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BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:03 pm

Good Evening -

Please follow link to my blog. Let me know if you have any questions. If this threat remains imminent, I will hold a chat Sunday night.

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/2017/03/possible-roidzilla-brewing.html


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Post by Armando Salvadore Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:08 pm

Fantastic post as usual Frank, great write up here. Yeah, this is also one of the most eye catching events i've seen models show in a long time, with three branches of the jet interacting/phasing here. The sky is the ceiling here.
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Post by billg315 Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:14 pm

Excellent analysis as always Frank! Really puts in perspective the jobs and responsibilities of all the players on the atmospheric playing field in making this happen.
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Post by amugs Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:19 pm

Great write up - need 4 -6 hour earlier inject of PJ and KABOOMMM we go down in as number one baby! This boards server needs a check up pronto kid - dont want an outage due to traffic - u know what happened with Juno.

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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:24 pm

Great to finally see something developing and all these pieces coming together.

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Post by frank 638 Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:31 pm

Excellent write up and maps u post frank my fingers are cross for a big one please let's get a monster snowstorm

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:44 pm

Great writeup let the 00z gfs get us excited again!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:45 pm

Great post
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Post by Radz Thu Mar 09, 2017 10:46 pm

Great write up Frank, and I echo the sentiments of others as we see these pieces coming together - amazing dynamics, hope to see them unfold to their potential.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:06 pm

00z GFS run looks like its going to be a huge one!!
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Post by mikeypizano Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:09 pm

Running slow, I need sleep but I need to see it!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:09 pm

OMG....

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms11

I worry or maybe I shouldnt that there could be mixing issues? Thats really close to coast.
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Post by nutleyblizzard Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:11 pm

Jesus Christ. This might top the 18z run! Shocked
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:11 pm

Crap it goes right over us changes to all rain!!
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Post by Radz Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:12 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:OMG....

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms11

I worry or maybe I shouldnt that there could be mixing issues? Thats really close to coast.

Wow, I'd say so
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:12 pm

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms12

not a good run way to close to coast.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:13 pm

snows less than 6 hrs before everyone changes to rain what a way to go to bed ugg...frank eluded to this.
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Post by rb924119 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:14 pm

You miss a day of model runs and the whole world seems like it flipped upside down. Been at work so I just spent the last half hour catching up. That said, this storm has bothered me from the beginning; I've seen this setup before but for the life of me could not figure it out. While reading up on today's events it finally occurred to me. If anybody wants to post a few maps or look into themselves, February 21st-28th, 2010, I believe it was. First system came through along a stalled east-west boundary (our system number two, missing south) and then the North American Blizzard as it came to be called developed 24 hours later along the repositioned stalled boundary then across Florida, came up as a Miller-A, and dropped 1-3 feet area-wide. I actually have an in-depth case study of it that I did for school if anybody wants to see it, but that is a PERFECT analog week to this one. Highly suggest checking it out, if for no other reason than interest alone!


Last edited by rb924119 on Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:18 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by SoulSingMG Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:15 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms12

not a good run way to close to coast.

The UKIE hinted at this at the 12z run!
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:16 pm

Okayyy holy crap its still able to drop nearly 1-2 1/2 feet!!

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_as12


Last edited by jmanley32 on Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:21 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by rb924119 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:16 pm

Great write up, btw, Frank!! I am also slightly concerned that this could have some rain involved, but we'll see!!

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:18 pm

Surface sustained winds in kts holy crap...

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms13

850mb winds insane

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Gfs_ms14
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Post by RJB8525 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:21 pm

Inhale, exhale lol you're gonna drive yourself crazy ! I'm gonna wait for tomorrow to pass and then pay attention to Tuesday
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Post by rb924119 Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:21 pm

Uhh, correct me if I'm wrong, but I do believe that would be a BECS......

BLOG: Roidzilla Could Impact Area Tuesday March 14th Img_0710

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Post by mikeypizano Thu Mar 09, 2017 11:22 pm

BAD RUN? For you maybe, I get HAMMERED!
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