NJ Strong Weather Forum


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

NJ Strong Weather Forum
NJ Strong Weather Forum
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Rocktober Obs & Discussions

+17
SENJsnowman
Radz
GreyBeard
CPcantmeasuresnow
Quietace
weatherwatchermom
Dunnzoo
sroc4
nutleyblizzard
billg315
docstox12
Math23x7
jmanley32
kalleg
frank 638
dkodgis
amugs
21 posters

Page 4 of 7 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next

Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Oct 10, 2022 11:43 am

This could be one heck of cold shot for mid October, big discharge of arctic air - BIG NAO Block and West Coast Ridge along with EPO block over Alaskan region

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 FetgdBnWIAAkCo1?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

weatherwatchermom likes this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Oct 10, 2022 12:45 pm

dkodgis wrote:Crock pot is your friend, mom
Yes! use it all the time and I made dinner in it yesterday..enough left over for Tuesday...there should be no questions asked...we are up against the clock this year. Love the cold possibly coming in faster..but on flip side have to work harder to get my projects done and I usually seal the deck every couple of years the week we got Ian leftovers...so now in a hurry.. Smile
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3284
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 58
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Oct 10, 2022 8:36 pm

From the Siberian Snow extent Coverage at this time as compared to other years - IMPRESSIVE but not two set ups are alike. Just showing what could be by this metric, if you call it such.


Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Feugxa10
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Feugxa11

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Oct 10, 2022 8:38 pm

This has snow chance for NY State up through GL and NE.

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Feu-w310

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Mon Oct 10, 2022 9:49 pm

Good soaking Rain Thursday with the big cold front

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Image_18

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Tue Oct 11, 2022 5:22 am

amugs wrote:Good soaking Rain Thursday with the big cold front

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Image_18

Great news! Keeps denting that drought we had this summer.All lawns up here look beautiful with the cooler temps and rains we have had.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7688
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 72
Location : Monroe NY

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Tue Oct 11, 2022 2:38 pm

Slight risk for sever weather Thursday

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 FezLYASWIAAj457?format=jpg&name=medium

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Tue Oct 11, 2022 3:14 pm

63 degrees, sunny, calm.Absolutely beautiful October Fall day, colors are splendid up here, 50% now.
Did some yard work earlier.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7688
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 72
Location : Monroe NY

weatherwatchermom and SENJsnowman like this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Tue Oct 11, 2022 7:26 pm

Yard work? Doc, if you lived closer, you’d have a 40 hour workweek 

Beautiful out. 55 degrees. Another night with the windows open
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Wed Oct 12, 2022 5:15 pm

Looks like a gullywasher tomorrow
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

weatherwatchermom likes this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by weatherwatchermom Wed Oct 12, 2022 6:15 pm

Beautiful day! 73 high temp Thank goodness almost all done with everything outside..garden ☑, 2 decks sealed..in one day☑ (hubby ordered pizza..lol) pool folded and tucked away☑ almost ready to  start reading the 20 books I have in a stack!
weatherwatchermom
weatherwatchermom
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 3284
Reputation : 77
Join date : 2014-11-25
Age : 58
Location : Hazlet Township

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by jmanley32 Thu Oct 13, 2022 10:21 am

amugs wrote:Slight risk for sever weather Thursday

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 FezLYASWIAAj457?format=jpg&name=medium
mugs that's WPC, that's for excessive rainfall. SPC has a marginal risk for t-storms for jersey and scraping NYC.
jmanley32
jmanley32
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 19148
Reputation : 107
Join date : 2013-12-12
Age : 41
Location : Yonkers, NY

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by SENJsnowman Thu Oct 13, 2022 12:26 pm

Happy Tidings all! Wow, it took me like 3 days to read all the posts just from the start of the Ian discussion- so much good stuff in there, thanks! Down here in Bayville, I think that last week we hit that 8-10" mark that someone in here alluded to a few days ago. It was amazing how the heavy rains just kept coming. And the call seemed to be for Tuesday to be the end of it, but clear into Wednesday evening it went on and on...lol.
(Doc- I wonder if the Shore might be STILL locked in to that sweet spot! Very Happy)

