Re: Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast

by **brownie** Thu Feb 18, 2021 1:59 pm

3.5” on the ground here. Seems to have stopped.

by **lglickman1** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:04 pm

What is a realistic expectation for additional snow accumulation through tomorrow morning in the NYC metro area?

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:07 pm

4" OTG - 25 minutes sleet/mix - tonight into tomorrow some more white gold
Sharpen up that rough a bit more and we'll add another nice round.

by **Frank_Wx** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:08 pm

lglickman1 wrote:What is a realistic expectation for additional snow accumulation through tomorrow morning in the NYC metro area?

1-2”

by **Dunnzoo** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:21 pm

amugs wrote:4" OTG - 25 minutes sleet/mix - tonight into tomorrow some more white gold
Sharpen up that rough a bit more and we'll add another nice round.

So that would make it 4.5"? geek

by **nutleyblizzard** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:24 pm

Ended up with 3” with round one.

by **Radz** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:26 pm

3” here as well...

by kalleg Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:49 pm

New Hope update--very light rain/drizzle, maybe a bit of tiny sleet, 28*

by **SNOW MAN** Thu Feb 18, 2021 2:55 pm

Had very fine sleet about a half hour ago. Now snowing very lightly at 20.8*. Looks like there's a little more light snow moving into my area according to radar. I only received 3/4" with the first round.

by **docstox12** Thu Feb 18, 2021 3:11 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:Looks like it's pretty much over for wave 1 here.

I'm going to call it at 1.5 inches and try to pretend that this never happened and lick my wounds and move on.

52 inches for the season now and 13.5 inches otg so I can't bitch too much.

Moderate snow started again and radar filled in a bit over us CP. Let's see how the next round goes, wave 1 has busted low.

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 3:22 pm

by **SENJsnowman** Thu Feb 18, 2021 3:29 pm

Ended up being a fun afternoon. 3 hours of good hearty winter precip and one hour of good heavy snow.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7816

Using that icy foundation to make a little speed pipe.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7817

Oops, need a little modification here, let's try that again...

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7818

Looking better...way to keep that corner tight Lily!!

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7819

And a successful test run!

Trying to eyeball the amount snowfall we got in Bayville...I think Snowey is mad at me for leaving him out in the sleet, so he isn't helping any. Matter of fact, he's being a smart ass about it!

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Img-7820

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:20 pm

Winter Weather Advisory issued February 18 at 3:52PM EST until February 19 at 7:00PM EST by NWS New York City - Upton
DESCRIPTION: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
FRIDAY...
* WHAT...Light snow and sleet with a chance of freezing drizzle.
Additional snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches through
Friday afternoon, and ice accumulations of a light glaze
possible tonight. Total snow and sleet accumulations Thursday
through Friday afternoon of 6 to 8 inches.
* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut
and southeast New York.
* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

by **essexcountypete** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:21 pm

Sleet / FRZ mix right now and coming down hard.

by **GreyBeard** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:22 pm

There was mention earlier of a coastal low developing tonight. When I look at the radar, it looks strung out and sliding off to the east. How is this coastal low supposed to develop?

by SkiSeadooJoe Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:28 pm

Ha ha SNJSnowman check it out, same ruler, LOL

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 20210211

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:29 pm

GreyBeard wrote:There was mention earlier of a coastal low developing tonight. When I look at the radar, it looks strung out and sliding off to the east. How is this coastal low supposed to develop?

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Bbb10

by **GreyBeard** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:33 pm

Thanks Scott. Just didn't look like there was much to work with. Still doesn't, to be honest, but what do I know? lol

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:34 pm

sroc4 wrote:
GreyBeard wrote:There was mention earlier of a coastal low developing tonight. When I look at the radar, it looks strung out and sliding off to the east. How is this coastal low supposed to develop?

I think this part to the storm will be way more isolated.

by **sroc4** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:36 pm

sroc4 wrote:
sroc4 wrote:
GreyBeard wrote:There was mention earlier of a coastal low developing tonight. When I look at the radar, it looks strung out and sliding off to the east. How is this coastal low supposed to develop?

I think this part to the storm will be way more isolated.

Going to need to wait until about 5-7am to start to see this second part really take shape with isolated pockets of light and maybe mod snow/sleet overnight. Will have to watch for back filling, esp for the southern area I have circled.

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 Hrrr-s10

by **Irish** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:55 pm

Same here

Issued By
Philadelphia - PA, US, National Weather Service
Affected Area
Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware
Description
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

WHAT...Mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch.

WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and southern New Jersey, southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware.

WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Friday.

IMPACTS...Expect slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the commute times this evening and on Friday morning.

ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Patchy freezing drizzle, sleet, and snow will continue through the evening hours. Snow, sleet, and rain will then increase Friday around sunrise from the southwest as the next system approaches.

by **jmanley32** Thu Feb 18, 2021 4:57 pm

Official numbers are in from NWS and the jackpot out of all the listed areas was central park at 4.0!! HA

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 5:12 pm

Happy Hour Gfs is hitting Lou's shot n beer joint again

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477

Thursday's Mothrazilla, Part II: First Forecast - Page 14 CE1E220A-DDC6-42F4-925B-9196D3CDD34D.png.2edafcd2f5353e6f7b09874c3f535477

by **Irish** Thu Feb 18, 2021 5:18 pm

amugs wrote:Happy Hour Gfs is hitting Lou's shot n beer joint again

I'll take that darker blue all over my area (Middlesex county) right over the rain.

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 5:42 pm

Happy Hour Runs of GFS and RGEM
An idea of another 2-3".

Have a coating as light snow continues here in varying intensity that last hour

by **amugs** Thu Feb 18, 2021 5:48 pm

by **frank 638** Thu Feb 18, 2021 6:08 pm

Just finished shoveling by me we ended up with 4 inches of snow .now it’s freezing drizzle

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