Re: March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:43 am

GFS very interesting has two lows, but one is very close to the coast

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:44 am

Sanchize06 wrote:GFS very interesting has two lows, but is very close to the coast

Its very odd.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:45 am

Still east though

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:46 am

and then it shoots right out from what I see.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:47 am

Ehh CFI toss it IMO. This run might not have been that much better than 6z Given H5. Was only slightly better. But hard to tell with the errors.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:48 am

Wow this is going to end up being a nowcaster I think. I agree ace, its so close to the coast then gets shunted right out. plus is stretched out.

by **SoulSingMG** Sun Mar 23, 2014 11:54 am

Huge CFI with the 12z GFS. She's off her rocker.

by **oldtimer** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:04 pm

Double-barrel lows with elongated precept since yesterday

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:05 pm

Even the EURO doesn't bring more than a few inches to the area. Central and eastern long island have some hope, but I think that's about it. Where is Tom when I need him? Lol

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:14 pm

JB still thinks center will go right on 40 70 benchmark, where does he derive this from? If it was we'd a;; be crushed especially coastal. We can only hope but thats a big jump west, but him RM and others agree feedback issues.

by **Snow88** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:18 pm

GGEM looks like the GFS. Not good at all.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:20 pm

CMC is also east

by **algae888** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:20 pm

ggem has the same idea of two lows at hr 48. one however is in s north Carolina. its what the low does from there that will is important for us. if the trough goes neg fast enough we will get a more western track otherwise it will be east.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:21 pm

Dumb question is the GGEM the CMC/GEM?

by **algae888** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:22 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:CMC is also east

cmc is already running?

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:23 pm

Wxbell hasnt loaded yet, still waiting lol, guess thats what you have to sacrefice for nice images

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:24 pm

Yes, ggem and CMC are the same

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:24 pm

thats what i said algae, it isnt loaded on wxbell.

by **algae888** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:25 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Yes, ggem and CMC are the same

what hour are you up to. im at 48

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:26 pm

I haven't seen the CMC fully, only to hr 48 but a few people have said it's east so they must get it faster

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:27 pm

I havent even gotten to hr 0 yet lol

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:33 pm

Out to hr 51 now, those 3 hours is all I need to see, looks very much like what the GFS does

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:40 pm

I seen in yep way south and east of BM, JB better hope for some kind of miracle if he is to be right. I will admit CMC has it as a enormous storm. Size of Sandy.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:41 pm

Well good ol trusty Euro next, honestly I am starting to think its the only model we should really be looking at been so many odd outcomes with GFS and CMC. NAM when we get closer may be ok.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:45 pm

Well, everyone's concern about why this storm wouldn't happen, is happening lol.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:45 pm

Considering the CMC and GFS show the same solution that can't be ignored. The EURO like I said before is still only about 1-3" so I'm not seeing why people are excited about it.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:53 pm

About a hour until the Euro. Initializes at 1:45.

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