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January 2022 Obs & Discussions

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Post by weatherwatchermom Tue Jan 04, 2022 6:51 am

19* this morning...
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Post by nutleyblizzard Tue Jan 04, 2022 7:04 am

After looking at the overnight/early morning runs while having my bacon & eggs for breakfast, the odds for a significant winter event have increased for Friday. The final details of course needs to be ironed out, but it’s looking good at this point. Time to start a thread for this event. Let’s bring it home! Off to work I go.
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Post by dkodgis Tue Jan 04, 2022 9:35 am

13 this morning. Cold can’t touch me with my heated socks on
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Post by heehaw453 Tue Jan 04, 2022 9:39 am

15.4 this morning. Felt like January should that's for sure.

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Tue Jan 04, 2022 10:08 am

13 this morning with the average low temperature for this date being 15. In other words right around normal, although it feels colder because it’s been so damn mild so far this winter. Hopefully the pattern change has now begun.
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:52 pm

Don't look now as everyone is onto Friday's storm but this is a sneaky little ice ice baby for EPA,, NNJ, LHV region manana morning for the commute

January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 FIRhPfbXIAAdTmo?format=jpg&name=medium

January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 FIRhqPQXwAQz_se?format=jpg&name=medium

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 04, 2022 1:20 pm

GEFS say winter is abound!!

January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 FIRwp8vXIAA-gCM?format=png&name=medium

January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 FIRwq4cXIAA_wEt?format=png&name=medium

Coincides nicely with the MJO phase 7/8

January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 Diagram_40days_forecast_GEFSBC_member


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WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by GreyBeard Tue Jan 04, 2022 3:56 pm

dkodgis wrote:13 this morning. Cold can’t touch me with my heated socks on






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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:01 pm

This is not as sexy as the snow threat Thursday night into Friday, but beware of a possible sneaky sleet/freezing rain event tomorrow AM in parts of New Jersey. Looks like warm air may be intruding at the upper levels while the surface stays below freezing as some light precip breaks out. This would happen around daybreak so could impact AM rush if it happens. Doesn't take much ice, even a light glaze, to cause some problems.
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Post by billg315 Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:14 pm

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
300 PM EST Tue Jan 4 2022

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Trenton,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton,
Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester,
Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale,
Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
300 PM EST Tue Jan 4 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey
and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to noon EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are
possible. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning
commute.
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Post by amugs Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:19 pm

BINGO nailed it !!! ^^^^^^

Next up my NESIS storm.
That storm will cripple NYC Metro region. My call.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:28 pm

billg315 wrote:URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
300 PM EST Tue Jan 4 2022

Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Trenton,
Jim Thorpe, Stroudsburg, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton,
Media, Philadelphia, Honey Brook, Oxford, West Chester,
Kennett Square, Collegeville, Pottstown, Norristown, Lansdale,
Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown
300 PM EST Tue Jan 4 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
 light glaze.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and northwest New Jersey
 and east central, northeast and southeast Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 7 AM to noon EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Very slippery sidewalks, roads and bridges are
 possible. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning
 commute.


Advisories have been issued state-wide, going to be tough commute for sure

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Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by rb924119 Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:58 pm

amugs wrote:BINGO nailed it !!! ^^^^^^

Next up my NESIS storm.
That storm will cripple NYC Metro region. My call.

Raising the bet, I see :p hmmmm, I’ve gotta re-check my hand to see if I’ll call and/or raise you haha

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Post by amugs Tue Jan 04, 2022 5:15 pm

rb924119 wrote:
amugs wrote:BINGO nailed it !!! ^^^^^^

Next up my NESIS storm.
That storm will cripple NYC Metro region. My call.

Raising the bet, I see :p hmmmm, I’ve gotta re-check my hand to see if I’ll call and/or raise you haha

Let me edit my call to be more pc (LOL) and general that, ambiguous that there will be a crippling snowstorm this wintertobthr NYC metro region.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 05, 2022 6:27 am

27* with a mix of light snow/frz rain here. A dusting of snow on the ground.
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 05, 2022 6:50 am

Be careful. Already some reports of accidents on Rt 1 in Mercer County.
January 2022 Obs & Discussions - Page 6 E9b75410
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Post by Dunnzoo Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:15 am

It's bad out there, so many accidents. Started with sleet at 27* at 5:45 and then switched over to freezing rain. Salters are out, but it's rough going.

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Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by phil155 Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:18 am

rb924119 wrote:
amugs wrote:BINGO nailed it !!! ^^^^^^



Next up my NESIS storm.
That storm will cripple NYC Metro region. My call.

Raising the bet, I see :p hmmmm, I’ve gotta re-check my hand to see if I’ll call and/or raise you haha

Is this the storm that was talked about for the 13th-16th time period

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Post by docstox12 Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:23 am

21 degrees, cloudy.Looks like there was a dusting of snow last night.Roads ok here and nothing coming down.Radar has everything east of me.
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Post by billg315 Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:36 am

Freezing rain seems to be moving off to the east and coming to an end across much of NJ, but damage was done. A number of accidents on local roads, Rt 1 closed, I-80 a parking lot and I-78 lots of accidents.
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Post by Frank_Wx Wed Jan 05, 2022 7:51 am

72 degrees in Fort Lauderdale this morning. Expected to go up to 82 with full sun I love you

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Post by jmanley32 Wed Jan 05, 2022 8:53 am

Seriously bad accidents this morning, 10 car pile up on exit 4 to cross county man was get out his car and another car collided and crushed him to death, saw the body on social media not what i needed to see in the morning..or ever. Be careful out there, I am remote 3 days a week now so.
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Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:01 am

It is 26 here at 9 am. In-laws said Rockland County was bad, and so is Westchester. Here, so far nothing. A quiet morning so far...
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Post by amugs Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:31 am

Holy Ice Batman.

Told my peeps at school and they were like nah, this morning OH Duck. Should have delayed but....the higher ups now better and to boot the Buildings n Grounds Supervisor emails us atb6:45 and says, " Be careful there are some slick spots in the parking lot because we are awaiting rock salt to be spread from the town". U fricking kidding me?!!

About 1/2 dozen students had accidents on the way  besides teachers. Bad call and they knew but are also leary about Fridays storm.

When you least expect it!!

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by dkodgis Wed Jan 05, 2022 9:44 am

Just starting here. It may be we are late to it all
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