Either way, I'm gonna continue to soak up all this heavenly fall weather while it's still here! So, here's to everyone's health and fortunes for the upcoming season (and beyond) and may our winter be filled with fun trackings and bullseyes and a positive PNA for all.  cheers

SENJsnowman

Posts : 1009
Reputation : 61
Join date : 2017-01-06
Age : 49
Location : Bayville, NJ

sroc4, amugs and kalleg like this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by docstox12 Thu Oct 13, 2022 2:06 pm

SENJsnowman wrote:Happy Tidings all! Wow, it took me like 3 days to read all the posts just from the start of the Ian discussion- so much good stuff in there, thanks! Down here in Bayville, I think that last week we hit that 8-10" mark that someone in here alluded to a few days ago. It was amazing how the heavy rains just kept coming. And the call seemed to be for Tuesday to be the end of it, but clear into Wednesday evening it went on and on...lol.
(Doc- I wonder if the Shore might be STILL locked in to that sweet spot! Very Happy)

Either way, I'm gonna continue to soak up all this heavenly fall weather while it's still here! So, here's to everyone's health and fortunes for the upcoming season (and beyond) and may our winter be filled with fun trackings and bullseyes and a positive PNA for all.  cheers

Hey, SE, that storm dumping all that rain on you could be a little hint of the upcoming pattern.Way too early and we will be observing closely.
docstox12
docstox12
Wx Statistician Guru
Wx Statistician Guru

Posts : 7688
Reputation : 221
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 72
Location : Monroe NY

SENJsnowman likes this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 13, 2022 4:44 pm

64 here now. Rain has been steady, light. Radar suggests it will get heavier within the hour. Right now it is about a 1/2 inch. I’ll take it but I expected more already and then some. I am remanding myself to the Well of Wishcasting, in penance for my impertinence.
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

kalleg likes this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:05 pm

MJO going into Phase 6 n 7 towardsbthen2nd half of Rocktober. Bigly Cold Shot next week. Lake Effect snow machine opens up.

Okay battle of models for last week of Rocktober. MJO maps support th3 GFS but a blend would be interesting. WURO would have a Sandy/Hazel blend track.
MJO Phase 6 BN Temps next week
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-xeb10
MJO Phase 7 N temps as the big ol trough retrogrades west as we are about N
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-xeb11
Euro says no
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-pbr10


Last edited by amugs on Fri Oct 14, 2022 8:33 am; edited 1 time in total

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:06 pm

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-paj10
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-o7j10
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe-o5410

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:28 pm

4:45 pm to 6:25 pm-an additional inch has fallen. Heavier rain now
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Thu Oct 13, 2022 6:30 pm

Mugs, I see numbers at the bottom of the images but I don’t know what the images mean. What do they mean in words?
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 8:51 pm

Windy day manana 20 -25 mph gusts.

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe_jce10

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 9:41 pm

Find the cold front....
Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Fe_wcy10

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 10:20 pm

Windy and moderate rains here. Leaves blowing around, total fall night

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Thu Oct 13, 2022 10:43 pm

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Image_19

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by amugs Fri Oct 14, 2022 10:14 am

.94" yesterday - nice soaking event!

_________________
Mugs 
AKA:King: Snow Weenie
Self Proclaimed
WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
WINTER 2016-17 : 39.5" so far
amugs
amugs
Advanced Forecaster - Mod
Advanced Forecaster - Mod

Posts : 13980
Reputation : 213
Join date : 2013-01-07
Age : 52
Location : Hillsdale,NJ

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by dkodgis Fri Oct 14, 2022 11:16 am

2.75 in the rain gauge this morning.
dkodgis
dkodgis
Senior Enthusiast
Senior Enthusiast

Posts : 1916
Reputation : 98
Join date : 2013-12-29

amugs likes this post

Back to top Go down

Rocktober Obs & Discussions - Page 4 Empty Re: Rocktober Obs & Discussions

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 4 of 7 Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7  Next

Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum