NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

+34
Dunnzoo
jake732
Quietace
hurrysundown23
Radz
Taffy
adamfitz1969
heehaw453
CPcantmeasuresnow
frank 638
jimv45
Grselig
docstox12
amugs
aiannone
hyde345
jmanley32
SoulSingMG
algae888
mikeypizano
weatherwatchermom
Carter bk
SENJsnowman
gigs68
nutleyblizzard
Frank_Wx
rb924119
Dtone
skinsfan1177
SNOW MAN
cooladi
oldtimer
billg315
sroc4
38 posters

Page 2 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13  Next

Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Guest Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:32 am

He’s doing it on purpose mom. Hopefully he saw the NAM and passed out

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:33 am

weatherwatchermom wrote:Rb you posted 25min ago....and left us hanging affraid affraid

He always does...

mikeypizano
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1118
Join date : 2017-01-05

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by algae888 Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:34 am

The nam is a miss for most of the area except central li and east so is the hi res nam
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:34 am

syosnow94 wrote:He’s doing it on purpose mom. Hopefully he saw the NAM and passed out
Ha ha made bf for boys made cup of tea and came back to birds chirping..lol
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:34 am

Nah, something came up. It was actually not nearly as good as I thought, unfortunately. Too much separation at H5 still

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 7033
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:37 am

rb924119 wrote:Nah, something came up. It was actually not nearly as good as I thought, unfortunately. Too much separation at H5 still
Tx rb
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Guest Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:37 am

How does the NAM go from nuclear to miss in the same run?

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by nutleyblizzard Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:42 am

To me it looked like the NAM showed improvements at H5. It really looked like the northern stream was going into full phase mode with the southern low. Instead it kicked the low east. A met from another board pointed that out and thinks the NAM surface map might not of caught up to the H5 map.
nutleyblizzard
nutleyblizzard
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1963
Reputation : 41
Join date : 2014-01-30
Age : 58
Location : Nutley, new jersey

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by oldtimer Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:43 am

The Euro is going wind up to be the solution Just think this thing reorganizes in New England All the METS leaning that way

oldtimer
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1103
Reputation : 14
Join date : 2013-01-16
Age : 78
Location : Port Jefferson Station Suffolk County

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:51 am

oldtimer wrote:The Euro is going wind up to be the solution  Just think this thing reorganizes in New England  All the METS leaning that way

Agreed. This has eastern New England special written all over it which is what the Mets I put stock into are saying. 12z runs should continue the NAM's theme.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:53 am

The names precip did shift west from ending at ri ma border to we'll into CT I'd say that's pretty big shift. 3km at 06z had little and now has at least advisory snow into NYC. It's not a miss just not a Godzilla and I do not think we done. Stef showed 10 to 12.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by hyde345 Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:54 am

algae888 wrote:The nam is a miss for most of the area except central li and east so is the hi res nam

It is not a total miss, you just don't get into heaviest precip the further north and especially west you are. It still gives HV 1-3/2-4 type event.
hyde345
hyde345
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1082
Reputation : 48
Join date : 2013-01-08
Location : Hyde Park, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:55 am

Long island sees 15 inches on 3km NYC 4. Wow I'm start dis like li lol
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:56 am

jmanley32 wrote:The names precip did shift west from ending at ri ma border to we'll into CT I'd say that's pretty big shift. 3km at 06z had little and now has at least advisory snow into NYC. It's not a miss just not a Godzilla and I do not think we done. Stef showed 10 to 12.

We cannot just rely on the SREF's. Every other model shows only a glancing blow at best for the area with a big storm from the cape up thru Maine. They'll likely get blizzard warnings tomorrow.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:58 am

Extremely busy today shopping for apartments. Will have a blog and 1st call snow map out tonight.

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21311
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 32
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by aiannone Sun Mar 11, 2018 10:59 am

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 6ac25b10

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4823
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Guest Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:01 am

Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good!

