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Tracking Hurricane Irma

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Post by Math23x7 Sun Sep 03, 2017 8:57 pm

Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

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Post by amugs Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:01 pm

Math23x7 wrote:Dave Tolleris (DT) thinks that once Irma ends it's current southwest movement and begins to go northwest in a couple of days, the models will correct themselves and shift Irma's track east and out to sea.

He hugs the Euro and EPS. Explain what mechanism is going to kick her through the Block setting up?

Meantime
Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 DI1yNI3WAAAHj3r

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:16 pm

https://www.pscp.tv/AccuRayno/1BRJjyrRPOjGw?t=106


Bernie Rayno latest video
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Post by sroc4 Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:52 pm

Thanks Weather mom Levi Cowans latest video as well.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com

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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 9:54 pm

sroc4 wrote:Thanks Weather mom Levi Cowans latest video as well.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com
thanks was just going to watch it... update...he is so clear and concise....a great watch...and as you have been saying..we have to wait and see...
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:30 pm

Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10
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Post by Joe Snow Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:33 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10

237 mph wind that will send some trees and houses in to the next zip code affraid affraid affraid affraid
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:47 pm

Joe Snow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Okay this is insane, talk about unheard of on earth....this is purely for fun cuz I just can't believe this happening HMON 857mb 206kts, yeah okay.  If true so then god help us.

Tracking Hurricane Irma - Page 18 Hmon_m10

237 mph wind that will send some trees and houses in to the next zip code affraid affraid affraid affraid
Thats also smack in the middle of the bahamas, next zipcode, stuff would land in FL. Not gonna happen, unless I hear otherwise.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:28 pm

Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:29 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...
Thats absurd, on another note 00z GFS has begun strap in lol, the recon data must have been input cuz it initialized at 961mb.
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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:34 pm

Hr 30 wow, 13mb stronger on hi-res map. Woah 933mb.
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Post by hyde345 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:35 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:Here's what I just heard on channel 4 I don't usually what that channel..but forecaster just said if irma were to hit usa it wouldn't be that strong.....did anyone else hear her? I know I didn't hear wrong that I s irresponsible...

Maybe she should watch what Irma may do to the bahamas and then get back to us.
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Post by Sanchize06 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:49 pm

GFS stronger and even more further south through 78

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Post by jmanley32 Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:57 pm

This run very well may hit FL, Bahamas get wreaked.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:04 am

Its actually missing direct hit on Bahamas and cuba riding between them, is this gulf bound rb? : )

Is the difference that the trough pulled out much faster?  I noticed on this run it does so much faster.


Last edited by jmanley32 on Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:11 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:09 am

@138 Bye Bye Cuba
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:12 am

Joe Snow wrote:@138 Bye Bye Cuba
what is up with this run, drastically different.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:14 am

Hello south FL as it starts to head north or NW missing direct landfall on Cuba.
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:15 am

jmanley32 wrote:
Joe Snow wrote:@138 Bye Bye Cuba
what is up with this run, drastically different.

Looking like Hurricane Donna's evil twin, track very similar


Last edited by Joe Snow on Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:17 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:16 am

It looks like the storm stalls from 150 to 156 over cuba
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:18 am

Man I hope this isnt the outcome for two reasons, the south doesnt need more of this and its go put us tracing another 10-15 days, which we started 5 days ago  crying lol
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:20 am

Oh man its a 884mb landfall on south FL, around Miami omg....
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:22 am

FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.
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Post by Joe Snow Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:25 am

jmanley32 wrote:FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.

That would be shear devastation for most of Florida.................WOW
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Post by Disneyprincess1592 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:28 am

What would a south FL landfall mean for central FL?

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:28 am

Joe Snow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:FL is never the same.....all the way up below 900mb my god horror.

That would be shear devastation for most of Florida.................WOW
My inlaws new house is under construction due to move late Sept., it will be gone eye right over the daytona area....
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:29 am

Disneyprincess1592 wrote:What would a south FL landfall mean for central FL?
All of FL on this run is devastated, but this is the first run like this, models still have no clue.
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