Banter Thread 6.0
Page 3 of 30 • 1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 30
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
Yes I remember..will let you know when..have friends in your area..no traffic you are an hour..ps pics of your daughter are great!jmanley32 wrote:Oh I always go to NJ, I was going to go to yours last year but I found one closer, its a drive to get there and I am a realy bird (yeah many people hate that but thats how you find the good stuff).weatherwatchermom wrote:Jman..you should hit up our town wide garage sale this spring.. we have one every spring and fall...I will post the date when I find out..we are only an hour from you.
weatherwatchermom- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 3880
Join date : 2014-11-25
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8592
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/another-foot-of-snow-on-the-way-for-nyc/896002
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3910
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
I mean they are talking 2 days out tops it's not a outlandish lead time. But latest nam is a huge miss wayy to the south not even close to their map.heehaw453 wrote:AccuWeather still believes. Well based on the timestamp of the article, they may attempt a pin lower on the map this time. Again, I hate to bash anyone but it's irresponsible to throw numbers on a map for specific areas at the lead time they are doing in this setup. They could have easily hatched out a broad hatched area and then refine. Maybe it's just me.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/another-foot-of-snow-on-the-way-for-nyc/896002
Last edited by jmanley32 on Tue Feb 09, 2021 6:58 am; edited 1 time in total
jmanley32- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 20637
Reputation : 108
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 43
Location : Yonkers, NY
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
jmanley32 wrote:I mean they are talking 2 days out tops it's not a outlandish lead time.heehaw453 wrote:AccuWeather still believes. Well based on the timestamp of the article, they may attempt a pin lower on the map this time. Again, I hate to bash anyone but it's irresponsible to throw numbers on a map for specific areas at the lead time they are doing in this setup. They could have easily hatched out a broad hatched area and then refine. Maybe it's just me.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/another-foot-of-snow-on-the-way-for-nyc/896002
This has been on their site for 36 hours.
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3910
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
heehaw453 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:I mean they are talking 2 days out tops it's not a outlandish lead time.heehaw453 wrote:AccuWeather still believes. Well based on the timestamp of the article, they may attempt a pin lower on the map this time. Again, I hate to bash anyone but it's irresponsible to throw numbers on a map for specific areas at the lead time they are doing in this setup. They could have easily hatched out a broad hatched area and then refine. Maybe it's just me.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/another-foot-of-snow-on-the-way-for-nyc/896002
This has been on their site for 36 hours.
Interestingly, Accuweather has me getting 4-8" of snow Thursday. I say interestingly, because there isn't a single major model run right now that shows me getting more than a couple inches Thursday. And it is only two days away. Are they seeing something we and the models are all missing, or are they asleep at the switch?
billg315- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 4534
Reputation : 185
Join date : 2015-01-24
Age : 50
Location : Flemington, NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
heehaw453 likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
amugs wrote:What does Rayno have to say about this? That is irresponsible if they keep this on today without anything to back it up.
They took it down.
_________________
-Alex Iannone-
aiannone- Senior Enthusiast - Mod
- Posts : 4823
Reputation : 92
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Saint James, LI (Northwest Suffolk Co.)
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
SENJsnowman- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 1197
Reputation : 61
Join date : 2017-01-06
Age : 51
Location : Long Branch, NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
heehaw453- Advanced Forecaster
- Posts : 3910
Reputation : 86
Join date : 2014-01-20
Location : Bedminster Township, PA Elevation 600' ASL
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
billg315 wrote:heehaw453 wrote:jmanley32 wrote:I mean they are talking 2 days out tops it's not a outlandish lead time.heehaw453 wrote:AccuWeather still believes. Well based on the timestamp of the article, they may attempt a pin lower on the map this time. Again, I hate to bash anyone but it's irresponsible to throw numbers on a map for specific areas at the lead time they are doing in this setup. They could have easily hatched out a broad hatched area and then refine. Maybe it's just me.
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/another-foot-of-snow-on-the-way-for-nyc/896002
This has been on their site for 36 hours.
Interestingly, Accuweather has me getting 4-8" of snow Thursday. I say interestingly, because there isn't a single major model run right now that shows me getting more than a couple inches Thursday. And it is only two days away. Are they seeing something we and the models are all missing, or are they asleep at the switch?