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by amugs Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:02 am

Sroc great write up.
NAM at H5 made improvements - it is a matter of about 6 hours for a full phase and that will pull the center back towards the coast bring the heavier snow axis back.
If the srefs are onto something that would be great.
Euro playing catch up IMO with its evolution still at H5.
NAM was a hair away again from a bomb.
Off hour ARW model was a BD redux.
This is a big shift west!
Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 9FDE5FCD-E91B-4566-A8EF-4B33A27CFFC0.thumb.gif.95b87c022cd801d2f910a6fe87395d27

We needs another improvement on the models for 12Z and 18Z being the northern energy phasing in with the Southern energy sooner and then it is bigly game on for this board.
Are we trending back to teh original storm depiction from earlier in the week? I hope so and that is what prompted Frank to be calling this potential.

One thing is pretty certain LI gets teh goods once again so it seems on these runs.



_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by algae888 Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:03 am

This is always been in Eastern New England storm and maybe Central Long Island East the northern vort is just not digging enough
algae888
algae888
Advanced Forecaster
Advanced Forecaster

Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by jmanley32 Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:04 am

syosnow94 wrote:Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good!
ya u say that cuz it has u getting 12 to 18 congrats it's ur storm. I'm not giving up yet.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Guest Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:05 am

People I’m hoping like we all are. But what I keep hearing is we need this, we need that, if only this and so on. It’s becoming pretty clear this won’t be a huge deal for us. Lets resist the temptation to wishcast and accept a 4-6” event which I’ll sign for right now

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Guest Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:07 am

Not true Jman the highest I’ve seen imby on the models is 8”. Out east by Scott is a foot perhaps. Still overdone imho

Guest
Guest


Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by mikeypizano Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:09 am

syosnow94 wrote:People I’m hoping like we all are. But what I keep hearing is we need this, we need that,  if only this and so on. It’s becoming pretty clear this won’t be a huge deal for us. Lets resist the temptation to wishcast and accept a 4-6” event which I’ll sign for right now

Unless you live inland such as me... Razz
mikeypizano
mikeypizano
Pro Enthusiast
Pro Enthusiast

Posts : 1118
Reputation : 66
Join date : 2017-01-05
Age : 35
Location : Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by docstox12 Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:18 am

aiannone wrote:Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 6ac25b10

Looks like an LI , NE special on that run.I'll be happy to get the 4 inches on that map.A few days ago, this was all OTS.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 8590
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by rb924119 Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:20 am

I'm done with this storm. We aren't seeing the magnitude of the changes that we need to be saying to get us all involved in a big way, save for the immediate coasts, LI, and New England. Sorry folks, but my towel is in had, and I'm winding up for the pitch.

rb924119
Meteorologist
Meteorologist

Posts : 7033
Reputation : 195
Join date : 2013-02-06
Age : 32
Location : Greentown, Pa

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by SoulSingMG Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:23 am

rb924119 wrote:I'm done with this storm. We aren't seeing the magnitude of the changes that we need to be saying to get us all involved in a big way, save for the immediate coasts, LI, and New England. Sorry folks, but my towel is in had, and I'm winding up for the pitch.

It was never our storm, really. I beat a dead horse but @crankywxguy laid this all out two days ago (posted link in last thread). It does make me selfishly sad that eastern New England will cash in. If we can't have it, I don't want anyone to have it! Lol.
SoulSingMG
SoulSingMG
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2853
Reputation : 74
Join date : 2013-12-11
Location : Long Island City, NY

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Mar 11, 2018 11:24 am

[quote="syosnow94"]Folks keep in mind a 3-6” event this time of year is very good![/quote


Any snow in March to me is a gift...
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3879
Reputation : 78
Join date : 2014-11-25
Location : Hazlet Township, NJ

Back to top Go down

Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th - Page 2 Empty Re: Tracking Another Possible Godzilla Mon-Tues, March 12th-13th

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 2 of 13 Previous  1, 2, 3, ... 11, 12, 13  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum