Re: March 2020 Observations and Discussion

by **amugs** Wed Mar 25, 2020 1:38 pm

Keep an eye on early April for a coastal - saying April 6thish time frame still plus or minus 2/3 days.
2nd half of April we warm as teh SE Ridge and the warm Hotlantic waters take over and looks to be a muggy and warm summer with a late (midish August onward) active tropical season (above normal) as I am seeing things now - just my .02.

by **amugs** Wed Mar 25, 2020 3:28 pm

This kid read my post here LOL!!
https://twitter.com/ChrisMartzWX/status/1242872960391798785?s=19

by mwilli Wed Mar 25, 2020 3:57 pm

Amugs. AccuWeather put out there forecast for 2020 hurricane season,there saying it will be a active season comparing it too the 2005 season they showed sat right now in the GOM temps look to be 75-80 degree range just wanna give everybody a heads up.

by **amugs** Wed Mar 25, 2020 8:33 pm

mwilli wrote:Amugs. AccuWeather put out there forecast for 2020 hurricane season,there saying it will be a active season comparing it too the 2005 season they showed sat right now in the GOM temps look to be 75-80 degree range just wanna give everybody a heads up.

Absolutely not only the GOM but the Atlantic in te MDR zone is boiling and with a Nina forming the weaterlies get knocked down and the azores HP will build. Where this sets up will dictate where these bad boys and girls steer. I have a feeling we will see some Cat 2 and 3 making landfall on the EC from NE to Fla and Gulf coast. I know wise vast area but cant rule out one or two making their way up here if the upper pattern dictates such.
Anyway the blocking is coming, as projected now by BOTH Gefs and EPS and the CMC Ens so stormy pattern will take shape.

by **Dunnzoo** Wed Mar 25, 2020 9:37 pm

amugs wrote:
mwilli wrote:Amugs. AccuWeather put out there forecast for 2020 hurricane season,there saying it will be a active season comparing it too the 2005 season they showed sat right now in the GOM temps look to be 75-80 degree range just wanna give everybody a heads up.
Absolutely not only the GOM but the Atlantic in te MDR zone is boiling and with a Nina forming the weaterlies get knocked down and the azores HP will build. Where this sets up will dictate where these bad boys and girls steer. I have a feeling we will see some Cat 2 and 3 making landfall on the EC from NE to Fla and Gulf coast. I know wise vast area but cant rule out one or two making their way up here if the upper pattern dictates such.
Anyway the blocking is coming, as projected now by BOTH Gefs and EPS and the CMC Ens so stormy pattern will take shape.

Something to keep an eye on, but can we please move this discussion to the long range or create another topic for this year's Tropical Storm season?

Hope everyone is doing ok, so far so good here in Dunnzville!

by **dkodgis** Sat Mar 28, 2020 4:08 pm

Raining pretty good here. I see it may last until early evening tomorrow.

by **Dunnzoo** Sat Mar 28, 2020 6:03 pm

raining here too, just got a little heavier, got .33" so far. As if staying home a lot stinks already, now we're stuck inside for 2 days.

by **amugs** Sun Mar 29, 2020 12:14 pm

Massive thunderstorm here an hour ago - lots of CTG lightening, loud thunder adn torrential rains with nickels sized hail.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1244276968658481158

by **dkodgis** Sun Mar 29, 2020 1:15 pm

Yep. Thunder. No hail. Good rain. Quiet the last 1.5 hrs

by **Dunnzoo** Sun Mar 29, 2020 3:27 pm

amugs wrote:Massive thunderstorm here an hour ago - lots of CTG lightening, loud thunder adn torrential rains with nickels sized hail.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1244276968658481158

I knew it was by you, we were just on the southern edge of it, a few good strikes of lightning and a little rain, no hail :-(

by **dkodgis** Mon Mar 30, 2020 7:02 pm

Pouring here. 49 degrees. Leaves were moving fast to open then slowed down. I think they are a couple of weeks early anyway. The lilac bush has leaves opening. and maybe some snow showers early tomorrow morning.

by **weatherwatchermom** Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:17 am

THANK GOODNESS THERE IS SUNSHINE!!!!! currently 48 * I am normally a positive person..but was going to do something drastic if we had another gloomy day!!!! We are safe in our home..husband working and son homeschooling....me keeping them fed and starting the purge projects..but have all of my weather friends on my mind and hope you are safe and stay that way!!

by mwilli Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:34 pm

Im ok just came back from the post office and $4.00 for Powerball tonight have a small salad at 2 pm then stoffer's mac n cheese tonight

by **weatherwatchermom** Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:32 am

mwilli wrote:Im ok just came back from the post office and $4.00 for Powerball tonight have a small salad at 2 pm then stoffer's mac n cheese tonight

HOPE YOU WON?!!

by mwilli Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:29 am

Nobody won.....lol