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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

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February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 Empty Re: February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast

Post by AlphaOrionis42 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:27 pm

I'm just south of Princeton, NJ...been sleeting since about 6 am. Brief transitions to snow, but predominantly sleet. ~8" on the ground from last night mostly. Pretty bummed because of the craziness just to my north!

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 Screen11

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:28 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Wonder if the car on the right is going anywhere soon? Shocked
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 6d9adc10

That looks to be over a foot bill.  

I haven't done an official measurement, but I'd be shocked if we're not over a foot.

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Post by dsix85 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:30 pm

Frank- are we in the worst part of the storm?

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Post by WeatherBob Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:30 pm

Accu weather now 18-24 in nyc
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:31 pm

WeatherBob wrote:Accu weather now 18-24 in nyc
is that total or in addition?
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:31 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:Man, I do feel for the folks in SW NJ/SE PA. Models by this point had them changeover, but one theory I am banking on is this storm is taking longer to develop than planned. Once the secondary gets going hoping temps in those places crash.

Frank you're spot on.  That is minutia that breaks hearts with these storms, however they'll get good snow as this pivots and the CCB slopes downward.  I had mixing until around 10:30 when the column crashed.  850's are well below zero, but there is a warm nose probably around 800 mb or so.

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Post by Snownyc Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:33 pm

It’s blitzing I n Brooklyn Flatbush

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:33 pm

billg315 wrote:
heehaw453 wrote:
billg315 wrote:Wonder if the car on the right is going anywhere soon? Shocked
February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 6d9adc10

That looks to be over a foot bill.  

I haven't done an official measurement, but I'd be shocked if we're not over a foot.

Update: A co-worker's husband who lives just a ways up the road from me just did a measurement. Based on that, we have 15" in this neck of the woods. I would normally doubt a measurement that high, but not based on what I see out my door.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:35 pm

heehaw453 wrote:
Frank_Wx wrote:Man, I do feel for the folks in SW NJ/SE PA. Models by this point had them changeover, but one theory I am banking on is this storm is taking longer to develop than planned. Once the secondary gets going hoping temps in those places crash.

Frank you're spot on.  That is minutia that breaks hearts with these storms, however they'll get good snow as this pivots and the CCB slopes downward.  I had mixing until around 10:30 when the column crashed.  850's are well below zero, but there is a warm nose probably around 800 mb or so.
Does a longer than expected development mean more snow for the board?
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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:35 pm

Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .

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Post by DAYBLAZER Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:35 pm

Just crossed 16 inches here in Hopatcong! Unreal.
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Post by docstox12 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:35 pm

At 12 noon...BOOM. Heavy snow started, visibility dropping wind picking up. 21 degrees.
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Post by sabamfa Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:35 pm

Went out to do round one of shoveling with my husband. By the time we got the driveway done, the steps and walkways were completely covered again. Not sure if it’s even worth it. Looking forward to whenever we can take the dog out though!!!

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:38 pm

Al you in a big lull now? Almost stopped here just a very fine snow right now pretty light. Hoping it picks up again soon.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:40 pm

frank 638 wrote:Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .
we are in between bands, kinda stinks but its go blast again once that band over LI rotates in but that could be a hour or so I dunno.
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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:40 pm

Frank I just trudged to my official spot have 13 inches and then went to take my pics..all of a sudden it was like a hail storm was hitting, instantly gone is the fluffy snow..it hurt as it was hitting my face and right now it's pouring whatever that is ..is that the warm nose you were talking about??


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:44 pm; edited 2 times in total
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Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:41 pm

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 A3b4d910

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Post by MattyICE Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:41 pm

Clifton, NJ. Sort of near where Essex and eastern Passaic counties meet. 13.5”. Think I’m in between the two big bands currently. Expect a pick up again shortly.

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:42 pm

Sleet now getting into mommouth county, NYC and WLO

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-12

This too should revert back to snow. We just have to be patient for this pivot to happen

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:42 pm

NWS Mt Holly Special Weather Statement:
...INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES CONTINUE RESULTING IN DANGEROUSCONDITIONS... As of 1230 PM, radar and spotter reports indicate an intense band of snow across much of eastern Pennsylvania, just north and west of Philadelphia, to northern New Jersey. Snowfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour are common within the core of this band. The leading edge of this band however down into Chester County is heavy sleet and this will tend to change to heavy snow this afternoon. The band of intense snow should pivot or expand some across the Interstate 95 area into the western portions of southern New Jersey from Burlington to Camden counties from about the New Jersey Turnpike westward. The movement of this band however will greatly determine how much snow accumulates this afternoon and this evening. The intense snowfall rates combined with gusty winds are significantly reducing the visibilities to one quarter mile or less. This is resulting in dangerous traveling conditions, and therefore travel is not recommended across the areas being significantly impacted by this intense snowfall.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:42 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Al you in a big lull now? Almost stopped here just a very fine snow right now pretty light.  Hoping it picks up again soon.
starting The Intensity of the snow is picking up before it was light now it’s getting darker Also I noticed the wind has backing down it is not as windy as before

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Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:43 pm

Mid-level warmth poorly modeled, that is for sure.

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Post by essexcountypete Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:43 pm

Frank_Wx wrote:I think we know who might jackpot...

February 1st-2nd Roidzilla, Part IV: Final Forecast - Page 26 CODNEXLAB-NEXRAD-DIX-N0Q-20210201-1644-12-100.gif.1fe6227f7a7189661b09f58a771867ab

The RGEM's idea of 30-40 inches may not be far off

Someone's getting 3' around here. Somerset County maybe. Somerville, Bridgewater.
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Post by Angela0621 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:48 pm

Been sleeting/raining her for awhile a few snowflakes in between but mostly sleet in Eatontown Monmouth County
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:49 pm

There is sleet in those red bands by Reading. I believe the on says mixed precip
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Post by WeatherBob Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:49 pm

On the Reading ob
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Post by algae888 Mon Feb 01, 2021 12:50 pm

jmanley32 wrote:
frank 638 wrote:Almost 11 inches for me The intensity of the snow has backed off for now .
we are in between bands, kinda stinks but its go blast again once that band over LI rotates in but that could be a hour or so I dunno.
Had  20 min lull. Ripping again with next band. What a storm!
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