They even have me at 2-4 inches Thursday night and I haven't seen one model in the last 24 hours that even gets a flake up here on Thursday.
CPcantmeasuresnow- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 7274
Reputation : 230
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 103
Location : Eastern Orange County, NY
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________
CLICK HERE to view NJ Strong Snowstorm Classifications
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
Relatively clear skies across the lake today allowed us to see the change in ice cover over the past 3 days. The first image is from Feb 6 and the second is from Feb 9. You can also see the rapid increase in ice cover over Lake Erie from this GLERL graph! https://t.co/Gz2DW9Yfws pic.twitter.com/SpwwE0LLzm
— NWS Cleveland (@NWSCLE) February 10, 2021
And this my goodness this is barbaric cold - yes I know it gets cold but come on this is just off the charts
https://electroverse.net/record-cold-in-moscow-eiffel-tower-ice-autobahn-chaos-in-germany-summer-chills-in-australia/
RECORD COLD INVADES MOSCOW
As reported by themoscowtimes.com, western Russia has been hit by bitter cold this week, and has joined central and eastern regions which have been battered by brutal Arctic lows of -58.3C (-73F) and beyond for months now
Canadian Prairies YIKES!!
#grandsolarminimum Polar vortex continues to bring piercing cold weather to Manitoba, Saskatchewan, & Alberta. 22 cold weather records were smashed.
— Grand Solar Minimum (@iceagereentry) February 10, 2021
Northwest Territories -51.9 °C
Uranium City -48.9 °C
Fort Chipewyan -47.3 °C
Edmonton -43.8 °C https://t.co/H5fgB5JP7F
Last edited by amugs on Wed Feb 10, 2021 12:19 pm; edited 2 times in total
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
kalleg likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
Freezing rain on the biggest oil industry refinery - watch gasoline prices go through teh roof - hell since Jan 1 they are up ,50 cents a gallon that's a 25% increase - it WILL trickle down and up to food, other goods and services as well. Inflation here we come - hopefully it will not be like the 70's - remember those years peeps!!!
Dr Roy Spencer latest Global temps - down ward trend continues - AL Gore must be going bonkers mad!!
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature
Planet-warming trend continues: 2020 closes hottest decade on record – UN weather agency
https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/12/1080882
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 783
Reputation : 12
Join date : 2013-12-09
Location : Bloomfield, NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
amugs wrote:OKAY THIS IS REMARKABLE!!! -5 in TEXAS - people will die for this cold - scary and down into the Gulf sub freezing!!
Freezing rain on the biggest oil industry refinery - watch gasoline prices go through teh roof - hell since Jan 1 they are up ,50 cents a gallon that's a 25% increase - it WILL trickle down and up to food, other goods and services as well. Inflation here we come - hopefully it will not be like the 70's - remember those years peeps!!!
Dr Roy Spencer latest Global temps - down ward trend continues - AL Gore must be going bonkers mad!!
I know how this ends, mugs. Global warming causes the polar ice caps to melt which in turns disrupts the North Atlantic current, thus removing our temperate climate and freezing everything. Then Randy Quaid saves NYC and everybody begins to move to Mexico. I saw it in "The Day After Tomorrow". When it does finally hit the fan, head to a library in NYC, grab a bunch of books to burn and look for Jake Gyllenhaal.
TheAresian- Senior Enthusiast
- Posts : 145
Reputation : 10
Join date : 2019-11-13
Location : Painted Post, NY
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
Worth the 3 minute watch
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
TheAresian wrote:amugs wrote:OKAY THIS IS REMARKABLE!!! -5 in TEXAS - people will die for this cold - scary and down into the Gulf sub freezing!!
Freezing rain on the biggest oil industry refinery - watch gasoline prices go through teh roof - hell since Jan 1 they are up ,50 cents a gallon that's a 25% increase - it WILL trickle down and up to food, other goods and services as well. Inflation here we come - hopefully it will not be like the 70's - remember those years peeps!!!
Dr Roy Spencer latest Global temps - down ward trend continues - AL Gore must be going bonkers mad!!
