JAN 6th-7th Storm Part II

amugs wrote:

rb924119 wrote:WAY colder

Trying to start wrap arounds now - could be interesting for Sunday after a heavy initial thump - like a 2 part storm setting up now Saturday afternoon into night and again Monday morning through mid afternoon if its real of  course!

AND.............. we have take off ladies n gentlemen 0Z NAM just saved the storm LOL!!

amugs wrote:

amugs wrote:

rb924119 wrote:WAY colder

Trying to start wrap arounds now - could be interesting for Sunday after a heavy initial thump - like a 2 part storm setting up now Saturday afternoon into night and again Monday morning through mid afternoon if its real of  course!

AND.............. we have take off ladies n gentlemen 0Z NAM just saved the storm LOL!!

I LOVE IT WHEN A PLAN COMES TOGETHER!! Lmao I’m getting totally NAM’d here in NEPA too aha

The shortwave catches up and enhances the surface low close to us.. this is the solution we need

Wait a freaking minute! What's going on here?!?

rb924119 wrote:WAY colder

Don't you mean vloder?

Irish wrote:Wait a freaking minute!  What's going on here?!?

Must be that damn global warming

How is that still rain though on Sunday for Long Island?

WOWZA

rb924119 wrote:

Irish wrote:Wait a freaking minute!  What's going on here?!?

Must be that damn global warming

 

Fantastic, you're all over it now!

Got to be 2"/hr rates in NEPA/EPA there on Nam 3k.

amugs wrote:HREF WHOAA!!

It must be geography. I always feel I miss out on the big totals im southern Dutchess. Even in this map you see there is less precipotation between the hudson and CT. What causes thi?

2004blackwrx wrote:

amugs wrote:HREF WHOAA!!

It must be geography. I always feel I miss out on the big totals im southern Dutchess. Even in this map you see there is less precipotation between the hudson and CT. What causes thi?

You’re 100% right, it’s due to the topography I used to live right by you in Fishkill, so I know your pain very well haha

Quakertown Airport clean sounding. Me like that.

LoL NAM.

heehaw453 wrote:LoL NAM.

I can see 2”/hr with this. You’re maximizing lift, PWAT anomalies, and dendritic growth. Granted, you don’t have super mid or upper level support, but it’ll be enough to get the job done.

amugs wrote:The sooner the 850mb low cuts itself free and completes its circulation the snowier it would be along the warmer S&E coasts and towns. Plenty of cold air to be tapped. Its up to the low to do it. Earlier cutoff, stronger inflow, quicker tapping of colder air. Later; warmer.


Simple as this and if we get the trailing vort to get in 3 hours sooner then wow it explodes over GS.

100% Mugs this whole thing is about timing.

2004blackwrx wrote:

amugs wrote:HREF WHOAA!!

It must be geography. I always feel I miss out on the big totals im southern Dutchess. Even in this map you see there is less precipotation between the hudson and CT. What causes thi?

Unfortunately for you, and RB can probably address this better than I can since I remember he lived in southern Dutchess, East fish kill I believe, one winter. Downsloping, low elevation of the towns near the river in south Dutchess, and the river itself. The east side of the Hudson within 5-10 miles of the river is a well known HV snow hole. It's more prominent in marginal temperature events.

Kuchera which is more realistic. 

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:

2004blackwrx wrote:

amugs wrote:HREF WHOAA!!

It must be geography. I always feel I miss out on the big totals im southern Dutchess. Even in this map you see there is less precipotation between the hudson and CT. What causes thi?

Unfortunately for you, and RB can probably address this better than I can since I remember he lived in southern Dutchess, East fish kill I believe, one winter. Downsloping, low elevation of the towns near the river in south Dutchess, and the river itself. The east side of the Hudson within 5-10 miles of the river is a well known HV snow hole. It's more prominent in marginal temperature events.

No need for me to address it any further, you nailed it perfectly haha

Well this is like a good glass of Woodford Reserve before bed time. Hopefully the Nammy doesn't decide to take it away in 6 hours.

amugs wrote:Kuchera which is more realistic. 

I need one more shift like this. Just one. lol

heehaw453 wrote:Well this is like a good glass of Woodford Reserve before bed time. Hopefully the Nammy doesn't decide to take it away in 6 hours.

One more shift heehaw……..can we do it??? Lol

still time for the last minute shift!

I cant analyze models like you guys but for southern dutchess im gonna say aroung 8 inches give or take 2 seems to be the consensus on all these runs the last two days. The bullseye always moves but that number stays right around there for me. Im such a snow lover that 8 inches sounds bad even though I havent seen that much in a while. I alway want a Godzilla!.

rb924119 wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Well this is like a good glass of Woodford Reserve before bed time. Hopefully the Nammy doesn't decide to take it away in 6 hours.

One more shift heehaw……..can we do it??? Lol

I sure hope so as this board could use some good juju.

heehaw453 wrote:

rb924119 wrote:

heehaw453 wrote:Well this is like a good glass of Woodford Reserve before bed time. Hopefully the Nammy doesn't decide to take it away in 6 hours.

One more shift heehaw……..can we do it??? Lol

I sure hope so as this board could use some good juju.

I think you, me, and mugsy are willing this thing back ahaha