Wx Banter Thread 2.0

[nutleyblizzard]

At this early Juncture, encouraging signs as we creep closer to winter Mugs. A weak Modoki Nino would be great for us. Now if we can finally get a -NAO to coincide which for the most part has alluded us for several winter seasons, look out!

[amugs]

Food for thought on this upcoming winter
http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/07/preliminary-profiling-of-winter-2017.html#!/2017/07/preliminary-profiling-of-winter-2017.html

[amugs]

For the love of God Nov really I want this from D through March LOL. A Negative NAO and EC trough with A Neg EPO and Pos PNA!!!

[docstox12]

For the love of God Nov really I want this from D through March LOL. A Negative NAO and EC trough with A Neg EPO and Pos PNA!!!

It's a funny thing, Mugsy.I read this early today then went out doing some chores around town up here in Monroe NY and I see the pleasant harbinger of over 10 trees displaying some leafs with color.

[dkodgis]

What is more accurate, digital or analog?

I was looking at winter forecasts on YouTube and predictions are all over the place. The presentations look pretty but who among them has access to digital forecasting resources and of course it is still too early to know what will be what.

There is no reading of tea leaves in a digital age but if I understand modeling, folks have used analog to explain and predict based on the past while digital is trying to predict based on how much sea ice builds up when or retreats when, and on ocean temps: blobs, ninos, ninas, nadas, plus atmospherics. If I am understanding all this, global warming is distancing today's weather from past weather so weather forecasting is up for grabs. Yes, a few days to a week and we have the cat in the bag but nowadays, long-term weather forecasting seems to be fiction with no way to predict based on past data and short-term is the best term for forecasting. So insurers, farmers, emergency management folks, regular folks, you and me, we are just along for the ride. Or am I wrong? Are all the millions of dollars spend on supercomputers, trained staff, and all aficionados moving weather forecasting somewhere "better" as in more accuracy? I'm asking because I'm a customer.

[docstox12]

Yet ANOTHER morning with temps in the 50,s. 54.5 today.We have not experienced a 7 to 10 day hot spell with temps each day in the high 90's or even 100 and temps at nite not getting below 80.Plenty of rain, grass staying green up to this point.Don't see much chance of that hot spell now, days getting shorter as we approach the mid August area.Before you know it, Labor Day will be here with Fall just around the corner.

[algae888]

Yet ANOTHER morning with temps in the 50,s. 54.5 today.We have not experienced a 7 to 10 day hot spell with temps each day in the high 90's or even 100 and temps at nite not getting below 80.Plenty of rain, grass staying green up to this point.Don't see much chance of that hot spell now, days getting shorter as we approach the mid August area.Before you know it, Labor Day will be here with Fall just around the corner.

doc today is the 11th consecutive day that the park minimum temp was 70* or cooler. been in the 50's here consistently each morning this month. pretty impressive streak of comfortable nights as we are in the dog days of summer.

[docstox12]

Wow, great fact Al.Yet another morning in the 50's, right now 57.2.The dog days are in the dog house I guess,LOL.Looks like showers and T storms tonite and tomorrow.

[weatherwatchermom]

Wow, great fact Al.Yet another morning in the 50's, right now 57.2.The dog days are in the dog house I guess,LOL.Looks like showers and T storms tonite and tomorrow.

good morning fella's beautiful down here by the shore too...low last night was 60 and currently 67 and glorious!!! the dog days will probably return around Sept 7th when the kids have to go back to school...lol Enjoy this beautiful morning!!

[docstox12]

Thanks ,Mom! LOL, yep, remember those days going back in September when we were kids and it was a week in the 90's,LOL.In my day , there was no AC in any school so that was always a joy!

[dkodgis]

And they never ever closed school neither. So what does a cool Aug mean in atmospherics and fall? Or winter? Anyone remember such a cool fall?

[aiannone]

Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!

[sroc4]

Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!

Wow! Congrats Alex!!

[weatherwatchermom]

Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!

Congratulations!!

[aiannone]

Thanks all!

[amugs]

Alex,
Congrats kid and best of luck. Ju st seems.like.yesterday you would.PM a out the possibility of getting a snow day, day off from school.  And now ready to move one. Best of luck.
Mugs

[aiannone]

Alex,
Congrats kid and best of luck. Ju st seems.like.yesterday you would.PM a out the possibility of getting a snow day, day off from school.  And now ready to move one. Best of luck.
Mugs

Time is really flying by for sure! Thank you for the kind note!

[frank 638]

Hey everyone I hope everybody is having a great summer so far .I am going on vacation to Aruba this Thursday I am staying at the riu palace hotel .I would definitely recommend it if anyone needs a last minute vacation idea to Aruba

[aiannone]

For everyone here from the original 7 online board, our fellow member Aadil Mallick passed away today.....

[sroc4]

For everyone here from the original 7 online board, our fellow member Aadil Mallick passed away today.....

This was very sad news. He was a great kid.

[Frank_Wx]

Sorry I've been MIA. I've been in Italy since the 14th. I return the 29th. Of course rain is in the forecast. Anyway, heard about Harvey and the devastation it's bringing to Texas. I am very out of the loop but I pray the death toll is nowhere close to Katrina.

Cold weather months fast approaching...

[rb924119]

FRANK HOW WE MISSED YOU!!! Thank goodness you're ok, seriously, because we were getting pretty concerned. In fact, I was gonna send you a message on FB if we didn't hear from this week. Enjoy your trip buddy!!

[frank 638]

Hey Frank I hope you are having a great time in Italy .we just made our home made tomato sauce today we made about 72 jars of tomato sauce . Have a great and safe trip

[algae888]

track  17 I'm responding to your post from the tropical page. what's really sad, irresponsible and down right insane is that people want what is happening in texas to happen in their backyard!!! and don't give me the ol you wish for 2" feet of snow crap. we as a society can handle almost any amount of snow. what we can't handle is what is going on in texas now or sandy or katrina....

[track17]

I agree with you I don't want this anywhere near me at the jersey shore. I actually get pissed at that thinking

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