Re: March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:45 pm

Considering the CMC and GFS show the same solution that can't be ignored. The EURO like I said before is still only about 1-3" so I'm not seeing why people are excited about it.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:53 pm

About a hour until the Euro. Initializes at 1:45.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:55 pm

jmanley32 wrote:Well good ol trusty Euro next, honestly I am starting to think its the only model we should really be looking at been so many odd outcomes with GFS and CMC. NAM when we get closer may be ok.

The Euro has sucked this year, you know that. GEM has been superior with most east coast cyclones this year, with the exception of one or two.

by **HectorO** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:56 pm

I need this storm to not happen. I'm done with it. Tuesday and Wednesday are good pay days for me and between white snow and green money, I choose money.

by **algae888** Sun Mar 23, 2014 12:58 pm

Sanchize06 wrote:Considering the CMC and GFS show the same solution that can't be ignored. The EURO like I said before is still only about 1-3" so I'm not seeing why people are excited about it.

the Euro showed massive snowstorm for Cape Cod Boston Connecticut eastern half of Long Island the GFS and CMC Today Show hardly anything so that is a big deal

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:01 pm

algae888 wrote:
Sanchize06 wrote:Considering the CMC and GFS show the same solution that can't be ignored. The EURO like I said before is still only about 1-3" so I'm not seeing why people are excited about it.
the Euro showed massive snowstorm for Cape Cod Boston Connecticut eastern half of Long Island the GFS and CMC Today Show hardly anything so that is a big deal

Which is why I stated before central and eastern long island have hope, I'm not referring to them.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:01 pm

true enough to both replies ace and algae, looking like all is lost

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:02 pm

Don't you love the consistency of the models with this storm! It seems when the system doesn't effect the area they don't flinch.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:03 pm

jmanley32 wrote:true enough to both replies ace and algae, looking like all is lost

Maybe for NYC. But the Effects on ELI are real and dangerous.

by **algae888** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:09 pm

it seems to be just as nj has stated all along the flow is to fast and without blocking the energies are all over the place and do not have enough time to come together. by the time they come together its way north and east of us and now even cape cod

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:16 pm

I still have some hope for NYC area as it wouldnt be a big jog to get us into it. But times a ticking. But thee big ones as stated earlier can have a mind of their own. 2010 boxing day storm I blew off two days before and low and behold I woke xmas day to see talk of a blizzard for us and we got 22 inches! So u never know.

by **NjWeatherGuy** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:18 pm

This storm is done for us, thinking eastern LI will get into the moderate snows and Cape Cod will get a massive storm with very high sustained winds, this could be a dangerous situation for them, for us, maybe a bit of light snow but not much accumulation. I don't really care about missing this storm because it's going to be in the 60s just a couple days after so it really doesn't matter, bring on spring.

by **Sanchize06** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:27 pm

NjWeatherGuy wrote:This storm is done for us, thinking eastern LI will get into the moderate snows and Cape Cod will get a massive storm with very high sustained winds, this could be a dangerous situation for them, for us, maybe a bit of light snow but not much accumulation. I don't really care about missing this storm because it's going to be in the 60s just a couple days after so it really doesn't matter, bring on spring.

Agreed, without the blocking we never really had a good chance in this area, too many things had to fall into place at the right time.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:43 pm

T-Minus 5 minutes to spring.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 1:58 pm

Euro out to 24

by Abba701 Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:00 pm

Bernie Rayno on AccuWeather thinks about 3 for the city.Not terrible for late march if it actually sticks.

by **aiannone** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:01 pm

Did he mention LI?

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:06 pm

Looks like the Euro is going back to the double low idea

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:06 pm

Storm already heading ENE at hr 54, cant figure out how to post images still

by **Joe Snow** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:07 pm

Quietace wrote:Looks like the Euro is going back to the double low idea

Yes I see that

by **jimv45** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:08 pm

this storm is not going to be a big deal for most of us lets move on get ready for spring!

by **oldtimer** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:10 pm

What does the double low mean?? It keeps coming up but what does it mean for the solution

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:12 pm

Euro is a nice miss wide right. We see 2-4 inches due to inverted trough.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:12 pm

They never work out ever.

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:13 pm

Snow map

March 25th-26th Possible Coastal Storm Potential 2.0 - Page 17 Ecmwf_51

by **Quietace** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:14 pm

Atleast the precip falls overnight on the Euro.

by **jmanley32** Sun Mar 23, 2014 2:15 pm

Goes east, really impressive 10m wind gusts 104kts over ocean!

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