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November 2023 Observations and Discussion

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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by Radz Sun Nov 05, 2023 1:36 am

Raining… on our dry weekend 🤣November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Img_1810

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Post by heehaw453 Sun Nov 05, 2023 9:19 am

Definitely a bit more snow coverage in eastern CA now, but it's still below normal depths in most areas. In many of these areas in central Quebec and Labrador November is the biggest monthly snowfall. I don't see much here in November if any which of course is normal, but it would be nice if the area could see snow OTG for Christmas. It's been 14 years in Central Park and that's getting into longest span territory for NYC. I think the record is actually 17 years 1966-1983.

I feel good though about not being single digit snowfall IMBY this season. 2 occurrences in 4 years is incredible.



November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Easter14

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Post by amugs Tue Nov 07, 2023 4:37 pm

This is going to help towards Thanksgiving drive cold air into the conus if it verifies

EPO goes Negative
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Epo10

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WINTER 2014-15 : 55.12" +.02 for 6 coatings (avg. 35")
WINTER 2015-16 Total - 29.8" (Avg 35")
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by sroc4 Tue Nov 07, 2023 7:31 pm

amugs wrote:This is going to help towards Thanksgiving drive cold air into the conus if it verifies

EPO goes Negative
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Epo10

Was looking at that as well. We shall see.

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"In weather and in life, there's no winning and losing; there's only winning and learning."
WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by docstox12 Tue Nov 07, 2023 9:35 pm

53 degrees, cloudy and wind is howling now.Must be a front coming through.Next weeks daytime highs in the 40's! Here we go!
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Post by weatherwatchermom Thu Nov 09, 2023 9:19 am

Hit a low of 37* last night around 9pm this morning its 54* and cloudy..
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Post by dkodgis Thu Nov 09, 2023 9:30 am

The low was 33 here. I see this weekend, things drop. My pov is the leaves here came down fast, and way early. Some two weeks early I should think. I should be doing leaves for the next two weeks at least, maybe another week, and once in a while a week after that for the big oak tree. I have been done since end of Oct. I have to go around this weekend to tidy up the oak leaves which that tree's leaves are almost dropped.
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Post by billg315 Fri Nov 10, 2023 1:35 pm

I agree with Damian's observation, at least near me. In a totally non-scientific sense I noticed a couple weeks ago that many trees seemed bare, sooner than they had in recent Octobers. Some still have leaves now, but it did seem to be a slightly accelerated leaf fall this season to my eye.
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by 1190ftalt Sat Nov 11, 2023 7:24 am

Low 32 degrees, heavy frost this morning, just got a feeling we are in for a snowy winter, soon!
   Good Luck!November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 9098a810
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 1b525810
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Eb3cb010
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by sroc4 Sat Nov 11, 2023 7:33 am

1190ftalt wrote:Low 32 degrees, heavy frost this morning, just got a feeling we are in for a snowy winter, soon!
   Good Luck!November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 9098a810
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 1b525810
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Eb3cb010

From your finger tips to Gods, and old man winters ears. Lol

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WINTER 2012/2013 TOTALS 43.65"WINTER 2017/2018 TOTALS 62.85" WINTER 2022/2023 TOTALS 4.9"      
WINTER 2013/2014 TOTALS 64.85"WINTER 2018/2019 TOTALS 14.25" WINTER 2023/2024 TOTALS 13.1"
WINTER 2014/2015 TOTALS 71.20"WINTER 2019/2020 TOTALS 6.35"
WINTER 2015/2016 TOTALS 35.00"WINTER 2020/2021 TOTALS 37.75"
WINTER 2016/2017 TOTALS 42.25"WINTER 2021/2022 TOTALS 31.65" 
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Post by weatherwatchermom Sun Nov 12, 2023 8:26 am

35* low for this morning..
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Post by docstox12 Mon Nov 13, 2023 5:59 am

22 degrees, clear, calm winds and frost.
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Post by aiannone Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:16 am

Low 26.0. Coldest of the season

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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:28 am

7:07 in the am 25 degrees, heavy frost, most leaves are down except the oaks are Still holding, once we get some moisture to line up with the cold temperatures we will be off and running!
   Good Luck !November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 9bc4f810
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 955d7310
November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 4e817210November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 2a7a9610
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Post by dkodgis Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:39 am

Blue sky smilin’ at me. 
Nothing but blue sky do I see

20 for a low
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Post by amugs Mon Nov 13, 2023 7:50 am

26* for my low- BRRRRRRRR!!

NYC was 34* - UHI is a myth some say - hogwash!!

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Post by weatherwatchermom Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:15 am

30* for the low this morning!
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Post by heehaw453 Mon Nov 13, 2023 8:53 am

21 at 7 AM today with very thick frost. Coldest morning this November by 2 degrees.

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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Mon Nov 13, 2023 9:35 am

Here are the storm ingredients - we will have many of these said storm this winter IMO.

November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F-0Y8izW8AAtj4w?format=jpg&name=900x900

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Post by 1190ftalt Mon Nov 13, 2023 1:55 pm

Lightly snowing at 1:52pm, 44 degrees, don’t know how!November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F3732510
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Mon Nov 13, 2023 2:50 pm

Here comes the cold for Thanksgiving week peeps - showed this the otehr day with the EPO going Negative and the GFS was first on this bigly:

November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F-1qkddXgAAtTb1?format=png&name=medium


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Post by jmanley32 Tue Nov 14, 2023 7:02 pm

12z GFS brings the tropical system up the coast by weekend, very close swipe into main and canada. Wont be tropical of course but still a big system and another around thanksgiving possible.
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November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 Empty Re: November 2023 Observations and Discussion

Post by amugs Tue Nov 14, 2023 7:48 pm

The EPO crashes Negative and everything downstream responds.
It pumps a ridge in the West Coast.
Forces tye jet yo dive south and deep south almost to GOM at this time.
Atrough builds in over Eastern Portion of USA.
Cold drills in and next two weeks are going to be winterish temps wise with the possibilities of white gold interior and maybe to the Northern Piedmont of NJ and upper LHV (aka Noryh Westchester). Flurries into the city region? Could happen.
This is all in response to the MJO being in phase 1. Said this week's ago in LR thread. 

November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F-73vf10

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Post by dkodgis Tue Nov 14, 2023 9:06 pm

I am learning about the pieces that make weather but for me simple is best. I start with cold weather. If it is cold enough that’s one thing out of the way. So much depends on cold air. Like gas for a car. Can’t go anywhere without gas in the tank. We need cold air to come and stay. If you wish this, The Petroleum Institute will thank you.
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Post by docstox12 Wed Nov 15, 2023 5:43 am

24 degrees, partly cloudy and calm.
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Post by amugs Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:40 am

27* this morning and heavy frost again.

For Friday Night thorugh Saturday afternooninsh - Rainy.
Coastal Low stays offshore, outside teh benchmark and does not fully phase so we have a messy showery period.

November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F--TYSWXIAAY30u?format=jpg&name=large

Model Blend - about 1/2" of rain - if it were snow we'd go from Godzilla to almost nill tow days ago to a Monthra - buckle up peeps is ALL I can say!!! The amount of coastals we are seeing are going to be wild this D -M period as the STJ flexes from the peaking Nino. Great sign.

November 2023 Observations and Discussion - Page 2 F--TYSWXUAAik0D?format=jpg&name=medium

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Post by aiannone Wed Nov 15, 2023 12:29 pm

28.0* for a low this morning. Heavy frost.

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