly to Bastan.
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
amugs wrote:Snow88 wrote: The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
JB honking on this one - Joe LOVES the big ones and is rarely wrong with such dynamic storms:
He told his clients this morning for next weeks storm 12-24' from CNJ/Philly to Bastan.
Heard HM brushed off the Big Daddy hat, hope its not a jinx!!
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Mugs, I love the news and perhaps your sense of humor (Bastan) even more.
dkodgis- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
dkodgis wrote:Mugs, I love the news and perhaps your sense of humor (Bastan) even more.
Well you can't type in Red Sox Suck because of Franks change, which I proposed and love, thanks again Frank.
Go Yanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
amugs wrote:Snow88 wrote: The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
JB honking on this one - Joe LOVES the big ones and is rarely wrong with such dynamic storms:
He told his clients this morning for next weeks storm 12-24' from CNJ/Philly to Bastan.
WOW 12-24 FEET ! Now that's alot of snow. If we get that much I'm going to die and go to heaven. LOL !
SNOW MAN- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
SNOW MAN wrote:amugs wrote:Snow88 wrote: The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
JB honking on this one - Joe LOVES the big ones and is rarely wrong with such dynamic storms:
He told his clients this morning for next weeks storm 12-24' from CNJ/Philly to Bastan.
WOW 12-24 FEET ! Now that's alot of snow. If we get that much I'm going to die and go to heaven. LOL !
That will make the blizzard of 1888 look like flurries. We need a name for a 12-24 foot storm, how about an Armageddon? Bring it on JB, the question is who will be in the scroo zone of 144 inches?
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
pretty sure meant 12 to 24 " lol scroo zone of 144 my god I couldntbimagine.CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:SNOW MAN wrote:amugs wrote:Snow88 wrote: The models seem to show the big storms a week out
2006,2010,2016
JB honking on this one - Joe LOVES the big ones and is rarely wrong with such dynamic storms:
He told his clients this morning for next weeks storm 12-24' from CNJ/Philly to Bastan.
WOW 12-24 FEET ! Now that's alot of snow. If we get that much I'm going to die and go to heaven. LOL !
That will make the blizzard of 1888 look like flurries. We need a name for a 12-24 foot storm, how about an Armageddon? Bring it on JB, the question is who will be in the scroo zone of 144 inches?
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
is it possible some models are having trouble with Tuesday is become tomorrow's storm has trending stronger and models are just having issues?
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
RJB8525 wrote:is it possible some models are having trouble with Tuesday is become tomorrow's storm has trending stronger and models are just having issues?
i think the strength and location of Sunday's southern storm would effect Tuesday's model output more no?
Radz- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Radz wrote:RJB8525 wrote:is it possible some models are having trouble with Tuesday is become tomorrow's storm has trending stronger and models are just having issues?
i think the strength and location of Sunday's southern storm would effect Tuesday's model output more no?
i forgot about that 2nd wave
RJB8525- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
GFS combining wave 2 and 3??
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
12z GFS


Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
CMC is strait up porn for Tuesday. OMG
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
12z CMC


Sanchize06- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Is There any model not showing a HECS? Cause I haven't seen one
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Ya did not go out far enough, the 12z GFS has us snowing a LONG time, heres when its done boya!Sanchize06 wrote:12z GFS

jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
12z CMC also snows bit longer nearly in line with GFS, thats a change of pace.

Wow, and remember windshield wiper I would not be surprised to see this go back to closer to inside benchmark and give us even higher totals but this is gr8.


Wow, and remember windshield wiper I would not be surprised to see this go back to closer to inside benchmark and give us even higher totals but this is gr8.

jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Are these with tonight's snow?
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
jmanley32 wrote:12z CMC also snows bit longer nearly in line with GFS, thats a change of pace.
Wow, and remember windshield wiper I would not be surprised to see this go back to closer to inside benchmark and give us even higher totals but this is gr8.
You're right Jman, the GFS and the CMC boh have exactly 15 inches right over my house. You don't often see agreement by two different models to that degree this far out. It makes me think this might actually happen.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: Long Range Thread 14.0
Yes it does include tomorrows, I am not sure how to seperate snow totals by storm if thats even possible, but next tues looks to be at least godzilla level verbatim on these runs.
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