Re: Long Range Thread 14.0

[frank 638]

Frank i I agree with you with the 2011-2012 winter but I want to have a 95-96 winter again because Central Park had 80 inches of snow if anyone remembers that year we had snow from late November too early April

[rb924119]

^^^^^^^^^^^^^RAY!!!!!!!!!!!!

Now look at this - IF this happened here next week people would poop their pants!

It's going to happen mugs. I think the end of next week could offer a borderline heat wave for some IF THE FULL POTENTIAL IS REALIZED. Check out Easter 1976; identical analog. Just saying lol with the way the Hemispheric pattern is looking to shape up during that period, we should have a huge surge of warmth through the East, and given the previous tendencies to over achieve so far this year, I think argues strongly for widespread 70s, 80s, and even approaching 90, again, if potential is maximized.

[Snow88]

I want a 2011-2012 winter repeat























...said no one ever

Or a 2001-2002

That winter was terrible

[amugs]

@Math - I am not saying the warmth kid I MEAN THE COLD AND SNOW LOL!!!
The warmth is going to happen and yes Ray 1976 perfect analog for this when El Paso snowed and we baked in 90* temps - how frigged up is that.
Frank squared 11-12 winter sucked why that one?? Unless my memory went to the porcelain god this morning it was God awful forour neck of the woods.

For some Nino love look at this comparison between teh two of the Ocean temp anomalies - wow what a major difference between the Godzilla brewing Nino and the one that looks to be taking shape now - worlds apart



Sun is active again and has been for the last few days but it had a very low to no stretch for about 8 days before this.



POTENT CORONAL HOLE TURNS TOWARD EARTH: A large hole in the sun's atmosphere is turning toward Earth, and it is spewing a stream of fast-moving solar wind toward our planet. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the giant fissure on April 21st:



This is a "coronal hole" (CH) -- a vast region where the sun's magnetic field opens up and allows solar wind to escape. Gaseous material flowing from this coronal hole is expected to reach our planet on April 23rd or 24th and could spark moderately-strong G2-class geomagnetic storms. NOAA forecasters say the odds of a magnetic storm is 75%.

[skinsfan1177]

@Math - I am not saying the warmth kid I MEAN THE COLD AND SNOW LOL!!!
The warmth is going to happen and yes Ray 1976 perfect analog for this when El Paso snowed and we baked in 90* temps - how frigged up is that.
Frank squared 11-12 winter sucked why that one?? Unless my memory went  to the porcelain god this morning it was God awful forour neck of the woods.

For some Nino love look at this comparison between teh two of the Ocean temp anomalies - wow what a major difference between the Godzilla brewing Nino and the one that looks to be taking shape now - worlds apart



Sun is active again and has been for the last few days but it had a very low to no stretch for about 8 days before this.



POTENT CORONAL HOLE TURNS TOWARD EARTH: A large hole in the sun's atmosphere is turning toward Earth, and it is spewing a stream of fast-moving solar wind toward our planet. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory photographed the giant fissure on April 21st:



This is a "coronal hole" (CH) -- a vast region where the sun's magnetic field opens up and allows solar wind to escape. Gaseous material flowing from this coronal hole is expected to reach our planet on April 23rd or 24th and could spark moderately-strong G2-class geomagnetic storms. NOAA forecasters say the odds of a magnetic storm is 75%.

So Mugs does this correlate to warmer temps coming?

[amugs]

For the sun activity yes hence which the maps/models are showing the warmth at the end of the month.

The top maps of the Pac Waters (20C Anomaly) show how the ocean in this area has cooled in a cross section view (like slicing a 7 layers cake and seeing all teh layers before yuo eat them LOL!) This is stating that the EL Nino will not be what we experienced by any stretch with this occurring UNLESS something major occurs in teh next few months but not going to happen (1% chance).

[algae888]

nice west based nino coming. very early but some indicators looking positive for 2017-18 winter. low solar (positive). can we get the qbo to flip and has the +ao run it's course (4 consecutive years). time will tell. only 6 more months of warmth to get through!

[amugs]

Where teh H was this in Jan and Feb ?? A strong based -NAO - ARRGHHH!!

[Snow88]

^^^ Always happens

[frank 638]

Has anyone checked out AccuWeather for the summer outlook . They were saying we won't see extreme heat which is a good thing because I hate when it's very hot and humid and we will see more thunderstorms esp for June and July. For the tropical Outlook they never mention anything on that

[amugs]

NAO gping to be temporarily but will bring cooler temps for the post warm spell we have in early May

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