Re: Pain in the Butt March 7th Godzilla: Observations

by **skinsfan1177** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:56 pm

I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County

by **essexcountypete** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

Wow. BOOM! A chunky inch here in like 20-25 minutes.

by **sroc4** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:Rapidly intensifying low off the coast. Remember when models were showing the dual low solution? One along the coast and one well off? Looks like that was CF and the eastern-most low turned out to be the correct position.

I knew it!!!

@SoulSingMG wrote:
@sroc4 wrote:I have a question Ray or Frank. Looking at the surface and 500mb between hr 30-36...that's when we close off H5 south of LI. But notice in the first images we have a dual low but H5 is not closed off yet. Just looking at this the euro looks to me to be focusing on the Low along the coast when in reality the best PVA looks to be with the low further off the coast.

Then 6 hrs later H5 closes off and the surface Low has already been pulled underneath it? Im not buying it.

6 hrs after that the LP center jumps nearly due east while still strengthening and the CCB jumps from over the NYC metro area and points well west to all of a sudden well N&E over Red Sox Suck? In theory if that were correct the LP should be occluding by hr 36-42 therefore weakening; not strengthening. Personally I'm not buying the track of the main low. I think the euro was focusing precip around the wrong Low and the track will be east of what it showed..not by a whole lot but not like it showed.

This is what @crankywxguy has been saying for two days!!!

by **jake732** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:57 pm

mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

by **skinsfan1177** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

I thought we would have changed over by now Jake cuz up there in Monmouth County they got snow so it's not looking good and I don't know if it's going to change

by Guest on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

So far not that impressive here in Nassau county. Need that one weenie band over the city and jersey to move east

by **Frank_Wx** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 12:59 pm

@skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

Once the low turns ENE you will switch to snow. Do not expect high accumulations. Pretty sure I have you both for 3-6"

by **WeatherBob** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:00 pm

Visibility less than 300 ft S++

by **jake732** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:00 pm

@Frank_Wx wrote:
@skinsfan1177 wrote:I'm going to be honest I don't think it's going to change over here in Northern Ocean County

@jake732 wrote:mixing jersey shore.....doesnt look good at all!!!! anyone here think i change to snow??

Once the low turns ENE you will switch to snow. Do not expect high accumulations. Pretty sure I have you both for 3-6"

i dont expect to be more then 6...but just doesnt feeel all that cold

by **sabamfa** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Very heavy and sticking to everything. In Parsippany.

by Smarnold on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Wow heavy snow now and finally sticking! Beautiful.

by **Frank_Wx** on Wed Mar 07, 2018 1:01 pm

Philly to Morristown, NJ will be the bullseye

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