February 2nd: Light Snow Event

Upton looking like they are ticking up amounts for tn, and also went colder for the coast sunday night lol

New Update:
As the front pushes eastward overnight, temperatures will drop
rapidly resulting in the rain becoming a wintry mix across the
entire area before changing to all snow. The changeover is expected
to occur around 1 to 3 am across areas northwest of the NYC metro
area, around 3 to 4 am across NYC metro area and 4 to 5 am across
Connecticut and Long Island. Snowfall accumulations should be
between 1 to 2 inches but, can`t rule out some locations seeing up
to 3 inches if any heavier snow bands develop or if the rain change
over to snow is an hour earlier than expected.

This is the oddest weather alert I ever got. Notice the first two sentences. Anyone know what "Avoid the sjubect event" means?


 Until 5:00am EST, Fri Feb 2

Action Recommended: Avoid the subject event as per the instructions
Issued by: New York City - NY, US, National Weather Service,
...HAZARDOUS FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE EXPECTED... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO START AS RAIN, HOWEVER AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT, THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES FALL TOWARDS AND BELOW FREEZING BY FRIDAY MORNING, THERE IS A HIGH THREAT FOR ICY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE, RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

Down to 41 with light rain in Flemington

Down to 38 light rain

Good 4-6 hours of snow on the latest HRRR:

Delayed Opening's for schools are looking pretty good if these SR models verify.

amugs wrote:Delayed Opening's for schools are looking pretty good if these SR models verify.

For sure. School maintenance will have to salt, possibly scrape parking lots and let DOT treat the roads

37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover

Already changing to snow in NW CT

aiannone wrote:

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover

Haha, I know all about your snow cover. You’re hoarding it out there on the Island.

billg315 wrote:

aiannone wrote:

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Agreed. Never got to 45 today as forecasted. Also still have my snow cover

Haha, I know all about your snow cover. You’re hoarding it out there on the Island.

Islip is tied with BGM for snowfall so far this season lol

Radar looks robust to the west and southwest. Looks like it’s already snow in a lot of eastern PA. I’m thinking I might get a nice surprise from this. We shall see.

billg315 wrote:Radar looks robust to the west and southwest. Looks like it’s already snow in a lot of eastern PA. I’m thinking I might get a nice surprise from this. We shall see.

Yupp certainly a healthy looking radar

FWIW, NAM is great for tonight haha

Going on a limb here. I feel the snow will be a little heavier and last a little longer than expected. If I woke up to 2 or 3” tomorrow I wouldn’t be shocked.

billg315 wrote:Going on a limb here. I feel the snow will be a little heavier and last a little longer than expected. If I woke up to 2 or 3” tomorrow I wouldn’t be shocked.

Agreed and areas to the west are already changing over much quicker than expected

If any of those heavy bands from Harrisburg PA into northern VA make it here after it’s changed over it will snow at a good clip.

36* here now

Starting to mix in Hopewell jct, at 35 now

Cold front about half way through NJ. Well ahead of the nice precip behind it. Will set the stage with some cold air and it will be ready for the precip. Don't be surprised if a WWA gets issued over night due to a good chance of hazardous travel during the morning commute

Agreed on a WWA. I’ve felt even without snow, the ice would be an issue for the AM rush. I think snow on top of that could make things even more treacherous.

Radar already indicates snow in NJ down to I-78 in western NJ already

billg315 wrote:37* here. I’m thinking the change to snow will be quick here (before 1 am) because it has gotten a little colder a little quicker than I expected.

Check out the R/S line trucking east so true my man - going to be nice surprise come sunrise!!!

billg315 wrote:Agreed on a WWA. I’ve felt even without snow, the ice would be an issue for the AM rush. I think snow on top of that could make things even more treacherous.

Taunton expanded their WWA for that reason:

7 PM Update...

Main change to forecast this time around is to expand the Winter
Weather Advisory farther east...into NW Rhode Island, Red Sox Suck
MetroWest and MetroNorth. Temperatures cooling below freezing as
a band of heavier snow moves through has at least a 50 percent
chance of generating hazardous weather. This headline is
intended due to impact on the area late tonight and Friday
morning and not for achieving numerical goals such as snow
accumulation.