I know how this ends, mugs. Global warming causes the polar ice caps to melt which in turns disrupts the North Atlantic current, thus removing our temperate climate and freezing everything. Then Randy Quaid saves NYC and everybody begins to move to Mexico. I saw it in "The Day After Tomorrow". When it does finally hit the fan, head to a library in NYC, grab a bunch of books to burn and look for Jake Gyllenhaal.
OMG I think I just peed myself laughing at this!!!
Seriously though if the Beaufort Gyre dam breaks suddenly and exponentially this will happen very fast.
Texas is going to be a disaster with this cold as will the Bayou and Bama ! No heat nor insulation in their homes - plumbers pay dirt!
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
essexcountypete wrote:Climate Change: Global Temperature
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature
Planet-warming trend continues: 2020 closes hottest decade on record – UN weather agency
https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/12/1080882
These sorts of articles are kind of funny when you think about it. The title says it all. "Hottest decade on record" What record are they looking at? Modern day records? Well if that the case how many decades are actually "On record"? If we go back to say 1860, around the civil war lets say, thats still only 16 decades worth of data. And really since the satellite era (1950's) thats only 7 decades of data to compare. Thats a pretty small sample size when your talking about a time scale thats in the hundreds of millions of decades for the planet. Now if you want to look at ice core data now vs say the last few hundred thousand years, STILL A DROP IN THE BUCKET ON EARTHS TIME SCALE, you can see there have been at least 3 probably 4 times in history that the global temps have been warmer than they are now. And as you can see there is a clear cycle occurring. Also take note in the graph how until recent times CO@ and spikes in temps have correlated very well in an almost 1:1 ratio. However; the CO2 levels are currently off the charts but the temps are still flat lined(with year to year variability. See Mugsy's graph on the much smaller time scale for the details). That sharp spike you see close to present time was the 2012 super nino. This graph gives us a smaple size of about 40,000 decades to look at. Again relatively speaking still a small sample, but better.
Unfort too many cont to deny all the other evidence staring them in the face of the natural cyclical nature of nature. And once again (dead horse beaten) man made influences are definitely a part of the equation we are not behind the wheel. We are merely the annoying kid in the back whining about needing to pee again, and wanting to stop for McDonald's or something. Eventually we(planet earth) will get to where she is going(back into the cold period) and man will once again be humbled by the fact that we play a minuscule role overall compared to the big picture.
Now back to tracking.
https://environmentcounts.org/ec-perspective-accounting-for-800000-years-of-climate-change/
Last edited by sroc4 on Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:23 pm; edited 1 time in total
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 8445
Reputation : 302
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
amugs and CPcantmeasuresnow like this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
_________________
Mugs
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs- Advanced Forecaster - Mod
- Posts : 15130
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 54
Location : Hillsdale,NJ
sroc4 likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
amugs wrote:This gentlemen is extremely thorough and independent researcher on this topic that ties into his Geomagnetic Cycle along with terrestrial/planetary research he has performed. Written a number of books used at colleges on this. No he is not tied to ANY federal or international grant money.
Worth the 3 minute watch
I try to keep an open mind and I did watch the video. I couldn't figure out who the researcher was from the video or the youtube channel ABOUT page, but a little googling brought up a number of stories about Suspicious0bservers and Ben Davidson, and neither seem to have such a good reputation.
It seems that Ben Davidson has no science training, has degree in economics from Denison University and a Juris Doctorate from Capital University Law School.
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Suspicious0bservers
Suspicious0bservers is a Pseudoscientific Doomsday Cult
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fTLZTEE7mU
BEN DAVIDSON EXPOSED -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_DFypd5NGS8
I'll spend some time when I can to explore this more.
essexcountypete- Pro Enthusiast
- Posts : 783
Reputation : 12
Join date : 2013-12-09
Location : Bloomfield, NJ
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
sroc4 wrote:essexcountypete wrote:Climate Change: Global Temperature
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature
Planet-warming trend continues: 2020 closes hottest decade on record – UN weather agency
https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/12/1080882
These sorts of articles are kind of funny when you think about it. The title says it all. "Hottest decade on record" What record are they looking at? Modern day records? Well if that the case how many decades are actually "On record"? If we go back to say 1860, around the civil war lets say, thats still only 16 decades worth of data. And really since the satellite era (1950's) thats only 7 decades of data to compare. Thats a pretty small sample size when your talking about a time scale thats in the hundreds of millions of decades for the planet. Now if you want to look at ice core data now vs say the last few hundred thousand years, STILL A DROP IN THE BUCKET ON EARTHS TIME SCALE, you can see there have been at least 3 probably 4 times in history that the global temps have been warmer than they are now. And as you can see there is a clear cycle occurring. Also take note in the graph how until recent times CO@ and spikes in temps have correlated very well in an almost 1:1 ratio. However; the CO2 levels are currently off the charts but the temps are still flat lined(with year to year variability. See Mugsy's graph on the much smaller time scale for the details). That sharp spike you see close to present time was the 2012 super nino. This graph gives us a smaple size of about 40,000 decades to look at. Again relatively speaking still a small sample, but better.
