NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

+27
frank 638
skinsfan1177
hyde345
dkodgis
Math23x7
Snow88
Carter bk
weatherwatchermom
amugs
RJB8525
bloc1357
Frank_Wx
aiannone
jmanley32
Scullybutcher
jimv45
algae888
nutleyblizzard
SoulSingMG
track17
CPcantmeasuresnow
billg315
WeatherBob
Grselig
Dunnzoo
rb924119
sroc4
31 posters

Page 2 of 16 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 9 ... 16  Next

Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:10 pm

@WeatherBob wrote:RB - you still not buying into anything the GFS is saying?

I mean, a broken clock can right be right twice a day, but it is pretty much entirely on its own, and seeing its solution doesn't fit the overall pattern in addition to its other obvious issues, I think its flat-out wrong. Now, could it end up being right for the wrong reasons? Sure. But I'm still hedging my bets against that.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:17 pm

THE EURO CAVES THE EURP CAVES THE EURO CAVES!!!!!!!!!!!!! 8-12" NYC BABAYYYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:18 pm

1-3" ALL THE WAY TO AC!!!!!!!! LET'S GOOCOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OH RAY BOY FIREDDDDDD UPPPPPPPPPPPP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:19 pm

WE GOT A MID-LEVEL CCB BAND LIKE WE HAVE SELDOM SEEN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OMG LET'S GOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! party party party party party party party party party party party

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by SoulSingMG Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:20 pm

omg the EURO just changed the game, piggybacking on the UKMET!
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2739
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:23 pm

@SoulSingMG wrote:omg the EURO just changed the game, piggybacking on the UKMET!
Snow map please.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1717
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 55
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:24 pm

BEST PART OF ALL OF THIS IS THAT THE EURO STILL HAS MAJOR IMPROVEMENTS TO BE MADE AT THE SURFACE. I THINK YOU ADD UP TO ANOTHER 6" ON THESE TOTALS, ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE COASTAL PLAIN GIVEN THESE DYNAMICS.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:27 pm

@nutleyblizzard wrote:
@SoulSingMG wrote:omg the EURO just changed the game, piggybacking on the UKMET!
Snow map please.

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Screen21

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:28 pm

SNOW NORTH OF THE MASON-DIXON AND WARNING-CRITERIA NORTH OF I-78 BABAYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by algae888 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:28 pm

WOW!!!!!!! EuRO!!!!.
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by algae888 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:30 pm

I'll keep saying if the mid in Upper levels are below zero and the low pressure center is southeast of us we are going to snow even if the temperature is 40 degrees and raining at the beginning of this system can't trust the models with the surface Maps
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5225
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 59
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:30 pm

ARESIAN YOU GOT YOUR EARS ON, BUD????? HERE'S ONE SECS, WITH MULTIPLE MORE TO FOLLOW!!!!! IT'S ONLY THE THIRD QUARTER MY FRIEND, PICK YOUR TOWEL BACK UP AND WIPE YOUR FACE, BECAUSE WE GOT AN END GAME TO FINISH THIS SEASON!!!!!

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jimv45 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:32 pm

That looks good to me bring it on!!!!

jimv45
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1140
Reputation : 36
Join date : 2013-09-20
Location : Ulster county ny

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:33 pm

@rb924119 wrote:BEST PART OF ALL OF THIS IS THAT THE EURO STILL HAS MAJOR IMPROVEMENTS TO BE MADE AT THE SURFACE. I THINK YOU ADD UP TO ANOTHER 6" ON THESE TOTALS, ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE COASTAL PLAIN GIVEN THESE DYNAMICS.
EPS should be interesting to say the least. I would like to hear Frank's thoughts on todays runs.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1717
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 55
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by billg315 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:44 pm

I’ve been waiting since the NAM runs last night for the Euro to come to its senses and join the party. I discounted the gfs but without the euro on board it gave me pause. Now I know the GFS is the one that’s almost certainly out to lunch.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3643
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by billg315 Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:46 pm

Still a ways to go but things are progressing nicely.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 3643
Reputation : 182
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 47
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Grselig Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:00 pm

