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March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations

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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:17 pm

It’s 39* here also

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Post by Guest Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:20 pm

I don’t know. I think once precip starts here temps will wetbulb down and we will snow

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Post by billg315 Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:31 pm

Yeah actually dew point here is 28* so temp should drop when precip gets going.
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Post by mancave25 Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:39 pm

Where is everyone

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:46 pm

syosnow94 wrote:I don’t know. I think once precip starts here temps will wetbulb down and we will snow

Bingo. Temps will fall very quickly. Dry airmass in place. DPs in the low 30s and upper 20s

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Post by aiannone Mon Mar 12, 2018 8:49 pm

Latest HRRR and RAP continue the ever so slight wetter trend
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 D3d9bf10
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 7a7f7710

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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:04 pm

March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10
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Post by bobjohnsonforthehall Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:12 pm

Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

Is that a wobble or a pull?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:14 pm

aiannone wrote:Latest HRRR and RAP continue the ever so slight wetter trend
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 D3d9bf10
March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 7a7f7710

Looks like the ocean will jackpot in this one. You don't see that often.
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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:15 pm

Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

So the storm stopped on a dime, jumped north, then NorthEast?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:16 pm

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:
Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

Is that a wobble or a pull?

I don't even want to let my mind go there. Fantasies of a morning surprise already percolating in my head.
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:16 pm

Anyone getting any snow yet?
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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:20 pm

I have a light drizzle
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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:23 pm

Light snow 38
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Post by Dtone Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:25 pm

Drizzle here 40*

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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:28 pm

I’m out to dinner with the fam. From what I can see trough is Neg.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by sroc4 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:30 pm

billg315 wrote:
mancave25 wrote:Sroc4 could u explain more about the trough going neg. And want that means for us in nj

When the trough is negative it tends to stop the storms eastward progress and track the storm closer to the coast, more north than northeast. A positive tilt tends to shoot the storm more out to sea or northeast (since that’s where the upper air flow is taking it). In theory if the trough is negative the low should track closer to the coast here which could bump up totals a little bit especially right along the coast.

Bill answered this perfectly. James. No me Mugs or Frank does not mean no storm. I’m out with the Fam drinking Chianti

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
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WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:33 pm

bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:
Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

Is that a wobble or a pull?
Looks to be moving North, even if temporarily:
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=regional-northeast-14-48-0-100-1&checked=map
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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:36 pm

For whatever its worth I still like my snow map a lot. I do recognize some areas in the C-3" will see isolated 3"+ mainly N&W of NYC

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Post by Radz Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:36 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:
Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

Is that a wobble or a pull?

I don't even want to let my mind go there. Fantasies of a morning surprise already percolating in my head.
If it's a true depiction, I'm sure its temporary... maybe  Question
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:37 pm

Radz wrote:
bobjohnsonforthehall wrote:
Radz wrote:March 13th JUST Missed Nor'easter Observations - Page 7 Cyclon10

Is that a wobble or a pull?
Looks to be moving North, even if temporarily:
http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=regional-northeast-14-48-0-100-1&checked=map

Now just for fun lets say it did this all night. Oh boy that would be a fun morning.

It would be the best Algae 4:30 am post of all time.
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Post by amugs Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:41 pm

The H5 and H7 closed off getting tugged back and N.
Let's see if it can get up to AC before getting shunted E.
I was working grading engineering classes reports.  Sorry.

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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:43 pm

amugs wrote:The H5 and H7 closed off getting tugged back and N.
Let's see if it can get up to AC before getting shunted E.
I was working grading engineering classes reports.  Sorry.
hopefully​ we can get a nice surprise do u think we will have little higher snow totals if she stays it's path

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Post by Math23x7 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:49 pm

Ripping rain outside

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Post by Scullybutcher Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:50 pm

Down to 38* light drizzle and winds are starting to pick up
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Post by frank 638 Mon Mar 12, 2018 9:52 pm

39*light rain and getting windy to

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Post by Vinnydula Mon Mar 12, 2018 10:03 pm

Nam? Lmao
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