MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
WeatherBob wrote:Thanks RB. It’s funny, in my day, 81 to 85, there was just one operational model, that’s it. It was the LFM (Limited Fine Mesh) . It only forecasted out to 48 hrs and had 60 Nautical Mile Grid Points. Talk about winter forecast challenges!
Were you in the Weather Service, or a private entity? If you don't mind me asking lol and I actually have heard of that model!! Though, admittedly, I don't know much about it haha and yeah, you really had to know your stuff to forecast without the help we have now. I couldn't imagine what that was like, and probably couldn't do it, to be honest.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
We are probably getting a bit off topic, (but we're in a brief model lull, so maybe not a bad thing) but I have to say I am always impressed by the challenges meteorologists faced 30-40 years ago (and more) with limited modeling, less data, and even less real-time info. What a difficult job to be able to look at a map, a satellite, some raw data, and not much more and figure out what was going to happen. Of course today the new challenge may be too MUCH modeling and data, i.e., what do you trust and what do your throw out. lol.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
I interned for a summer at the NWS in Rockefeller Center, did the hourly taped weather round ups and daily forecasts ( I just read them, didn’t make them ) that were broadcasted on weather radio KWO35. After I graduated got a job at a private weather company at Teterboro Airport. Did weather forecasting and computerized flight planning for corporate aircraft. Did that for a year and then left Meteorology and went into the corporate world. Never lost my love for Meteorology!
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
WeatherBob wrote:I interned for a summer at the NWS in Rockefeller Center, did the hourly taped weather round ups and daily forecasts ( I just read them, didn’t make them ) that were broadcasted on weather radio KWO35. After I graduated got a job at a private weather company at Teterboro Airport. Did weather forecasting and computerized flight planning for corporate aircraft. Did that for a year and then left Meteorology and went into the corporate world. Never lost my love for Meteorology!
Oh wow!! It wasn't for National Weather Station at the Teterboro Airport, was it? Lmao
rb924119- Meteorologist
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rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Lolrb924119 wrote:My friend just sent me this, and I'm dead. Literally dead.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
SREFS are uber-warm. That unsettles me for the NAM run, I won't lie.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
RB - it was called the National Weather Corporation, it was private, no relation to the NWS
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
WeatherBob wrote:RB - it was called the National Weather Corporation, it was private, no relation to the NWS
Yeah, no, I know, but I think it's the same place that is there now haha
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Does anyone know if the NAM initialized well?
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
rb924119 wrote:My friend just sent me this, and I'm dead. Literally dead.
Ahahahaha, Yellowstone!
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
I’m looking at it now but I usually seem to get it slower than others here so I’m not really at a critical point yet.WeatherBob wrote:Does anyone know if the NAM initialized well?
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
rb924119 wrote:SREFS are uber-warm. That unsettles me for the NAM run, I won't lie.
[x] dislike
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Does that 700 mb at 33 hrs look strange?
WeatherBob- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
HUGE CHANGES AT THE SURFACE ON THE NAM FOR THE BETTER!!! PRIMARY IS 7mb WEAKER!!!! AND FURTHER SOUTHEAST!!!
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
LATER H5 INTERACTION LOOKS LIKELY HERE WHICH MEANS WE GET A WEAKER PRIMARY AND LESS WRAPPED UP....LESS WARM ADVECTION OUT AHEAD. TBIS COULD BE BIG FOLKS.
rb924119- Meteorologist
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Less interaction between N and S energy so far compared to 18
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sroc4- Admin
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
At 12z Thur primary seems further south than earlier runs and almost looks like secondary is trying to form already (maybe?)
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Could be huge.
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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
18 vs 0z HUGE difference
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
WeatherBob wrote:I interned for a summer at the NWS in Rockefeller Center, did the hourly taped weather round ups and daily forecasts ( I just read them, didn’t make them ) that were broadcasted on weather radio KWO35. After I graduated got a job at a private weather company at Teterboro Airport. Did weather forecasting and computerized flight planning for corporate aircraft. Did that for a year and then left Meteorology and went into the corporate world. Never lost my love for Meteorology!
Ditto! Currently studying for my CPA exam lol. Love meteorology my whole life, went to school for a year and a half for a meteorology degree until I also decided to jump into the corporate world. But as you said, I have not lost my love for meteorology. Im currently studying the audit of accounts receivables while watching the NAM come in lol
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aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
Ruh Roh
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
HR 57 just obliterate's NNJ EPA and LHV and MHV
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amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
850 and 700 closed low a tad too N for my liking, although looks like its about to get interesting
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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
nam is more north and soi far all rain.....
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
HR 60 and 63 moderate snow
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
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Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up
wow all the winds are up into vt now. it takes a turn to the N into RI, wth?
Last edited by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 27, 2018 9:42 pm; edited 1 time in total
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