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Long Range Discussions 21.0

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:06 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.

Haha! Jman, these winter storms are not making life easy on you. You might be Ok with the Fri to Sunday. I think the time frame on Sunday (though it can change) is later Sunday so maybe you can get back before it hits. Of course we're 6 days away so timing details are simply wild speculation right now.
what about tomorrow do you think it wise to get out tomorrow?
I wouldn't recommend traveling yet tomorrow. Not that I think the snow tomorrow will rival today, but with it still snowing off and on, and the snow already out there, I can imagine road crews are going to have an uphill battle to keep things clear. I'd say Wednesday is when things will clear up for travel.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:10 pm

@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.

Haha! Jman, these winter storms are not making life easy on you. You might be Ok with the Fri to Sunday. I think the time frame on Sunday (though it can change) is later Sunday so maybe you can get back before it hits. Of course we're 6 days away so timing details are simply wild speculation right now.
what about tomorrow do you think it wise to get out tomorrow?
I wouldn't recommend traveling yet tomorrow. Not that I think the snow tomorrow will rival today, but with it still snowing off and on, and the snow already out there, I can imagine road crews are going to have an uphill battle to keep things clear. I'd say Wednesday is when things will clear up for travel.
good idea, ill see if i can squeeze my travel in to wed/thurs coming home Fri. Thats prolly best bet. Plus I just put it in banter and snow day #2 for my daughter and now my wife too! I sadly am still unemployed with this stupid covid making it really hard to find a job in my field. So im always free lol
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:13 pm

Look. At. This. Cold air pouring into the Eastern U.S. starting Sunday night:
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Screen10
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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:14 pm

There are temps near -30* in the Great Lakes region and the freeze line in Florida.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:59 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@billg315 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:Another godzilla this weekend! Oh man, i cant win lol, i was gonna go to CT tomorrow, doesnt look like thats a good idea, then i was gonna go on fr/sat come back sun but that now doesnt look possible either lol well im all in still.

Haha! Jman, these winter storms are not making life easy on you. You might be Ok with the Fri to Sunday. I think the time frame on Sunday (though it can change) is later Sunday so maybe you can get back before it hits. Of course we're 6 days away so timing details are simply wild speculation right now.
what about tomorrow do you think it wise to get out tomorrow?
I wouldn't recommend traveling yet tomorrow. Not that I think the snow tomorrow will rival today, but with it still snowing off and on, and the snow already out there, I can imagine road crews are going to have an uphill battle to keep things clear. I'd say Wednesday is when things will clear up for travel.
good idea, ill see if i can squeeze my travel in to wed/thurs coming home Fri.  Thats prolly best bet. Plus I just put it in banter and snow day #2 for my daughter and now my wife too! I sadly am still unemployed with this stupid covid making it really hard to find a job in my field.  So im always free lol
so i moved my plans to wed and thurs, that should avoid this storm and the potential of sundays or whatever day it may come. we know superbowl storms can happen and if mugs knows anything which he does this ones comin too!! I hope the rain later this week doesnt mess this up too much.
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:32 pm

GEFS are on board too
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Image.png.04a23b50910c5aa95e80fd55776d5ec7

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:37 pm

Wind Chills in SC next Monday night negative single digits. Dangerous cold in whole northern tier of USA next week

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:41 pm

Yeah, if this storm hits Sunday, that snow isn't going anywhere for awhile. Either way, definitely at least several days of extreme cold next week.
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Post by phil155 Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:48 pm

Is the Sunday storm really looking likely and If it
is are we looking at potentially another major system

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 8:27 pm

@phil155 wrote:Is the Sunday storm really looking likely and If it
is are we looking at potentially another major system
YES
EPS is all in Great look at this lead time again
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Image.png.f2425149dad3ad01d79a5512b315417b

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Post by Irish Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:33 pm

@amugs wrote:
@phil155 wrote:Is the Sunday storm really looking likely and If it
is are we looking at potentially another major system
YES
EPS is all in Great look at this lead time again
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Image.png.f2425149dad3ad01d79a5512b315417b

By another major system, what could we be talking about? Ballpark...

