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MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:05 pm

sroc4 wrote:Loving the look at H5 through 36

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:06 pm

WeatherBob wrote:It’s MODEL MAYHEM!!!!!! affraid

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:06 pm

amugs wrote:GFS ENS - this is a great look.


MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 C26B50A8-24CE-413E-8F37-B2CAB6F71F15.png.1902cd05105d30f53392ec143399d214

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!

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Post by essexcountypete Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:07 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Mugs- in a nut shell, what is Bernie saying about this storm?

His last post from this morning pointed out the Euro is likely showing snow at Fri 7am for EPA, most of NJ, and NY metro.

Last video is from last night, captioned "Never, ever trust a closed off Upper Low!" LOL!

..."Never go in against a Sicilian when death is on the line"!
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Post by Guest Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:09 pm

amugs wrote:Indies - not bad
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 130C084B-C244-48DE-A915-3CA6F362AE63.png.fddbf118f93b3e55d9033d73402c3f4c

Mugs you feeling ok? Those panels are HORRENDOUS

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:09 pm

Sorry folks, but I've reached DEF-CON 5 Wooing stage and I couldn't contain it any longer lmao my pent up meteorological and snow weenie joy could no longer be held back with what is transpiring today. I apologize, and should be able to withstand several more pages of posts before another such outburst ahaha back to our regularly scheduled programming. Scott with the call......

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Post by SnowForest Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:10 pm

How's this looking for North Burlington County? Any chance we see 6+ inches from this storm?

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:11 pm

syosnow94 wrote:
amugs wrote:Indies - not bad
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 130C084B-C244-48DE-A915-3CA6F362AE63.png.fddbf118f93b3e55d9033d73402c3f4c

Mugs you feeling ok?  Those panels are HORRENDOUS

It's not about taking the GFS verbatim, Syo, you have to look at how much better they look compared to any prior run, and understand that the mid-levels support all of the other guidance that we have seen today. THIS WILL CORRECT TO SHOW MORE SNOW FURTHER EAST WITH MORE TIME. TRUST THE PROCESS - ITS GOTTEN US THIS FAR.

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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:13 pm

EURO!!!!!!!! WWWOOOHHHOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!


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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.
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Post by aiannone Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

sroc4 wrote:EURO!!!!!!!!   WWWOOOHHHOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!


Give me some good news during my studying. Anything good for us on LI?

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:16 pm

WINTER STORM WARNING CRITERIA THROUGHOUT STRONG ISLAND!!!!!!!!

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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:17 pm

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_75
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_76
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_77
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_78
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_79
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_80

850mb Low and 700mb low in perfect position for ALL

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_81
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_82


SURFACE:

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_83
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_84
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_85
MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 Ecmwf_86

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by deadrabbit79 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:18 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:19 pm

I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm Central and the shore need to get in on action!!
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:19 pm

And you get snow!! and you get snow!, and you get snow!!!!

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 JNhU5Tt

_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:20 pm

deadrabbit79 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

From what I can see from Southern Westchester to Northern, 6-12" respectively.
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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:21 pm

OK I'm grounded again....trends are great today in ALL modeling. Areas N&W still stand to do the best but coastal plain do not give up hope yet. This storm is too dynamic. And if the Euro happens verbatim we all will accumulate to one extent or another. That is all from me for now as I HAVE to work.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:22 pm

weatherwatchermom wrote:I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm  Central and the shore need to get in on action!!

As I said before, likely advisory-level snowfall, but not warning. So, probably 2-5"-ish I think would be fair. I'm sticking with my initial call from three days ago where from the Mason-Dixon to I-78 is up to advisory-criteria snow, and north of I-78 is warning. No reason to stray from that at this time.


Last edited by rb924119 on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:25 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by SoulSingMG Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:25 pm

What a stunning friggen frame... Shocked

MARCH 2nd-3rd 2018 Complex set up - Page 15 225b6d10
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:29 pm

Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?
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Post by deadrabbit79 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:29 pm

SoulSingMG wrote:
deadrabbit79 wrote:
SoulSingMG wrote:OMGGGG EURO is a WARNING-level paste bomb even down to the coast.

How does it look for us in Westchester? I'M not far from you in the White plains area

From what I can see from Southern Westchester to Northern, 6-12" respectively.

DAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAM!!!

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Post by sroc4 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:32 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?

No no no not yet. I’m a superstitious man.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by WeatherBob Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

Ok, I was talking about beer for the storm! I do have some excellent Paulander Octoberfest left!


Last edited by WeatherBob on Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:35 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by jimv45 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

Question how long will this last into Saturday?

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Post by rb924119 Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:33 pm

sroc4 wrote:
WeatherBob wrote:Dare we mention the B word since there is no criteria for temps any more?

No no no not yet. I’m a superstitious man.

I can see you're getting your work done told ya told ya

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Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Feb 28, 2018 1:34 pm

rb924119 wrote:
weatherwatchermom wrote:I'm at school to rb any think for us by the hook...I am just checking in....common storm  Central and the shore need to get in on action!!

As I said before, likely advisory-level snowfall, but not warning. So, probably 2-5"-ish I think would be fair. I'm sticking with my initial call from three days ago where from the Mason-Dixon to I-78 is up to advisory-criteria snow, and north of I-78 is warning. No reason to stray from that at this time.

Sorry I am so needy this week..lol
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