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2021 Tropical Season

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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jul 08, 2021 10:09 am

 2021 Tropical Season - Page 3 Img_2025
 2021 Tropical Season - Page 3 Img_2026
Storms last night skirting past us..was a cool show


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Thu Jul 08, 2021 10:39 am; edited 2 times in total
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Jul 08, 2021 10:10 am

 2021 Tropical Season - Page 3 Img_2028
Current view
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Post by New Yorker 234 Thu Jul 08, 2021 10:19 am

Good morning. The Weather Channel says tropical storm conditions are possible here in NYC overnight yet there is no tropical storm watch/warning for NYC. Why is that?

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Post by sroc4 Thu Jul 08, 2021 10:54 am

@New Yorker 234 wrote:Good morning. The Weather Channel says tropical storm conditions are possible here in NYC overnight yet there is no tropical storm watch/warning for NYC. Why is that?

Honestly its likely a matter of semantics, meaning there is a very specific criteria that needs to be met to be placed in a warning.  I believe its sustained trop force winds expected within 24 or 36hrs I believe.  I dont recall how long of a duration defines sustained.  Sustained being the operative word regarding warning criteria though.  That said areas immediately west of the warning areas, like NYC/Westchester etc, can absolutely still get Trop storm force winds at times, esp under heavy bands.

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65" WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"
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Post by aiannone Thu Jul 08, 2021 11:01 am

Seems to me like this is more of a flood threat for western LI into NW NJ and SNY. Wind threat seems low. One thing we will have to watch out for is a favorable environment for quick tornado spin ups.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 08, 2021 12:19 pm

@aiannone wrote:Seems to me like this is more of a flood threat for western LI into NW NJ and SNY. Wind threat seems low. One thing we will have to watch out for is a favorable environment for quick tornado spin ups.
yeah last night there was no chance for tornadoes. Now they are saying it's possible. She's still so far south I don't see how she gets here as soon as predicted.
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Post by Vinnydula Thu Jul 08, 2021 2:50 pm

Never seen that much rain come down for that long ☔☔
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 08, 2021 3:39 pm

Like midnight here. Saw report of a.5 inch hail in Bergen?! Anyone got in that? Go be a wild night.
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Post by amugs Thu Jul 08, 2021 4:10 pm

The strongest winds from Elsa are most likely to occur late tonight and Friday morning over Long Island and coastal sections of New Jersey and Connecticut, where the Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued. Sustained winds could be between 40-50mph with gusts up to near 60mph for at least a few hours, as Elsa’s center passes nearby. These winds could cause tree damage and power outages. Around New York City, winds are likely to be between 20-30mph with some gusts to up to near 40mph possible.

 2021 Tropical Season - Page 3 Hrrr-n10


2-4" of Rain

From Mike Mostwill and 33 & RAIN

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Jul 08, 2021 5:01 pm

@amugs wrote:The strongest winds from Elsa are most likely to occur late tonight and Friday morning over Long Island and coastal sections of New Jersey and Connecticut, where the Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued. Sustained winds could be between 40-50mph with gusts up to near 60mph for at least a few hours, as Elsa’s center passes nearby. These winds could cause tree damage and power outages. Around New York City, winds are likely to be between 20-30mph with some gusts to up to near 40mph possible.

 2021 Tropical Season - Page 3 Hrrr-n10


2-4" of Rain

From Mike Mostwill and 33 & RAIN
umm if some of those spots of rain verify 7 to 10 plus....yikes. She intensified to 50mph as of 5. I could see her being a 60mph may be 70mph TS potentially.
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Post by amugs Tue Jul 13, 2021 6:38 pm

YIKES!!


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Post by amugs Wed Jul 14, 2021 11:10 am

If true YIKKESSSS!!


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Post by billg315 Sun Aug 01, 2021 2:21 pm

Tropics look very quiet for the next few days. Still forecast to get somewhat active later in August and September, but nothing brewing right now.
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Post by amugs Sun Aug 01, 2021 7:52 pm

MJO phase 2 and 3 will kick in and this will take off. Quiet before the storms.


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