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Post by nutleyblizzard Sun Jul 23, 2017 7:53 pm

At this early Juncture, encouraging signs as we creep closer to winter Mugs. A weak Modoki Nino would be great for us. Now if we can finally get a -NAO to coincide which for the most part has alluded us for several winter seasons, look out!
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Post by amugs Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:21 am

Food for thought on this upcoming winter
http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/07/preliminary-profiling-of-winter-2017.html#!/2017/07/preliminary-profiling-of-winter-2017.html

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Post by amugs Wed Aug 02, 2017 10:35 pm

For the love of God Nov really I want this from D through March LOL. A Negative NAO and EC trough with A Neg EPO and Pos PNA!!!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 Img_2034

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Post by docstox12 Thu Aug 03, 2017 12:45 pm

@amugs wrote:For the love of God Nov really I want this from D through March LOL. A Negative NAO and EC trough with A Neg EPO and Pos PNA!!!

Wx Banter Thread 2.0 Img_2034

It's a funny thing, Mugsy.I read this early today then went out doing some chores around town up here in Monroe NY and I see the pleasant harbinger of over 10 trees displaying some leafs with color.
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Post by dkodgis Mon Aug 07, 2017 11:21 am

What is more accurate, digital or analog?

I was looking at winter forecasts on YouTube and predictions are all over the place. The presentations look pretty but who among them has access to digital forecasting resources and of course it is still too early to know what will be what.

There is no reading of tea leaves in a digital age but if I understand modeling, folks have used analog to explain and predict based on the past while digital is trying to predict based on how much sea ice builds up when or retreats when, and on ocean temps: blobs, ninos, ninas, nadas, plus atmospherics. If I am understanding all this, global warming is distancing today's weather from past weather so weather forecasting is up for grabs. Yes, a few days to a week and we have the cat in the bag but nowadays, long-term weather forecasting seems to be fiction with no way to predict based on past data and short-term is the best term for forecasting. So insurers, farmers, emergency management folks, regular folks, you and me, we are just along for the ride. Or am I wrong? Are all the millions of dollars spend on supercomputers, trained staff, and all aficionados moving weather forecasting somewhere "better" as in more accuracy? I'm asking because I'm a customer.
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Post by docstox12 Thu Aug 10, 2017 6:54 am

Yet ANOTHER morning with temps in the 50,s. 54.5 today.We have not experienced a 7 to 10 day hot spell with temps each day in the high 90's or even 100 and temps at nite not getting below 80.Plenty of rain, grass staying green up to this point.Don't see much chance of that hot spell now, days getting shorter as we approach the mid August area.Before you know it, Labor Day will be here with Fall just around the corner.
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Post by algae888 Fri Aug 11, 2017 5:00 am

@docstox12 wrote:Yet ANOTHER morning with temps in the 50,s. 54.5 today.We have not experienced a 7 to 10 day hot spell with temps each day in the high 90's or even 100 and temps at nite not getting below 80.Plenty of rain, grass staying green up to this point.Don't see much chance of that hot spell now, days getting shorter as we approach the mid August area.Before you know it, Labor Day will be here with Fall just around the corner.
doc today is the 11th consecutive day that the park minimum temp was 70* or cooler. been in the 50's here consistently each morning this month. pretty impressive streak of comfortable nights as we are in the dog days of summer.
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Post by docstox12 Fri Aug 11, 2017 6:08 am

Wow, great fact Al.Yet another morning in the 50's, right now 57.2.The dog days are in the dog house I guess,LOL.Looks like showers and T storms tonite and tomorrow.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Aug 11, 2017 7:43 am

@docstox12 wrote:Wow, great fact Al.Yet another morning in the 50's, right now 57.2.The dog days are in the dog house I guess,LOL.Looks like showers and T storms tonite and tomorrow.

good morning fella's beautiful down here by the shore too...low last night was 60 and currently 67 and glorious!!! the dog days will probably return around Sept 7th when the kids have to go back to school...lol Enjoy this beautiful morning!!
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Post by docstox12 Fri Aug 11, 2017 8:38 am

Thanks ,Mom! LOL, yep, remember those days going back in September when we were kids and it was a week in the 90's,LOL.In my day , there was no AC in any school so that was always a joy!
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Post by dkodgis Fri Aug 11, 2017 9:11 am

And they never ever closed school neither. So what does a cool Aug mean in atmospherics and fall? Or winter? Anyone remember such a cool fall?
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Post by aiannone Fri Aug 11, 2017 4:36 pm

Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!
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Post by sroc4 Fri Aug 11, 2017 5:25 pm

@aiannone wrote:Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!

