December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
+25
brownie
jaydoy
algae888
Dunnzoo
1190ftalt
Grselig
Scullybutcher
dkodgis
skinsfan1177
jimv45
hyde345
billg315
Math23x7
CPcantmeasuresnow
frank 638
heehaw453
aiannone
amugs
docstox12
SENJsnowman
weatherwatchermom
Frank_Wx
jmanley32
Irish
sroc4
29 posters
Page 7 of 9 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
weatherwatchermom wrote:Temps are coming down we have some strong winds (20+)right now you can feel the cold front coming thru!! My son is a freshman in high school and on days of possible snow the pjs go inside out and ice cubes in the toilet..I love when he acts like a kid!! Come on cold!! Come on snow!!
After the way last winter and our first two storms this year went for us down here in Ocean, I didn't really tell my kids anything about tomorrow. I figure maybe they can wake up with a nice fluffy surprise (and a delay of course, yes, I'm rooting for it, who wouldn't?). Speaking of which, check out the latest from Mt Holly:
"The heaviest snowfall will be before daybreak on Tuesday north/west
of I-95. However, less QPF is forecast in these areas so many areas may end up with
less than an inch. For the I-95 corridor, the heaviest snowfall is
forecast to fall from about 4-7AM. Farther south across southern and
coastal NJ as well as Delmarva, snowfall will end by around 10-11
AM.
Most of the snow will only stick to grassy and elevated
surfaces where it can fall quickly enough and temps can cool to near
freezing. Therefore, we aren`t expecting any significant travel
issues, however there may be some slushy spots on roads causing them
to become slippery.
As far as total snow accumulations, we`re expecting a coating around
an inch or so for most areas, with less than an inch across Delmarva
and extreme southern NJ. Farther north and east, isolated areas up
to 2" are possible. This is mainly confined to areas that will be
colder at the onset of snow and areas that will receive snow for
longer as the band of precip is moving offshore. The highest
uncertainty for snow amounts is across Monmouth and Ocean Counties
where banding and moderate snow may persist longer potentially
leading to higher totals."
Mt Holly never says anything optimistic about accumulating snow chances in Ocean County, so this is cool to see. I'm optimistic for maybe even breaking 3" imby for the first time since March 2018! Like 9 straight 'storms', without cracking 3 measly inches! Lol...that's a losing streak right there!
We'll see what tonight brings, 44* and on pace to hopefully see the snow in the 2-3 am range. The cold is def ahead of schedule and other nowcast signs apparently look good, and here I go again...lol
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1191
Join date : 2017-01-06
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
SENJsnowman wrote:weatherwatchermom wrote:Temps are coming down we have some strong winds (20+)right now you can feel the cold front coming thru!! My son is a freshman in high school and on days of possible snow the pjs go inside out and ice cubes in the toilet..I love when he acts like a kid!! Come on cold!! Come on snow!!
After the way last winter and our first two storms this year went for us down here in Ocean, I didn't really tell my kids anything about tomorrow. I figure maybe they can wake up with a nice fluffy surprise (and a delay of course, yes, I'm rooting for it, who wouldn't?). Speaking of which, check out the latest from Mt Holly:
"The heaviest snowfall will be before daybreak on Tuesday north/west
of I-95. However, less QPF is forecast in these areas so many areas may end up with
less than an inch. For the I-95 corridor, the heaviest snowfall is
forecast to fall from about 4-7AM. Farther south across southern and
coastal NJ as well as Delmarva, snowfall will end by around 10-11
AM.
Most of the snow will only stick to grassy and elevated
surfaces where it can fall quickly enough and temps can cool to near
freezing. Therefore, we aren`t expecting any significant travel
issues, however there may be some slushy spots on roads causing them
to become slippery.
As far as total snow accumulations, we`re expecting a coating around
an inch or so for most areas, with less than an inch across Delmarva
and extreme southern NJ. Farther north and east, isolated areas up
to 2" are possible. This is mainly confined to areas that will be
colder at the onset of snow and areas that will receive snow for
longer as the band of precip is moving offshore. The highest
uncertainty for snow amounts is across Monmouth and Ocean Counties
where banding and moderate snow may persist longer potentially
leading to higher totals."
Mt Holly never says anything optimistic about accumulating snow chances in Ocean County, so this is cool to see. I'm optimistic for maybe even breaking 3" imby for the first time since March 2018! Like 9 straight 'storms', without cracking 3 measly inches! Lol...that's a losing streak right there!
We'll see what tonight brings, 44* and on pace to hopefully see the snow in the 2-3 am range. The cold is def ahead of schedule and other nowcast signs apparently look good, and here I go again...lol
I hope your children wake up to a surprise of white! Hope that band sets up over us!...in this house with a school start time of 7:25 and wake up time of 6:30 we would love a delay.. I so want to stay up for change over but won't make it...good luck to all!
