March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0

Not staying up for the euro. I'm also working and busy with school tomorrow so won't be around much. Will hold off on a snow map until 10pm now

This is pretty much over if you ask me for a west trend and big snowstorm. Models are coming in east tonight like I thought they would. Full sampling really isn't something that usually causes drastic changes as there s already data put into the models

jman I don't know but March storms are fickle and can change fast It just might be wishing thinking even tho there is time You know NJguy was pretty sure early on today that this storm will have little effect and would never shift W Have 36hrs at least too see

yes old timer i know we are losing hope but there is still time if tomorrow shows no changes then ill move on.

jmanley32 wrote:Yeah I know just needed something to make my 2000th post hahah, keep that ukmet coming i wanna see what it does for us going north.

See, this is what I meant by bad etiqutte. It's like when someone talks in a college class to just make their voice heard.

On a weather note, my hopes for this storm (Westbury, NY) are fading quicker than a 2 day old tea candle. 38 days till the beginning of the Atlantic Tropical Season!

Jman Nice going on 2000! I wish better news for you on that tonight You never can tell lol

That's it for this storm it looks like.any other threats for this year or were done?

emokid was just a joke for me and frank relax, no one else has any issues with me. It was just a joke. chill

abba you cannot completely write this off yet, still euro to come in and its still 3 days out. stranger thing have happened with wx changes. but yes time is running out.

If euro is east then extremely unlikely Probobaly.Whats a "glancing blow" An inch?

Umm emokid June 1st is not 38 days away, hurricane season runs from June 1st through Nov 30th, not sure where you get May 1st.

Is this storm still going to bomb out at 970 somewhere???

WOW, the gem may be way east but it drops to 946 as it moves into canadian maritimes jeeze

here is it at 970 on gem, way offshore : (

What a waste if we don't get anything out of this monster

oldtimer I will not be happy but what can we do?

CMC at 73

I got a feeling that Franks "first guess" map will be 1-3 2-4 s&e

What do you think Joe?? that map don't look too bad all combined

Per the CMC It Bombs to a 946mb low off the coast of Maine. We really don't need that here, that's a Granddaddy Blizzard.

Just a piece lol

Sorry I'd love a all out blizzard, lol

At this point ill take in between or even lower than that 1-3 or 2-4 is just a nusiance. I will wait for Euro tonight, I have been betting on it since the get go as it handles big storms well.

All season long the models really didn't start to show what will most likely happen until they are within a 36-24 hour time frame. That being said, we are still some 48 hours away from the models showing the true solution. IMHO.

I think we get a nice hit 6+ for Long Island.

12z euro showed 10+ for LI and 6 into NYC area. I hope that holds or moves west.

From Upton at 12:59 am


LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE REGION
MONDAY AS ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CONTINUES. TEMPERATURES
MONDAY WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. THE SURFACE HIGH
MOVES QUICKLY OFFSHORE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS NORTHERN TROUGH
DIGS INTO THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THROUGH EXPECTED TO DIG INTO
THE SOUTHERN STATES WITH SHORTWAVE MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH. THIS WILL DEVELOP A LOW OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST EARLY
TUESDAY. THERE IS CONSENSUS THAT THE STORM WILL DEVELOP AND
INTENSIFY RAPIDLY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH THE STORM
TRACKING OFF THE EAST COAST...SOUTH AND EAST OF THE 40N/70W
BENCHMARK. UNCERTAINTY DOES REMAIN AS TO THE EXACT TRACK AND
INTENSITY OF THE STORM. AND A TRACK SLIGHTLY FARTHER TO THE WEST
CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT AS SOME MODELS DO SUGGEST THIS
SCENARIO. THE DIFFERENCE IN TRACK AND INTENSITY WILL HAVE
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE AS TO IMPACTS ON THE AREA. HOWEVER...WITH THE
CURRENT FORECAST AN ALL SNOW EVENT IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP BEGINNING
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH MORE A
LITTLE MORE CERTAINTY ON THE EVENT HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY FOR
THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ZONES TUESDAY NIGHT. IF THE LOW DEEPENS AS
MUCH AS FORECAST THIS WILL BE A POWERFUL STORM WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR STRONG WINDS AT LEAST FOR THE COASTAL SECTIONS.

FORTUNATELY...THE STORM WILL BE OCCURRING IN BETWEEN A FULL AND NEW
MOON...SO ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE CYCLES WILL NOT BE AS HIGH AS THEY
COULD BE.