Ray, you come back, and this is what happens!!!!!!! Great having you back!!!!!! Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
Grselig
Grselig
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1328
Reputation : 137
Join date : 2013-03-04
Age : 51
Location : Wayne NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Scullybutcher Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:06 pm

My hats off to you RB.
hurryup
Scullybutcher
Scullybutcher
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 505
Reputation : 16
Join date : 2013-02-06
Location : North Smithtown, western Suffolk county, long island

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by WeatherBob Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:07 pm

Hey RB, can I start the RB cheer yet?
WeatherBob
WeatherBob
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 598
Reputation : 82
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Caldwell, NJ - NW Essex County - Altitude 480 ft

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Guest Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:09 pm

@rb924119 wrote:ARESIAN YOU GOT YOUR EARS ON, BUD????? HERE'S ONE SECS, WITH MULTIPLE MORE TO FOLLOW!!!!! IT'S ONLY THE THIRD QUARTER MY FRIEND, PICK YOUR TOWEL BACK UP AND WIPE YOUR FACE, BECAUSE WE GOT AN END GAME TO FINISH THIS SEASON!!!!!

I've got my ears on, but I'm cleaning and recleaning them because I'd swear I'm hearing you say that multiple SECS type storms are going to reach far enough inland to affect me. I'm in no way questioning your knowledge, but hearing it's even possible has me a bit taken aback.

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:21 pm

@WeatherBob wrote:Hey RB, can I start the RB cheer yet?

ABSOLUTELY NOT. That would be the proverbial kiss of death if there ever was one ahaha You know the terms engagement for this already lmao

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by sroc4 Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:22 pm

EPS MSLP transfer, placement and intensity looks great!

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20" WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25" WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"
WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"    
Jan 31st-Feb 3rd 15.5"    
Feb 7th 6"
Feb 10th-11th 2.75"
Feb 18th-19th 6.25"
sroc4
sroc4
Admin
Admin

Posts : 6888
Reputation : 292
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:23 pm

Rb what do einds look like on 12z euro? It looks more like 3 to 6 NYC no? Where did u get 8 to 12? Liking what I'm hearing though.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 17978
Reputation : 105
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 40
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by aiannone Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:25 pm

Looks like ugatz for LI lol
aiannone
aiannone
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 4257
Reputation : 89
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by rb924119 Tue Feb 27, 2018 2:27 pm

@TheAresian wrote:
@rb924119 wrote:ARESIAN YOU GOT YOUR EARS ON, BUD????? HERE'S ONE SECS, WITH MULTIPLE MORE TO FOLLOW!!!!! IT'S ONLY THE THIRD QUARTER MY FRIEND, PICK YOUR TOWEL BACK UP AND WIPE YOUR FACE, BECAUSE WE GOT AN END GAME TO FINISH THIS SEASON!!!!!

I've got my ears on, but I'm cleaning and recleaning them because I'd swear I'm hearing you say that multiple SECS type storms are going to reach far enough inland to affect me. I'm in no way questioning your knowledge, but hearing it's even possible has me a bit taken aback.

Well obviously it's far from certain, BUT THIS IS WHY YOU CANNOT JUST SIMPLY WRITE THE REST OF THIS SEASON OFF. YOU HAVE TO TRUST THE PROCESS, NOT JUST BLINDLY FOLLOW MAPS. This is what so many of us have been stressing for several weeks now. Models are not gospel; there's so much more to forecasting than just looking at a map. This type of pattern is an atmospheric time bomb and the match has just been lit. Let the fuse be lit and let the process continue because models cannot handle the anomalies and the volume of intricacies of these types patterns like human intuition can. So when I say that there are "multiple chances at SECS", I MEAN IT, regardless of what the models show right now. As does every other met on here and elsewhere. Again, trust the process, my friend. Does it always work out in your back yard? No. But it at the very least GIVES YOU THE CHANCE.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 5355
Reputation : 190
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 29
Location : Parents: Greentown, Pa/Me: L.B.I., NJ

Back to top Go down

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 2 Empty Re: MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 16 Previous  1, 2, 3 ... 9 ... 16  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum