NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Long Range Discussions 21.0

+33
jimv45
oldtimer
hyde345
sabamfa
SENJsnowman
essexcountypete
SNOW MAN
algae888
docstox12
mmanisca
skinsfan1177
rb924119
mwilli
weatherwatchermom
CPcantmeasuresnow
dkodgis
TheAresian
Snow88
Zhukov1945
Mike1984
dsix85
sroc4
lglickman1
WeatherBob
heehaw453
Irish
phil155
billg315
jmanley32
aiannone
frank 638
amugs
Frank_Wx
37 posters

Page 1 of 15 1, 2, 3 ... 8 ... 15  Next

Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by Frank_Wx Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:13 pm

This is the 21st thread of the long range pattern and storm tracking

The previous one hit its max

Please continue discussions here

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:35 pm

Behind teh Super Bowl Storm - coming from the Great State of Tez .....ASS!! MILLER A
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Image.png.507ed6a473e30432dca068c5446d09aa



_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:19 pm

Look at the temperatures in the East out in front of that. On Monday the GFS has single digit lows for almost all of NJ with freezing temps down to Florida. Watch those orange crops.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Sun Jan 31, 2021 10:04 pm

GFS puts us in the deep freeze starting next Sunday. Those who said the pattern would go cold from late Jan to mid Feb look to be vindicated.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Sun Jan 31, 2021 10:46 pm

billg315 wrote:GFS puts us in the deep freeze starting next Sunday. Those who said the pattern would go cold from late Jan to mid Feb look to be vindicated.

Not many did. Many said Nina would take hold and we toechnfir Feb. PV splitbround two of the SAWE has done its job. All said a abnormally strong PV . They did not take in low solar for 2.5 years. 09-10 ring a bell? Same scenario with low solar.

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 11:17 am

Question this Sunday my best friend is having his daughter and hos mom surprise birthday party will we have a snowstorm this weekend

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2814
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 40
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 11:28 am

frank 638 wrote:Question this Sunday my best friend is having his daughter and hos mom surprise birthday party will we have a snowstorm this weekend

BOOK IT FRANK!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 11:33 am

amugs wrote:
frank 638 wrote:Question this Sunday my best friend is having his daughter and hos mom surprise birthday party will we have a snowstorm this weekend

BOOK IT FRANK!!
will do thank you 😁

frank 638
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 2814
Reputation : 37
Join date : 2016-01-01
Age : 40
Location : bronx ny

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:29 pm

Super Bowl storm on GEFS.
Long Range Discussions 21.0 601830cf16de5.png.05a07b7377b289671856c53d616e8f1a

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:38 pm

Ohh boy...
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Pratep13

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:39 pm

Pattwrn reload. Feb maybe a banger x 1000

Long Range Discussions 21.0 0db068e587142b9d3b7830d729492a75

Super Bowl
We'd following it and then VDayish

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:40 pm

aiannone wrote:Ohh boy...
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Pratep13
Alex u doubt my King Snow Weenie powers huh kid?? LOL

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by Frank_Wx Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:41 pm

The EURO unleashes another Godzilla THIS weekend

_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________

CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Frank_Wx
Frank_Wx
Godzilla Seeker
Godzilla Seeker

Posts : 21301
Reputation : 328
Join date : 2013-01-05
Age : 31
Location : Jersey City, NJ

http://njstrongweather.blogspot.com/

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by aiannone Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:43 pm

amugs wrote:
aiannone wrote:Ohh boy...
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Pratep13
Alex u doubt my King Snow Weenie powers huh kid?? LOL

I dont doubt. So Im going to ask you a favor. Can you make sure Friday/Saturday's rain doesnt wipe out the pack because it will stick around for another couple weeks if it can survive those 2 warm days.

_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone
aiannone
Senior Enthusiast - Mod
Senior Enthusiast - Mod

Posts : 4813
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:54 pm

aiannone wrote:
amugs wrote:
aiannone wrote:Ohh boy...
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Pratep13
Alex u doubt my King Snow Weenie powers huh kid?? LOL

I dont doubt. So Im going to ask you a favor. Can you make sure Friday/Saturday's rain doesnt wipe out the pack because it will stick around for another couple weeks if it can survive those 2 warm days.

You'll need a flamethrower and a fire hose to wipe out this snow pack. lol
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 1:55 pm

Well if we do get a storm on Sunday, I may miss that one because I'm supposed to be down the shore for the Super Bowl. But after today, I think I can afford to miss out on that one. lol
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:02 pm

GFS has the Sunday storm signal as well. Upper level trough over the East Coast. The northern energy and the southern energy never fully hook up until too late though which is why it doesn't blow up here like Euro storm. It does hit New England. But the signal is there. It's entirely possible the runs this week see those two pieces of energy come together like the Euro. Another week of tracking.
Also I'll say it again, look at those temps after the Super Bowl storm. Whew its gonna get cold.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:33 pm

This will work and 2x on Sunday!!! SB storm part 3 peeps 14,15 and 21?
Long Range Discussions 21.0 Screenshot_20210201-142557_Chrome.jpg.6a39d62f936f005812f344bf83de6b52

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

SNOW MAN likes this post

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 2:35 pm

Wed the 10th there's another one and the arctic air is just brutal. That maybe on party with the great Helsinki Blizzard!!!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 15088
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

SNOW MAN likes this post

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 5:52 pm

18z GFS is still just missing the phase of the southern and northern energy until its a tad late for us. But it is right there. I can easily see where the GFS comes into agreement with the Euro in the next couple days.
The Heights out west actually look great, way up into Canada (hence that cold air pouring in behind this system), just need the trough to dig a little more in the east I think.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 5:53 pm

Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 5:59 pm

I dont understand, the 12z euro before the 2.7 storm shows 12 inches or so here, and 15 to my west encomasing this storm and then rises to 26 inches so thats more of a mothrazilla, or are we saying this has godzilla potential?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:01 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.

Haha! Jman, these winter storms are not making life easy on you. You might be Ok with the Fri to Sunday. I think the time frame on Sunday (though it can change) is later Sunday so maybe you can get back before it hits. Of course we're 6 days away so timing details are simply wild speculation right now.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:03 pm

jmanley32 wrote:I dont understand, the 12z euro before the 2.7 storm shows 12 inches or so here, and 15 to my west encomasing this storm and then rises to 26 inches so thats more of a mothrazilla, or are we saying this has godzilla potential?

I think it's the potential moreso than the verbatim right now.
billg315
billg315
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 4438
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:04 pm

billg315 wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.

Haha! Jman, these winter storms are not making life easy on you. You might be Ok with the Fri to Sunday. I think the time frame on Sunday (though it can change) is later Sunday so maybe you can get back before it hits. Of course we're 6 days away so timing details are simply wild speculation right now.
what about tomorrow do you think it wise to get out tomorrow?
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 20490
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 42
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Long Range Discussions 21.0 Empty Re: Long Range Discussions 21.0

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 1 of 15 1, 2, 3 ... 8 ... 15  Next

Back to top


 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum