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Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:56 pm

I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County
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Post by essexcountypete on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

Wow. BOOM! A chunky inch here in like 20-25 minutes.
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Post by sroc4 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Rapidly intensifying low off the coast. Remember when models were showing the dual low solution? One along the coast and one well off? Looks like that was CF and the eastern-most low turned out to be the correct position.

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 DXtBJwzUQAAfwYH

I knew it!!!


@SoulSingMG wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:I have a question Ray or Frank.  Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet.  Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Ecmwf105
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Ecmwf107


Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it?  Im not buying it.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Ecmwf106
Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Ecmwf108

6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area  and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck?  In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening.  Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low.  I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.  

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Ecmwf109

This cyclops is cyclops what cyclops @crankywxguy cyclops has cyclops been cyclops saying cyclops for cyclops two  cyclops days!!!

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WINTER 2012/2013 SNOW TOTALS 43.65"
WINTER 2013/2014 SNOW TOTALS 64.85"
WINTER 2014/2015 SNOW TOTALS 71.20" (First snow Dec 8th)
WINTER 2015/2016 SNOW TOTALS  35.00" (First snow Jan 17th)
WINTER 2016/2017 SNOW TOTALS 42.25" (First snow Dec 11th)
WINTER 2017/2018 SNOW TOTALS 62.85" (First snow Dec 9th)
WINTER 2018/2019 SNOW TOTALS 14.25" (First snow Nov 15th)
WINTER 2019/2020 SNOW TOTALS 6.35" (First snow Nov 12th)
WINTER 2020/2021 SNOW TOTALS 7.25"(First snow Dec 16th/17th)
Dec 16th/17th 7.25"[/size]
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Post by jake732 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??
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Post by skinsfan1177 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

I thought we would have changed over by now Jake cuz up there in Monmouth County they got snow so it's not looking good and I don't know if it's going to change
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Post by Guest on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

So far not that impressive here in Nassau county. Need that one weenie band over the city and jersey to move east

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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

Once the low turns ENE you will switch to snow. Do not expect high accumulations. Pretty sure I have you both for 3-6"

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Post by WeatherBob on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:00 pm

Visibility less than 300 ft S++
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Post by jake732 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:00 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

Once the low turns ENE you will switch to snow. Do not expect high accumulations. Pretty sure I have you both for 3-6"

i dont expect to be more then 6...but just doesnt feeel all that cold
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Post by sabamfa on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Very heavy and sticking to everything. In Parsippany.

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Post by Smarnold on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Wow heavy snow now and finally sticking! Beautiful.

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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Philly to Morristown, NJ will be the bullseye

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 5aa02859656de_3-7radar8.gif.62268abceaac385dd416f3773685c2e1

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Post by Dtone on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Thunder snow !

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Post by snowday111 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Thunder snow!!!!! Middlesex County, NJ

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Post by dsvinos on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Loud Awesome Thunder snow in Marlboro NJ!!!! Smile
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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:02 pm

Thunder in Cranford

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Post by essexcountypete on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:02 pm

Barely 30 minutes of this and tree branches are starting to droop big time. This may get ugly.
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Post by RJB8525 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:02 pm

Those heavy bands are starting to make it up to me but snowing good right now. Starting to build up from an inch
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Post by dsix85 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:03 pm

Central Suffolk getting dryslotted.

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Post by deblanka on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:03 pm

We just had big thunder in Hillsborough NJ. Heaviest snow of the day so far.

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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:05 pm

R/S line pushing NNW a bit. It should go back to snow between 3-4pm.

Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations - Page 21 Capture.thumb.PNG.4a3e8116707d110b9ec6e6d7b04aa246

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Post by Frank_Wx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

@RJB8525 wrote:Those heavy bands are starting to make it up to me but snowing good right now. Starting to build up from an inch

Only 1 inch in HKT so far?

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Post by billg315 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

JUST GOT IT!!!!!!!!! THUNDERSNOW. Ran downstairs to take a video to try to capture audio but was too late missed two loud rumbles. Will keep trying!!
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Post by Math23x7 on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Ripping snow! Sticking to the roads here in Manhattan!

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Post by 2004blackwrx on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:06 pm

Just starti g to stick

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