September 2022 Observations and Discussions

Welcome to September and meteorological Fall. Looks like we'll have to wait a little while for the real "Fall" weather however.

72* and Sunny here, heading up to the mid-to-upper-80s. Not awful, but still a little warm for today's date.

51* beautiful morning

Beautiful day today Sunny 74* with a dewpoint of 49*. Love it. Unfortunately back to the upper 80s/near 90 this weekend.

dkodgis wrote:Woke up to 44 this morning. I could see my breath. A crisp Shawangunk morning. Doc, put a sweater on

That was a sweater morning Damian. Looks like some showers as per NWS after today.

RAIN!!! This would put a dent in the Drought!

Lightning and thunder and 3 drops of rain so far

Update: .05 inches of rain

0.45” in the bucket here so far from a pop up storm today. Surely need the rain. Let’s see how tomorrow plays out.

Crazy looks like I-287 and south are go stay dry (not a drop of rain here in weeks), its all training just north of here unreal, flash flooding in CT is severe 2-4 inches in New London County has fallen with another 2-3+ in the next few hours. They could be looking at a foot of rain by my guess. Disaster. That's not go help the drought that's go a be a repeat of Ida except for them maybe worse.

On the most bizarre radar ive seen, its like the coast is keeping the rain 5 to 1- miles north of it all way up 95. No rain except sprinkles on I-95 but inland just that short distance severe flash flooding.

https://sirocco.accuweather.com/nxssa_r1_h_500x620d/r1h/inxr1knyca_h.gif

Heavy waves of rain here.
.72" between yesterday and today so far.
It's a help and hopefully by Wedensday there a 2 in front of that number.
Just 5 days ago the GFS had a 15 day outlook of light rainfall during the period. That is a not going to be the case for many.

Still waiting for the heavy rain!!! By me we just had light showers

1.11" and counting. Beautiful steady moderate rain. DROUGHT BUSTER !!! 1.68" since Sunday

Figure around 1.50 inches here with nice, steady rain.Nice and cool out as well.

I hope everyone had an amazing summer! We still have a little bit to go, but once the calendar turns September 1st I'm ready for Fall

I'll save tropics banter for the tropics thread, but want to comment how slow evolving the tropical season has been to this point. I have to research some more on why that is the case. Still a long way to go though, and it only takes one major hurricane to do damage.

What else stands out to me as I catch up on weather patterns is the ENSO, and how we're STILL in a La Nina regime.



The pattern has been operating under a Nina regime since Spring of 2020. Three straight years!! The closest stretch of consecutive La Nina years I can find since 1979 is 2010-2012, but honestly the 2020-2022 rivals that one for sure.

While La Nina rages on, we are seeing above normal SSTA's in the northern Pacific. A +PDO could be a precursor to -EPO/+PNA conditions, but it's still very early in Meteorological Fall that I don't even want to get my hopes up that this will stick around for upcoming winter.



I plan to bring the Long Range thread back in mid to late September

dkodgis wrote:Doc, I had the same numbers. But now the gauge is up to 2 inches. Still raining steadily.

Yep, figure we will end up 2 to 2.5 inches of wonderful rain.Great it was mostly a nice, steady type with a few heavier showers, so there is no flooding.