Unfort too many cont to deny all the other evidence staring them in the face of the natural cyclical nature of nature. And once again (dead horse beaten) man made influences are definitely a part of the equation we are not behind the wheel. We are merely the annoying kid in the back whining about needing to pee again, and wanting to stop for McDonald's or something. Eventually we(planet earth) will get to where she is going(back into the cold period) and man will once again be humbled by the fact that we play a minuscule role overall compared to the big picture.
Now back to tracking.
https://environmentcounts.org/ec-perspective-accounting-for-800000-years-of-climate-change/
Those ice core samples tell the tale.My standard answer , and if you heard this from me before, forgive an old man who repeats himself a lot (from my wife).At one time where I sat on the land my house is on in the LHV, I would be underwater.Then, there was 100 feet of ice.All long before man even walked the planet.The earth will do what it wants to do.As Doc says, there is some contribution due to CO2 and I agree with wind and solar, and in the interim, natural gas eliminating coal.I hope I live to see the day of autonomous EV's that I could rent by the hour to get around, thereby getting rid of 2 cars, eliminating mechanics and car insurance, and getting garage space for other uses.The bottom line is that if trillions are spent worldwide switching to alternative energy sources, the earth could pull a fast one and warm up as it did in many millenia ago.
Hilarious Doc, the whiney kid in the back seat.
docstox12- Wx Statistician Guru
- Posts : 8592
Reputation : 222
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 73
Location : Monroe NY
CPcantmeasuresnow likes this post
Re: Banter Thread 6.0
essexcountypete wrote:amugs wrote:This gentlemen is extremely thorough and independent researcher on this topic that ties into his Geomagnetic Cycle along with terrestrial/planetary research he has performed. Written a number of books used at colleges on this. No he is not tied to ANY federal or international grant money.
Worth the 3 minute watch
I try to keep an open mind and I did watch the video. I couldn't figure out who the researcher was from the video or the youtube channel ABOUT page, but a little googling brought up a number of stories about Suspicious0bservers and Ben Davidson, and neither seem to have such a good reputation.
It seems that Ben Davidson has no science training, has degree in economics from Denison University and a Juris Doctorate from Capital University Law School.
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Suspicious0bservers
Suspicious0bservers is a Pseudoscientific Doomsday Cult
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3fTLZTEE7mU
BEN DAVIDSON EXPOSED -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_DFypd5NGS8
I'll spend some time when I can to explore this more.
Ben Davidson gets attacked by the mainstream because he doesn't fall in line with what is being pushed. Unfortunately google intentionally suppresses information that is conservative and contradictory to what story line is these days and highlights the narrative and the opposition to all those against the narrative. He presents hundreds if not thousands of papers from actual climate researchers whos findings at the very least question the idea that man made global warming is the only explanation. For some reason this information isnt at the forefront or at least discussed.
Watch these video' and keep in mind this point. This isnt a debate about man made global warming vs natural variation. This is about not silencing the discussion. For some reason people dont want to discuss other things. Claim its pseudo science. None sense.
As a Dr myself I understand that science is never 100%. Just when we think things are figured out we realize oops we now know more and our previous understanding has now evolved based on the new technology and data etc. And with humans just scratching the surface of our understanding of the cosmos it is plain ignorance to claim we have it figured out.
_________________
"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65"
sroc4- Admin
- Posts : 8445
Reputation : 302
Join date : 2013-01-07
Location : Wading River, LI
amugs, CPcantmeasuresnow and billg315 like this post
Page 3 of 30 • 1, 2, 3, 4 ... 16 ... 30