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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:56 pm

Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:59 pm

@Irish wrote:
@amugs wrote:
@phil155 wrote:Is the Sunday storm really looking likely and If it
is are we looking at potentially another major system
YES
EPS is all in Great look at this lead time again
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Image.png.f2425149dad3ad01d79a5512b315417b

By another major system, what could we be talking about?  Ballpark...
Frank earlier in the thread mentions the word godzilla on euro.
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Post by Irish Mon Feb 01, 2021 9:59 pm

@frank 638 wrote:Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week

I saw that! Seems like an active 2-3 weeks coming up.

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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:00 pm

@frank 638 wrote:Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week
oy, gonna get my muscles back i guess. gonna be hell parking, do you have a driveway or street park? Street parking 2 cars is so much fun in many feet of snow, not many people shovel nicely. But its the price to pay to have these fun storms.
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Post by frank 638 Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:09 pm

@jmanley32 wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week
oy, gonna get my muscles back i guess. gonna be hell parking, do you have a driveway or street park? Street parking 2 cars is so much fun in many feet of snow, not many people shovel nicely. But its the price to pay to have these fun storms.
Bro my back killing me I have mountains of snow and yes I have 2 cars with a driveway no garage 🙁anyway get some rest we have more tracking to do what a great storm so far

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:11 pm

Super bowl
WED 12THISH
Lover Day

3 time frames for possible storms

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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:16 pm


_________________
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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:26 pm

This jet structure is amazing and shows a bombgenesis pattern with 130/140k speed out off the coastline to supercharge the energy. Need some things to come together but tjis I'd a pure Miller A
Bid dip and a PNA rise out west that helps too.
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Etmah810

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Post by billg315 Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:40 pm

@amugs wrote:This jet structure is amazing and shows a bombgenesis pattern with 130/140k speed out off the coastline to supercharge the energy. Need some things to come together but tjis I'd a pure Miller A
Bid dip and a PNA rise out west that helps too.
Long Range Discussions 21.0 - Page 2 Etmah810

Fantastic heights out west to drop the cold air in and great dig in the east to suck up that Gulf moisture.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:54 pm

@frank 638 wrote:
@jmanley32 wrote:
@frank 638 wrote:Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week
oy, gonna get my muscles back i guess. gonna be hell parking, do you have a driveway or street park? Street parking 2 cars is so much fun in many feet of snow, not many people shovel nicely. But its the price to pay to have these fun storms.
Bro my back killing me I have mountains of snow and yes I have 2 cars with a driveway no garage 🙁anyway get some rest we have more tracking to do what a great storm so far
Well imagine having to redig out everyday instead of just once, i would kill to havea driveway. Once it snows like this and continues i shovel prolly 80x till spring. Oh also i bet you do like me and bend at the waist and fling, DONT DO THAT, its slower but bend at the knees once you have a scoop keeping back straight as best you can and stand up and bring it to the spot, you won't kill as much. Or kill yourself and take some funny meds if you can get em
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Feb 01, 2021 10:57 pm

@amugs wrote:
Is this suggesting we see a redux of THIS storm that just happened? I cannot imagine 4-6 ft on the ground, that would be more than I have ever seen.
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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:48 am

Woah, Sunday storm, drops another 10 inches plus on area, much tighter fast moving storm though and super close to the coast it actually moves over eastern LI and cape cod, the pressure gradiant is very strong, if were to verify during and behind HWW criteria could be met.

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Post by Irish Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:51 am

There is some thought that the storm could form too far to the NE of us to really impact our area. Is there any merit to that?

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Post by jmanley32 Tue Feb 02, 2021 6:54 am

@frank 638 wrote:Twc has another major storm for this Sunday into Monday and then another when next week
TWC has me for 2-6 on Sunday not that thats at all accurate. Where did you see it saying another major storm? I know the models show it but I do not see the story. I am not go complain at all about a mothrazilla after this storm we kinda need a bit of a break, or I do anyways to allow for some cleanup.
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