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March 2nd-4th Potential Snowstorm

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:03 pm

Thopse 18-20 areas grew since 18z, qpf did go up though.

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:04 pm

The GFS actually matched the map from my blog that I made of where highest snowfall could fall.

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:04 pm

So can we pretty confidently say over a foot most places, or still wait until tomorrow evening?
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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:05 pm

Sure did frank great job. Now was early euro on board with gfs
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:05 pm

Well i didnt remember it completely but I knew it was spot on or close, spot on is amazing.
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Post by jimv45 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:07 pm

Cp mid-hudson does well with that run plus it will be around 20 so that will add up.

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Post by skinsfan1177 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:09 pm

Just compared 18z gfs snowmap to this run im now in the yellowish color yes yes yes
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:09 pm

The southern stream was much stronger on the GFS compared to 12z, hence the qpf rise. I mentioned in my blog some ways this storm could get stronger. Might be happening...

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:09 pm

i am in franks jackpot, hope it stays that way can't wait to see his map tomorrow.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:10 pm

Frtank are we possibly knocking on next level you know what if it keeps that up?
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:10 pm

jimv45 wrote:Cp mid-hudson does well with that run plus it will be around 20 so that will add up.

Jim:

No problem with any of the GFS runs today, we all do well.

I'll sign for the 14-16 right now.
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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:11 pm

I can see how many areas in PA and perhaps NJ get 18+ I think this gets stronger

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:13 pm

But not NYC area, looks pretty close if not over?  I mean the 16-20 is very close and into parts of southern westchester.
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:13 pm

NYC only needs 6.0 inches to get to the number 2 spot.

Odds are looking pretty good for that right now.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:18 pm

Umm CP looks like thats MORE than a lock at this pt, the 12-16 is in the area.  And if this trends stronger who knows how bad this could get.  Im gettin pumped now.
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Post by oldtimer Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:21 pm

How is looking for LI out east? Its seems like a huge amount of snow for a frontal boundary

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:23 pm

oldtimer wrote:How is looking for LI out east? Its seems like a huge amount of snow for a frontal boundary

Snow, snow, and more snow...

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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:23 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Umm CP looks like thats MORE than a lock at this pt, the 12-16 is in the area.  And if this trends stronger who knows how bad this could get.  Im gettin pumped now.

Jman:

I remember in the last inning of a championship baseball game I was involved in, leading by two runs with two outs and no runners on base someone in our dugout uttered the words we've got this it's on to the next round.

Needless to say we lost. The teammate that uttered those words didn't even play in the game, but we all knew afterwards that he blew it for us.

I think the message is clear. There are no sure things, in sports or in weather.

I should also add, the two guys that made errors in the field that inning didn't help.


Last edited by CPcantmeasuresnow on Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:25 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by oldtimer Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:24 pm

That's nice Frankie thx

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Post by Frank_Wx Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:24 pm

CPcantmeasuresnow wrote:
jmanley32 wrote:Umm CP looks like thats MORE than a lock at this pt, the 12-16 is in the area.  And if this trends stronger who knows how bad this could get.  Im gettin pumped now.

Jman:

I remember in the last inning of a championship baseball game I was involved in, leading by two runs with two outs and no runners on base someone in our dugout uttered the words we've got this it's on to the next round.

Needless to say we lost. The teammate that uttered those words didn't even play in the game, but we all knew afterwards that he blew it for us.

I think the message is clear. There are no sure things, in sports or in weather.[/quote


Preach


Last edited by Frank_Wx on Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:26 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:25 pm

Yes yes yes!  I am like either in the orange or right next to it.  eityher weay over a foot for me, and temps will be low so ratios could make even higher, although instantwxmaps does account for ratios.
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:27 pm

Ok FRANK! No jink here will stay humble and shutting into calm mode............zzzzzzzzzzzzz lol
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:28 pm

Or CP I mean, man you guys are making this hard for me lol
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:29 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Ok FRANK! No jink here will stay humble and shutting into calm mode............zzzzzzzzzzzzz lol

You're learning kid. Smile 
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Post by jmanley32 Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:30 pm

I know nothing is ever a definite with wx, I have been watching long enough to know this but I can't even get a bit excited here it seems without being called a jinxer : (
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Post by CPcantmeasuresnow Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:31 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Or CP I mean, man you guys are making this hard for me lol

And you have a great spirit, I don't mean to squash it, but us snow weenies are highly superstitious.

And then there's snowman who will just kill you.  lol! 
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Post by pdubz Thu Feb 27, 2014 11:34 pm

CMC time
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