Wow! Congrats Alex!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
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Post by weatherwatchermom Fri Aug 11, 2017 6:21 pm

@aiannone wrote:Hey all, sorry I have been so distant. Been quite busy interning at Mazars USA LLP in NYC this summer as a tax accountant, but hope to have a little more time to spend on the weather going forward. I have just accepted my offer with PwC in their audit practice for next Summer 2018 as an intern, as I will be completing my MS in accounting and taking my CPA exam, which will end me up in a full time position at PwC in the Summer of 2019. 

Of course I am always following the weather, albeit quite boring this Summer, but I'm always lurking! Looking forward to hopefully some active tropics as we head towards September! I will be going back to Binghamton for my last undergrad semester Aug 20th, but I only have 3 classes on Tues/Thurs, so plenty of time to track weather! I hope to be able to attend a meetup with you guys soon!

Happy tracking!

Congratulations!!
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Post by aiannone Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:34 pm

Thanks all!
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Post by amugs Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:54 pm

Alex,
Congrats kid and best of luck. Ju st seems.like.yesterday you would.PM a out the possibility of getting a snow day, day off from school.  And now ready to move one. Best of luck.
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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by aiannone Tue Aug 15, 2017 10:37 am

@amugs wrote:Alex,
Congrats kid and best of luck. Ju st seems.like.yesterday you would.PM a out the possibility of getting a snow day, day off from school.  And now ready to move one. Best of luck.
Mugs

Time is really flying by for sure! Thank you for the kind note!
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Post by frank 638 Tue Aug 15, 2017 8:32 pm

Hey everyone I hope everybody is having a great summer so far .I am going on vacation to Aruba this Thursday I am staying at the riu palace hotel .I would definitely recommend it if anyone needs a last minute vacation idea to Aruba

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Post by aiannone Tue Aug 15, 2017 10:24 pm

For everyone here from the original 7 online board, our fellow member Aadil Mallick passed away today.....
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Post by sroc4 Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:20 am

@aiannone wrote:For everyone here from the original 7 online board, our fellow member Aadil Mallick passed away today.....

This was very sad news. He was a great kid.

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
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Feb 7th 6"
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Post by Frank_Wx Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:39 pm

Sorry I've been MIA. I've been in Italy since the 14th. I return the 29th. Of course rain is in the forecast. Anyway, heard about Harvey and the devastation it's bringing to Texas. I am very out of the loop but I pray the death toll is nowhere close to Katrina.

Cold weather months fast approaching...

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Post by rb924119 Sun Aug 27, 2017 8:34 pm

FRANK HOW WE MISSED YOU!!! Thank goodness you're ok, seriously, because we were getting pretty concerned. In fact, I was gonna send you a message on FB if we didn't hear from this week. Enjoy your trip buddy!!

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Post by frank 638 Sun Aug 27, 2017 9:25 pm

Hey Frank I hope you are having a great time in Italy .we just made our home made tomato sauce today we made about 72 jars of tomato sauce . Have a great and safe trip

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Post by algae888 Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:37 pm

track  17 I'm responding to your post from the tropical page. what's really sad, irresponsible and down right insane is that people want what is happening in texas to happen in their backyard!!! and don't give me the ol you wish for 2" feet of snow crap. we as a society can handle almost any amount of snow. what we can't handle is what is going on in texas now or sandy or katrina....


Last edited by algae888 on Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:57 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by track17 Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:40 pm

I agree with you I don't want this anywhere near me at the jersey shore. I actually get pissed at that thinking

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