Re: Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay?

by **amugs** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:04 pm

aiannone wrote:Im waiting for king euro

Here we go Alex!!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 13 59beb8adb71b0

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:09 pm

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:10 pm

aiannone wrote:

That looks....ominous?

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:11 pm

Monstrous wind field

by **amugs** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:16 pm

De Crsuher!!!
2 runs in a row now peeps !!

Hurricane Jose - Yay or Nay? - Page 13 59beb9b271772

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:17 pm

Anyone have sfc wind maps

by **weatherwatchermom** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:17 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
aiannone wrote:

That looks....ominous?

wow

by **amugs** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:23 pm

Last few days of 12Z EURO Runs - look at this.

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:25 pm

amugs wrote:Last few days of 12Z EURO Runs - look at this.

West west west lol

by **dsix85** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:26 pm

Does this have Sandy-esque features?

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:27 pm

amugs wrote:Last few days of 12Z EURO Runs - look at this.

What a shift(s)! It's bizarre tho, a lot of pro mets I'm following are writing off the Euro saying that the HWRF is east, euro will correct back east etc. I guess they think he will be booted NE quicker.

by Guest Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:33 pm

amugs wrote:Syo - going golfing Tuesday?? Good luck dude and I want to see yuor score card LOL!!

I'll wear my fishing waders Al. Laughing

by **amugs** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:35 pm

Euro would be a big problem for LI and Jersey shores (back bay flooding once teh winds shift to the NW as he pulls N/NE and coastal)
LI will have a couple of high tides to contend with.
Remember we have a new moon to boot!!

by **aiannone** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:36 pm

I need surface wind maps!!!

by **dsix85** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:39 pm

Does this have any potential to be as bad as Sandy?

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:43 pm

dsix85 wrote:Does this have any potential to be as bad as Sandy?

Nope.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 2:50 pm

So looks like my area may see some pretty high gusts over 60 maybe if euro is right. 925 was 65 sustained and part or all of that could mix down. Sr models are still what interest me.

by **jake732** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:09 pm

Don't believe tropical storm winds make it on shore

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:12 pm

jake732 wrote:Don't believe tropical storm winds make it on shore

Well if you believe the euro and nam they do.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:19 pm

aiannone wrote:I need surface wind maps!!!

Yesthr map that was posted for the 925mb winds for 00z was good would like see that for 12z I think it's west.

by **jake732** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:20 pm

Don't we see very often that wind maps do not actually verify?

by **algae888** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:20 pm

jake732 wrote:Don't believe tropical storm winds make it on shore

15 - 25 mile per hours sustained with gust to the 40s north of I-95. Probably got into the 50s for parts of Long Island and right along the immediate Shore. That's if the Euro and nam are correct. We have to see if he maintains his strength when he gets to our latitude. It looks like he may sit there for a few days as he gradually weakens. Dangerous rip currents beach erosion and coastal flooding are probably the biggest issues with this storm. As with most tropical systems that do not make landfall mainly a coastal event. Minimal impacts as you go away from the coast.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 3:49 pm

Those winds that don't play out tend to b non tropical I think this all depends on how far west Jose is. Like Al said if Irma energy is as depicted in nam the west side could continue. Currently nhc has NYC and just west in 30 to 40 % ts winds. That's a big shift west from yesterday where even long islsnd was primarily out of the wind area. This is very tricky and will probably be somewhat of a now at. But unless it came really far west it would be like a decent noreaster with bigger issues for ocean areas.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:00 pm

Navgem holds serve maybe slight nw. But quite a bit stronger hence winds are shown stronger. Probably data from recon. We shall see the west trek could b true or not at this point I dunno lol

Frank what do you think. I see you no longer have s I dex up for Jose ehy? It appears there's still some chance and u explained the index being sny effects. Just curious of any updated thoughts u may have on the fact that euro navgem ukmet and nam show much more west than when some thought to can Jose.

by **jake732** Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:03 pm

NAM looking east

by Guest Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:04 pm

As per NHC. Tropical storm watch. Jersey coast.

by **jmanley32** Sun Sep 17, 2017 4:05 pm

Nam is a bit east at hr 18 will have see if that piece energy Al spoke of brings him back west.

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