June 2018 Obs & Discussions

If the Euro has anything to say June may not be a great month overall if the trough doesn't lift: From WxBell

60* and overcast, another cloudy day here.
2/3 of the days as Isotherm reported have been cloudy since March 1.

What a difference a day makes...yesterday..hot and sticky today..you need a sweatshirt...lol crazy spring

Road trip anyone?? CP,DOC,SNOWMAN??

Somehow avoided the rain here at my house almost all weekend (was sunny most of Saturday) . . until now. Rain has begun and looks like it’s going to continue off and on all night.

Def temp drop from yesterday too. Was almost 25 degrees colder here today than yesterday.

My question is what happened to spring weather?  It seems it is either in the high 80’s and oppressively humid or it is cool and dreary in the 60’s.  

I look forward to May and June as the most pleasant weather of the year, and this year has been dreadful.

brownie wrote:My question is what happened to spring weather?  It seems it is either in the high 80’s and oppressively humid or it is cool and dreary in the 60’s.  

I look forward to May and June as the most pleasant weather of the year, and this year has been dreadful.

I agree with you!! The only positive to this whole situation is my lawn looks beautiful....I hope this is not a tell for this summer

Got down to 51 last night, pretty chilly for June within NYC. The record low was 48.

We MIGHT see an 80-degree day this weekend but we'll be in the 70's this week and much of next week, it appears.

Oh boy

It was 48 last night. Maybe a bit cooler tonight where I be.

Forget about heat says the EPS latest runs through Mid June. Very comfortable temp's if it verifies. 

Another rainy weekend

Frank_Wx wrote:Another rainy weekend

Ditto

billg315 wrote:

Frank_Wx wrote:Another rainy weekend

Ditto

DITTO DITTO....WHAT THE HECK... HORRIBLE...

Let’s keep in mind this time last week it loooked like a wash out for this pst weekend. 2/3rds of the weekend were sunny and beautiful in my back yard. It looks like the same will happen this upcoming weekend. Some rain may fall but I’m betting against a washout.

Saturday looks to be the wet day of the two at this time.

In the super long range EURO, JAMSTEC AND CFSv2 are saying Weak El Nino Modoki style for fall and winter. These usually mean colder than average winters and snowier. Time will tell of course.

amugs wrote:Saturday looks to be the wet day of the two at this time.

In the super long range EURO, JAMSTEC AND CFSv2 are saying Weak El Nino Modoki style for fall and winter. These usually mean colder than average winters and snowier. Time will tell of course.

Mugs. Did you see Tom Downs write up on Weather Bell on why he isn’t convinced yet we get to El Niño? He makes some interesting points.

sroc4 wrote:

amugs wrote:Saturday looks to be the wet day of the two at this time.

In the super long range EURO, JAMSTEC AND CFSv2 are saying Weak El Nino Modoki style for fall and winter. These usually mean colder than average winters and snowier. Time will tell of course.

Mugs. Did you see Tom Downs write up on Weather Bell on why he isn’t convinced yet we get to El Niño?  He makes some interesting points.

Yes I have and he does but looking at the WWB and percolating warmth of the TROP PAC in 3, 3.4 and 4 is a nice indicator and can it changel surely. JB''s research on the Bell along with Joe D. contradict Downes. Also we are leaving the Nina base state as per the GWO and AAM. It is more of a neutral state now that will decrease or cease of the easterly's and the EAMT as well as pressure difference in the IO and SON leads to this opin.  SST projections can be off of course as we saw this year. I am optimistic we see a weak Nino coming this fall and running through winter.
Another piece to the equations for us in low solar or non existent of this and Volcanic activity. 
Thanks for bringing this up and time will tell.

Todays 12z GFS run looks much dryer for this weekend. Remains to be seen if its a start of a trend or just a blip run.

nutleyblizzard wrote:Todays 12z GFS run looks much dryer for this weekend. Remains to be seen if its a start of a trend or just a blip run.

This never really was supposed to be a soaker of a weekend. A big SE Canadian HP building in is deflecting the precip shield south of most of our coverage area. Central Jersey on southward have the best chance at significant rain but even that is prob only a half a days worth. Even the euro has trended south with the precip.