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 3841
Join date : 2014-11-25
1190ftalt- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 402
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-12-13
Location : Stillwater, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Snowing now in the Bronx mixed with rain 37° changeover happened in a little faster the big issue is will it stick
The latest hrrr has three to4 in for the city and nearby suburbs I'm sure we'll lose some of that to Melting though
The latest hrrr has three to4 in for the city and nearby suburbs I'm sure we'll lose some of that to Melting though
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Moderate snow here finally at 34°. Hopefully it's been cold long enough to get good stickage!
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
- Posts : 4914
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Moderate snow in the South Bronx coldest surface are starting to get slushy 34 degrees. It should be better in Mount Vernon I'll check when I get home from work
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Snowing at 33 here on LI. Colder surfaces starting to get accumulation.
_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
- Posts : 4820
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Snowing for an hour and have a nice coating on grassy surfaces. No accumulation on pavements. 32.7°
_________________
Janet
Snowfall winter of 2023-2024 17.5"
Snowfall winter of 2022-2023 6.0"
Snowfall winter of 2021-2022 17.6" 1" sleet 2/25/22
Snowfall winter of 2020-2021 51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020 8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019 25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018 51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017 45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016 29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015 50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014 66.5"
Dunnzoo- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
- Posts : 4914
Reputation : 68
Join date : 2013-01-11
Age : 62
Location : Westwood, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
2” on cold surfaces. 31 degrees. Snowing moderately. Yay!!!
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3906
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
34* and just started snowing big flakes here in Bayville...looks like its sticking already too.
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1191
Reputation : 61
Join date : 2017-01-06
Age : 51
Location : Bayville, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Roads completely covered as I see some early morning traffic.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3906
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Mod snow temps is at 33* sticking only on grassy and car tops only
frank 638- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 2852
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 41
Location : bronx ny
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
30 degrees, just had a final burst 1/2 hour ago.Looks like 2 inches to me, everything covered.Plow went by a little while ago My wife, a school aide in Chester, has a delayed opening.Nice to get the snowpack back.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8570
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Heavy snow approaching 1-inch on the coldest surface is here in the South Bronx slushy coating on the pavement now
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
33* with light snow. Grass and cars coated, pavement mostly wet.
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4524
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Well just as I expected very little here from what I can see out window. Just a light flurry now. Roads are fine and it'll be a regular day it appears I don't see anyone having DO for school except maybe long island. Oh well I'll take it in stride. Looks like radar really broke up and now my forecast shows ending at 7 or 8am. Radar does look like Sr models I will give them that. Hoping for the next. Congrats to anyone who got enough to stick to more than just cars. I can't tell but maybe a inch here? It's not unexpected.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20606
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Yay just got delay announcement. And I was wrong most districts at least in Westchester NY have 2 HR delay.
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20606
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
34* moderate snow. Accumulation mostly on cold and grassy surfaces. Streets just starting to look slushy. About 1/2” so far.
The temp crash is impressive in its own right
The temp crash is impressive in its own right
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 8411
Reputation : 302
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
1.25 inches here. Driveway and street covered. We are in the lull now and I expect it will start up again just when I have to leave for work. It’s nice to have the white blanket back after the past couple of days of rain melted everything from the last storm.
brownie- Posts : 397
Reputation : 17
Join date : 2013-11-10
Location : Parsippany, NJ
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
What were the expectations with this storm most models were showing 3 to 4 in Max except for the goofy short-range Canadian models which had some 6in amounts. You had to figure we were going to lose a couple of inches with melting from the warm ground and temps above freezing so an inch or two was to be expected. We have close to an inch here in the South Bronx probably more at home in Mount Vernon as it's a little colder will measure when I get home any snow is good snow
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 8411
Reputation : 302
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
algae888 wrote:What were the expectations with this storm most models were showing 3 to 4 in Max except for the goofy short-range Canadian models which had some 6in amounts. You had to figure we were going to lose a couple of inches with melting from the warm ground and temps above freezing so an inch or two was to be expected. We have close to an inch here in the South Bronx probably more at home in Mount Vernon as it's a little colder will measure when I get home any snow is good snow
Voice of reason Al well said. If this were a late Feb storm I’d be more disappointed that more energy didn’t come out of the SW and a nice low pop and enhance back end snow. But for early December I really can’t complain.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 8411
Reputation : 302
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
bloc1357- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 344
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2013-03-05
Age : 47
Location : West Babylon, NY - 11704
algae888- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 5311
Reputation : 46
Join date : 2013-02-05
Age : 62
Location : mt. vernon, new york
Re: December 11th 2019 Snow Potential
Snowing moderately. A solid 2" otg. I take! 3.25" for December so far which is more than half average snow fall for me. Active subtropical jet leads me to believe more chances will come!
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3906
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
Page 7 of 9 • 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
|
|