February 12th-14th Storm Potential

Well it looks like that high keeps the coast snow except for the forks

Incredible consistency, NAM and GFS are still lost. Anyone taking the 60hr NAM over the european models consistency over the past several runs is a weenie.

NjWeatherGuy wrote:CMC looks to stay the course. AM models still lost imo.

The foreigners are ruling this storm NJ - I am anticipating the 12Z runs to see how they sample the northern vort!  

GFS is coming in amp'd

UKIE is a tick east. Like I said in the special announcement thread, I think these models trend east

12z UKIE

GFS CLOSED OFF H5!!!!

Need to see next frame frank.

I meant the ukie if u got it.

H5 just fell apart on the GF

GFS* 

I think this storm is too complex for this model.

Frank_Wx wrote:GFS* 

I think this storm is too complex for this model.

I dont buy the way either the gfs or nam handle it.

UKIE hour 60

Who wants to laugh? 

GFS has a sub 980mb on the benchmark but the precip shield is weak and the thermal profile is warm. 

LOL

These American models continue to waffling, ATM I still like the consistency of others.

I think coastal cnj is gonna get alot of snow if trnds stay east im in the biz

Holy Moly I see we are in Godzilla mode!

Wow Frank on the cmc heavy snow over my area rs line far enough south. This is really a tough call.

Just saw ur special announcement 12 to 18 plus dang. What is ur gut feeling on this alot My nyc and I 95 friends asking how much. Is this time to say that's possible or hold to 6 to 12 for now thx

Frank I gather all CAPS is a excited state? Eagerly awating your snow mapsthey are always so good. Thanks for this forum and thatnks for giving us good info and all the other great members here.

I think the CMC just went Roidzilla on some people. There is a 978mb right under western LI. It is pretty far west. NYC Metro goes from HEAVY snow to rain then back to snow. Still over a foot. If there was not mixing it would be near 20 inches.

12z CMC IS A BOMB. Deform band after 12-18 inches of snow has already fallen. This storm is going to be explosive

Oh my word! It sure did!

I was wait for you to say the word, looks like I stay just far enough morth of NYC to stay all snow, looking like 12-18+? I am on border of Bronx but as I have said befoire there is alkways a drastic difference from Bronx to where I live when storms hit.