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September 2022 Observations and Discussions

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frank 638
jmanley32
aiannone
weatherwatchermom
sroc4
amugs
docstox12
Radz
dkodgis
Dunnzoo
billg315
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Post by billg315 Thu Sep 01, 2022 9:14 am

Welcome to September and meteorological Fall. Looks like we'll have to wait a little while for the real "Fall" weather however.

72* and Sunny here, heading up to the mid-to-upper-80s. Not awful, but still a little warm for today's date.
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Post by Dunnzoo Thu Sep 01, 2022 1:35 pm

Gorgeous day out today! I'll take a few weeks of this!

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Fri Sep 02, 2022 6:56 am

Woke up to 44 this morning. I could see my breath. A crisp Shawangunk morning. Doc, put a sweater on
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Post by Radz Fri Sep 02, 2022 7:23 am

51* beautiful morning
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Post by billg315 Fri Sep 02, 2022 12:16 pm

Beautiful day today Sunny 74* with a dewpoint of 49*. Love it. Unfortunately back to the upper 80s/near 90 this weekend.
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Post by docstox12 Sat Sep 03, 2022 6:50 am

dkodgis wrote:Woke up to 44 this morning. I could see my breath. A crisp Shawangunk morning. Doc, put a sweater on

That was a sweater morning Damian. Looks like some showers as per NWS after today.
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Post by amugs Sun Sep 04, 2022 2:00 pm

RAIN!!! This would put a dent in the Drought!
September 2022 Observations and Discussions Screen14

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by sroc4 Sun Sep 04, 2022 2:07 pm

amugs wrote:RAIN!!! This would put a dent in the Drought!
September 2022 Observations and Discussions Screen14

You beat me to it Mugs. Euro coming in juiced up as well

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by dkodgis Sun Sep 04, 2022 2:14 pm

So let it be modeled. Let it be so
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Post by dkodgis Sun Sep 04, 2022 5:03 pm

A solid inch of rain so far. Yay!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Sep 04, 2022 8:21 pm

Lightning and thunder ⚡ and 3 drops of rain so far

Update: .05 inches of rain


Last edited by weatherwatchermom on Mon Sep 05, 2022 9:04 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by Dunnzoo Sun Sep 04, 2022 8:57 pm

.6" for today, we'll see what the totals are by Wednesday. Really don't need this all at once though. We have flooding issues by me and mugsy as we get a lot of water running downstream from NYS. ugh, going to be a long night Monday into Tuesday.

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Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by dkodgis Mon Sep 05, 2022 9:50 am

55 degrees right now. Here, another inch of rain. Forecast shows rain, lots of it, coming up here. I hope it verifies. It will be nice to see. We had a fire near us in a park. It is contained but for the last few days, nothing but the smell of smoke in the air. The rain that came helped the firefighters. It was a lightning strike that started it so they say. It looks like the pool will be open a bit longer than usual.
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Post by aiannone Mon Sep 05, 2022 2:48 pm

0.45” in the bucket here so far from a pop up storm today. Surely need the rain. Let’s see how tomorrow plays out.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 05, 2022 6:40 pm

Crazy looks like I-287 and south are go stay dry (not a drop of rain here in weeks), its all training just north of here unreal, flash flooding in CT is severe 2-4 inches in New London County has fallen with another 2-3+ in the next few hours. They could be looking at a foot of rain by my guess. Disaster. That's not go help the drought that's go a be a repeat of Ida except for them maybe worse.
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Post by jmanley32 Mon Sep 05, 2022 6:43 pm

On the most bizarre radar ive seen, its like the coast is keeping the rain 5 to 1- miles north of it all way up 95. No rain except sprinkles on I-95 but inland just that short distance severe flash flooding.

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1knyca_h.gif
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Post by amugs Mon Sep 05, 2022 8:19 pm

Heavy waves of rain here.
.72" between yesterday and today so far.
It's a help and hopefully by Wedensday there a 2 in front of that number.
Just 5 days ago the GFS had a 15 day outlook of light rainfall during the period. That is a not going to be the case for many.

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by frank 638 Tue Sep 06, 2022 5:14 am

Still waiting for the heavy rain!!! By me we just had light showers

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Post by amugs Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:05 am

1.11" and counting. Beautiful steady moderate rain. DROUGHT BUSTER !!! 1.68" since Sunday

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
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Post by docstox12 Tue Sep 06, 2022 7:21 am

Figure around 1.50 inches here with nice, steady rain.Nice and cool out as well.
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Post by Frank_Wx Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:18 am

I hope everyone had an amazing summer! We still have a little bit to go, but once the calendar turns September 1st I'm ready for Fall Smile

I'll save tropics banter for the tropics thread, but want to comment how slow evolving the tropical season has been to this point. I have to research some more on why that is the case. Still a long way to go though, and it only takes one major hurricane to do damage.

What else stands out to me as I catch up on weather patterns is the ENSO, and how we're STILL in a La Nina regime.

September 2022 Observations and Discussions Capture

The pattern has been operating under a Nina regime since Spring of 2020. Three straight years!! The closest stretch of consecutive La Nina years I can find since 1979 is 2010-2012, but honestly the 2020-2022 rivals that one for sure.

While La Nina rages on, we are seeing above normal SSTA's in the northern Pacific. A +PDO could be a precursor to -EPO/+PNA conditions, but it's still very early in Meteorological Fall that I don't even want to get my hopes up that this will stick around for upcoming winter.

September 2022 Observations and Discussions Cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1

I plan to bring the Long Range thread back in mid to late September Smile

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Post by kalleg Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:43 am

1.6 inches so far in New Hope.


Last edited by kalleg on Tue Sep 06, 2022 8:44 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typo!)

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Post by dkodgis Tue Sep 06, 2022 10:26 am

Doc, I had the same numbers. But now the gauge is up to 2 inches. Still raining steadily.
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Post by Dunnzoo Tue Sep 06, 2022 10:50 am

I'm at about 2.1" since Sunday night, thankfully not much in the way of downpours, it's been slow and steady so really beneficial for me!

_________________
Janet

Snowfall winter of 2021-2022  17.6"  1" of sleet 2/25/22

Snowfall winter of 2020-2021        51.1"
Snowfall winter of 2019-2020        8.5"
Snowfall winter of 2018-2019     25.1"
Snowfall winter of 2017-2018     51.9"
Snowfall winter of 2016-2017     45.6"
Snowfall winter of 2015-2016     29.5"
Snowfall winter of 2014-2015     50.55"
Snowfall winter of 2013-2014     66.5"
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Post by docstox12 Tue Sep 06, 2022 12:19 pm

dkodgis wrote:Doc, I had the same numbers. But now the gauge is up to 2 inches. Still raining steadily.

Yep, figure we will end up 2 to 2.5 inches of wonderful rain.Great it was mostly a nice, steady type with a few heavier showers, so there is no flooding.
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