Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
+34
Dunnzoo
jake732
Quietace
hurrysundown23
Radz
Taffy
adamfitz1969
heehaw453
CPcantmeasuresnow
frank 638
jimv45
Grselig
docstox12
amugs
aiannone
hyde345
jmanley32
SoulSingMG
algae888
mikeypizano
weatherwatchermom
Carter bk
SENJsnowman
gigs68
nutleyblizzard
Frank_Wx
rb924119
Dtone
skinsfan1177
SNOW MAN
cooladi
oldtimer
billg315
sroc4
38 posters
Page 2 of 13
Page 2 of 13 • 1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
He’s doing it on purpose mom. Hopefully he saw the NAM and passed out
Guest- Guest
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
weatherwatchermom wrote:Rb you posted 25min ago....and left us hanging
He always does...
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 1118
Join date : 2017-01-05
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
The nam is a miss for most of the area except central li and east so is the hi res nam
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Ha ha made bf for boys made cup of tea and came back to birds chirping..lolsyosnow94 wrote:He’s doing it on purpose mom. Hopefully he saw the NAM and passed out
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Nah, something came up. It was actually not nearly as good as I thought, unfortunately. Too much separation at H5 still
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 7033
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Tx rbrb924119 wrote:Nah, something came up. It was actually not nearly as good as I thought, unfortunately. Too much separation at H5 still
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
How does the NAM go from nuclear to miss in the same run?
Guest- Guest
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
To me it looked like the NAM showed improvements at H5. It really looked like the northern stream was going into full phase mode with the southern low. Instead it kicked the low east. A met from another board pointed that out and thinks the NAM surface map might not of caught up to the H5 map.
nutleyblizzard- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1963
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 58
Location : Nutley, new jersey
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
The Euro is going wind up to be the solution Just think this thing reorganizes in New England All the METS leaning that way
oldtimer- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1103
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2013-01-16
Age : 78
Location : Port Jefferson Station Suffolk County
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
oldtimer wrote:The Euro is going wind up to be the solution Just think this thing reorganizes in New England All the METS leaning that way
Agreed. This has eastern New England special written all over it which is what the Mets I put stock into are saying. 12z runs should continue the NAM's theme.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
The names precip did shift west from ending at ri ma border to we'll into CT I'd say that's pretty big shift. 3km at 06z had little and now has at least advisory snow into NYC. It's not a miss just not a Godzilla and I do not think we done. Stef showed 10 to 12.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
algae888 wrote:The nam is a miss for most of the area except central li and east so is the hi res nam
It is not a total miss, you just don't get into heaviest precip the further north and especially west you are. It still gives HV 1-3/2-4 type event.
hyde345- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 1082
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Long island sees 15 inches on 3km NYC 4. Wow I'm start dis like li lol
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
jmanley32 wrote:The names precip did shift west from ending at ri ma border to we'll into CT I'd say that's pretty big shift. 3km at 06z had little and now has at least advisory snow into NYC. It's not a miss just not a Godzilla and I do not think we done. Stef showed 10 to 12.
We cannot just rely on the SREF's. Every other model shows only a glancing blow at best for the area with a big storm from the cape up thru Maine. They'll likely get blizzard warnings tomorrow.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Extremely busy today shopping for apartments. Will have a blog and 1st call snow map out tonight.
_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
- Posts : 4823
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good!
Guest- Guest
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Sroc great write up.
NAM at H5 made improvements - it is a matter of about 6 hours for a full phase and that will pull the center back towards the coast bring the heavier snow axis back.
If the srefs are onto something that would be great.
Euro playing catch up IMO with its evolution still at H5.
NAM was a hair away again from a bomb.
Off hour ARW model was a BD redux.
This is a big shift west!
We needs another improvement on the models for 12Z and 18Z being the northern energy phasing in with the Southern energy sooner and then it is bigly game on for this board.
Are we trending back to teh original storm depiction from earlier in the week? I hope so and that is what prompted Frank to be calling this potential.
One thing is pretty certain LI gets teh goods once again so it seems on these runs.
NAM at H5 made improvements - it is a matter of about 6 hours for a full phase and that will pull the center back towards the coast bring the heavier snow axis back.
If the srefs are onto something that would be great.
Euro playing catch up IMO with its evolution still at H5.
NAM was a hair away again from a bomb.
Off hour ARW model was a BD redux.
This is a big shift west!
We needs another improvement on the models for 12Z and 18Z being the northern energy phasing in with the Southern energy sooner and then it is bigly game on for this board.
Are we trending back to teh original storm depiction from earlier in the week? I hope so and that is what prompted Frank to be calling this potential.
One thing is pretty certain LI gets teh goods once again so it seems on these runs.
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
This is always been in Eastern New England storm and maybe Central Long Island East the northern vort is just not digging enough
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
ya u say that cuz it has u getting 12 to 18 congrats it's ur storm. I'm not giving up yet.syosnow94 wrote:Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good!
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
People I’m hoping like we all are. But what I keep hearing is we need this, we need that, if only this and so on. It’s becoming pretty clear this won’t be a huge deal for us. Lets resist the temptation to wishcast and accept a 4-6” event which I’ll sign for right now
Guest- Guest
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
Not true Jman the highest I’ve seen imby on the models is 8”. Out east by Scott is a foot perhaps. Still overdone imho
Guest- Guest
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
syosnow94 wrote:People I’m hoping like we all are. But what I keep hearing is we need this, we need that, if only this and so on. It’s becoming pretty clear this won’t be a huge deal for us. Lets resist the temptation to wishcast and accept a 4-6” event which I’ll sign for right now
Unless you live inland such as me...
mikeypizano- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 1118
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2017-01-05
Age : 35
Location : Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
aiannone wrote:
Looks like an LI , NE special on that run.I'll be happy to get the 4 inches on that map.A few days ago, this was all OTS.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8590
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
I'm done with this storm. We aren't seeing the magnitude of the changes that we need to be saying to get us all involved in a big way, save for the immediate coasts, LI, and New England. Sorry folks, but my towel is in had, and I'm winding up for the pitch.
rb924119- Meteorologist
- Posts : 7033
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
rb924119 wrote:I'm done with this storm. We aren't seeing the magnitude of the changes that we need to be saying to get us all involved in a big way, save for the immediate coasts, LI, and New England. Sorry folks, but my towel is in had, and I'm winding up for the pitch.
It was never our storm, really. I beat a dead horse but @crankywxguy laid this all out two days ago (posted link in last thread). It does make me selfishly sad that eastern New England will cash in. If we can't have it, I don't want anyone to have it! Lol.
SoulSingMG- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY
Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th
[quote="syosnow94"]Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good![/quote
Any snow in March to me is a gift...
Any snow in March to me is a gift...
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ
Page 2 of 13 • 1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13
Page 2 of 13
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum